Nairobi United vs TransMara Sugar: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Nairobi United vs TransMara Sugar: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nairobi United plays TransMara Sugar in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026.
Recent form
Nairobi United has 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. TransMara Sugar has 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Nairobi United scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.00. TransMara Sugar scores 2.00 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.14 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Nairobi United's games and 100% of TransMara Sugar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 100%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 29% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nairobi United has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.40 per game. Nairobi United takes 10.0 shots per game, while TransMara Sugar takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Nairobi United leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. TransMara Sugar leads at halftime in 100% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nairobi United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). For TransMara Sugar, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 2.14 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 29% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nairobi United | TransMara Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TransMara Sugar is 100% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Nairobi United · 2 goals / game - TransMara Sugar
Nairobi United is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Nairobi United · 2 goals / game - TransMara Sugar
Nairobi United scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 games).
TransMara Sugar scores in 100% of games (1 of 1 games), while Nairobi United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nairobi United
Over / Under - TransMara Sugar
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
TransMara Sugar is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Nairobi United · 3 pts / game - TransMara Sugar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nairobi United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
TransMara Sugar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 100% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 2.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nairobi United
TransMara Sugar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Nairobi United | Liga | TransMara Sugar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.14 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 29% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 39% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Nairobi United's perspective: 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against TransMara Sugar. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Nairobi United and TransMara Sugar play?
Nairobi United face TransMara Sugar on October 23, 2026 in Kenyan Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nairobi United and TransMara Sugar?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Nairobi United won 2, TransMara Sugar won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nairobi United vs TransMara Sugar?
Nairobi United score 1.00 goals per game on average and TransMara Sugar 2.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nairobi United's matches and 100% of TransMara Sugar's.
What form are Nairobi United and TransMara Sugar in?
Over the last 5 games Nairobi United have a 0-2-0 record (1.00 points per game) and TransMara Sugar 0-1-0 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nairobi United vs TransMara Sugar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nairobi United vs TransMara Sugar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.