England - Premier LeagueSt. James' ParkData current as of October 15, 2026

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Newcastle United plays Aston Villa in Premier League (England). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: St. James' Park.

Recent form

Newcastle United has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Aston Villa has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Newcastle United scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 2.17. Aston Villa scores 1.00 and allows 1.83. Games in this league average 2.95 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 83% of Newcastle United's games and 50% of Aston Villa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 83% and 67%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Newcastle United has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.21 per game. Newcastle United takes 11.7 shots per game, while Aston Villa takes 11.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Newcastle United leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Aston Villa leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

Newcastle United's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Aston Villa, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premier League games average 2.95 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.17)
(3.93)
(3.34)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
1.67Goals scored / game1
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
2.17Goals allowed / game1.83
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
52%Average possession47%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
4Shots on target / game3.17
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.67Shots per game11.33
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
4Shots on target3.17
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
14.3%Shot conversion8.8%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
52%Possession47%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
1.31xG for1.21
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
1.88xG against1.74
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa

Shooting quality

Newcastle United: Efficient finishingAston Villa: Balanced
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
Accuracy (shots on target)34%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Newcastle United is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Newcastle United · 1 pts / game - Aston Villa

Newcastle United
WDLWL
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-2
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Last 5 at home
1-2-0
DDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Aston Villa
LDLWD
Season result split
17% W33% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-3
0.83 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
LDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Newcastle United is 67% better for: goals scored per game.

1.67 goals / game - Newcastle United · 1 goals / game - Aston Villa

Aston Villa is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.17 goals / game - Newcastle United · 1.83 goals / game - Aston Villa

Newcastle United scoring profile: very strong

Newcastle United scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Aston Villa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).

Aston Villa scoring profile: strong

Aston Villa scores in 50% of games (3 of 6 games), while Newcastle United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 games).

10Goals scored (season)6
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
13Goals conceded (season)11
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
3.83Average goals per game2.83
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
8Goals scored (last 5)6
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
11Goals conceded (last 5)7
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal50%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
67%2 goals33%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
0%3 goals17%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
0%4 goals0%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal83%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
67%2 goals67%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
33%3 goals17%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
33%4 goals17%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
0%BTTS in both halves17%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
33%Scored in both halves33%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa

BTTS and goal count

83%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
80%BTTS - last 560%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Newcastle United - half-time state
33% leading17% draw50% trailing
Aston Villa - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.17Points per game (1st half)1.17
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
1.67Average goals (1st half)1.17
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
50%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
50%No goal before half-time67%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per game (2nd half)0.67
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
1.17Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
2.17Average goals (2nd half)1.67
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
33%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa
17%No goal after half-time50%
Newcastle UnitedAston Villa

Newcastle United - second-half results

33% W17% D50% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Aston Villa - second-half results

0% W67% D33% L
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Newcastle United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.40
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game1.21.0
Average goals per game1.82.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Aston Villa - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.60
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.21.2
Average goals per game0.62.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Newcastle United
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
4
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Aston Villa
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.33
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-70%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Newcastle United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.57
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
163%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Aston Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

Newcastle UnitedLigaAston Villa
Average goals per game▲ 3.832.95▼ 2.83
Both teams scored▲ 83%55%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 83%57%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 17%27%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%58%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%83%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.95
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Newcastle United's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Aston Villa. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Newcastle United FC
0 : 2
Aston Villa FC
Aston Villa FC
0 : 0
Newcastle United FC

FAQ

When do Newcastle United and Aston Villa play?

Newcastle United face Aston Villa on October 17, 2026 in Premier League at St. James' Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle United and Aston Villa?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Newcastle United won 0, Aston Villa won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?

Newcastle United score 1.67 goals per game on average and Aston Villa 1.00. The Premier League average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 83% of Newcastle United's matches and 50% of Aston Villa's.

What form are Newcastle United and Aston Villa in?

Over the last 5 games Newcastle United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Aston Villa 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Newcastle United vs Aston Villa?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.