Nõmme Kalju vs Vaprus: match statistics
Nõmme Kalju vs Vaprus: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Nõmme Kalju played against Vaprus in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on August 16, 2026. Venue: Hiiu staadion. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Nõmme Kalju has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Vaprus has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Nõmme Kalju scores 1.82 goals per game and allows 0.77. Vaprus scores 1.38 and allows 1.86. Games in this league average 3.09 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Nõmme Kalju's games and 67% of Vaprus's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 62%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nõmme Kalju has the higher season xG average, 1.80 to 1.13 per game. Nõmme Kalju takes 15.1 shots per game, while Vaprus takes 8.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Nõmme Kalju leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Vaprus leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.62 after halftime.
When the teams score
Nõmme Kalju's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (11 goals). For Vaprus, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Meistriliiga games average 3.09 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nõmme Kalju sit 2nd, while Vaprus are fifth, and the hosts have won 12 of their 22 league matches, compared with 8 victories for their opponents. Kalju are in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and scoring as many as 23 goals during that run, whereas Vaprus have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats over the same period. At home, the hosts average 2.18 goals per game from 1.86 xG, registering 15.64 shots per match, while the visitors generate just 1.03 xG away from home and score an average of 1 goal. Vaprus’ away defense concedes 2.1 goals per match and allows opponents 1.98 xG, which clearly favors Kalju’s attacking efficiency. The hosts also enjoy greater control of possession, averaging 53% compared with Vaprus’ 43%, making a home win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is clear, as BTTS has occurred in 64% of Nõmme Kalju’s matches this season and in as many as 70% of Vaprus’ games, compared with the league average of 57%. Vaprus recorded BTTS in 100% of their last five matches, while Nõmme Kalju did so in 60%, confirming the current attacking openness of both teams. The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals, while the visitors concede as many as 2.10 goals per match and have kept a clean sheet in only 20% of their games, making a Kalju goal highly likely. Vaprus scores an average of 1.00 goal, but Kalju’s defense allows opponents an xG of 1.92 per match and keeps a clean sheet in only 27% of games. In addition, both teams have conceded an average of 1.4 and 1.8 goals respectively over their last five matches, making the scenario in which both sides find the net more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams regularly feature in matches with at least two goals: this outcome occurred in 82% of Nõmme Kalju’s games and 80% of Vaprus’ matches. The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals per game, while Vaprus concede as many as 2.10, which clearly strengthens the goalscoring outlook for Kalju. In their last five appearances, Kalju scored an average of 4.6 goals, while Vaprus’ matches produced an average of 2.4 goals scored by them, with 1.8 goals conceded. Both teams also frequently fail to keep a clean sheet, in 73% and 80% of matches respectively, making Over 1.5 the strongest selection with a projected total of 3.10 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nõmme Kalju have a clear advantage in the first halves: they led at the break in 45% of matches, compared with just 10% for Vaprus, while the hosts averaged 0.91 goals before half-time versus 0.60 for the visitors. This difference is reinforced by current form, as Kalju have won 4 of their last 5 matches and averaged as many as 3.0 first-half goals during this period. Vaprus were trailing at half-time in 40% of matches, while away from home they concede an average of 2.10 goals per game. The hosts have also been more effective over the season as a whole, scoring 1.73 goals per match compared with Vaprus’ 1.00, and averaging 4.0 shots on target per game versus 2.9. The strongest scenario is therefore Kalju leading at half-time and maintaining that advantage until full-time, although the hosts’ high average of 1.64 goals conceded leaves a significant risk of a visitors’ response after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Nõmme Kalju | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Nõmme Kalju is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Nõmme Kalju · 1.4 pts / game - Vaprus
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme Kalju is 32% better for: goals scored per game.
1.82 goals / game - Nõmme Kalju · 1.38 goals / game - Vaprus
Nõmme Kalju is 142% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.77 goals / game - Nõmme Kalju · 1.86 goals / game - Vaprus
Nõmme Kalju scores in 86% of games (19 of 22 games), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 games).
Vaprus scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 games), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nõmme Kalju
Over / Under - Vaprus
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nõmme Kalju is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / game - Nõmme Kalju · 1.33 pts / game - Vaprus
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nõmme Kalju - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +8 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Nõmme Kalju
Vaprus
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Nõmme Kalju | Liga | Vaprus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.59 | 3.09 | ▲ 3.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 64% | ▼ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 23% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 89% | ▼ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Nõmme Kalju's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses against Vaprus. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Nõmme Kalju vs Vaprus?
The Meistriliiga match finished Nõmme Kalju 3:1 Vaprus. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme Kalju and Vaprus?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Nõmme Kalju won 2, Vaprus won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme Kalju vs Vaprus?
Nõmme Kalju score 1.82 goals per game on average and Vaprus 1.38. The Meistriliiga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nõmme Kalju's matches and 67% of Vaprus's.
What form are Nõmme Kalju and Vaprus in?
Over the last 5 games Nõmme Kalju have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Vaprus 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme Kalju vs Vaprus?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.