Estonia - MeistriliigaHiiu staadionData current as of August 13, 2026

Nõmme Kalju vs Vaprus: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nõmme Kalju vs Vaprus: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nõmme Kalju plays Vaprus in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game is scheduled for August 16, 2026. Venue: Hiiu staadion.

Recent form

Nõmme Kalju has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Vaprus has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Nõmme Kalju scores 1.82 goals per game and allows 0.77. Vaprus scores 1.38 and allows 1.86. Games in this league average 3.11 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Nõmme Kalju's games and 67% of Vaprus's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 62%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Nõmme Kalju has the higher season xG average, 1.80 to 1.13 per game. Nõmme Kalju takes 15.1 shots per game, while Vaprus takes 8.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Nõmme Kalju leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Vaprus leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.62 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nõmme Kalju's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (11 goals). For Vaprus, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.11 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.38)
(4.45)
(6.64)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Nõmme KaljuVaprus
1.82Goals scored / game1.38
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
0.77Goals allowed / game1.86
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
53%Average possession45%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
5.23Shots on target / game3.48
Nõmme KaljuVaprus

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.09Shots per game8.29
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
5.23Shots on target3.48
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
12%Shot conversion16.7%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
53%Possession45%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
1.8xG for1.13
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
1.37xG against1.95
Nõmme KaljuVaprus

Shooting quality

Nõmme Kalju: AttackingVaprus: Counter-attacking
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
Accuracy (shots on target)35%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Nõmme Kalju is 57% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Nõmme Kalju · 1.4 pts / game - Vaprus

Nõmme Kalju
DWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
55% W23% R23% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-5-5
1.86 pts / game · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.98Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Vaprus
WLWLD
Season result split
38% W14% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-3-10
1.29 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-6
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 2.26BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nõmme Kalju is 32% better for: goals scored per game.

1.82 goals / game - Nõmme Kalju · 1.38 goals / game - Vaprus

Nõmme Kalju is 142% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.77 goals / game - Nõmme Kalju · 1.86 goals / game - Vaprus

Nõmme Kalju scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme Kalju scores in 86% of games (19 of 22 meczów), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).

Vaprus scoring profile: strong

Vaprus scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 meczów), while Nõmme Kalju keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 meczów).

40Goals scored (season)29
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
17Goals conceded (season)39
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
2.59Average goals per game3.24
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
11Goals scored (last 5)9
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
3Goals conceded (last 5)8
Nõmme KaljuVaprus

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal81%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
41%2 goals33%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
23%3 goals14%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
14%4 goals5%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal76%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
14%2 goals52%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
5%3 goals24%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
0%4 goals10%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time38%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
0%BTTS in both halves5%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
27%Scored in both halves24%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS62%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
60%BTTS - last 580%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time48%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nõmme Kalju is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.86 pts / game - Nõmme Kalju · 1.33 pts / game - Vaprus

Nõmme Kalju - half-time state
50% leading36% draw14% trailing
Vaprus - half-time state
29% leading48% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.86Points per game (1st half)1.33
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
0.95Goals scored (1st half)0.76
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
0.32Goals conceded (1st half)0.76
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.52
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
73%Clean sheet before half-time52%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
45%No goal before half-time38%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus

After half-time (2nd half)

1.55Points per game (2nd half)1.1
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.62
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
0.45Goals conceded (2nd half)1.1
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
1.32Average goals (2nd half)1.71
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
59%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus
41%No goal after half-time57%
Nõmme KaljuVaprus

Nõmme Kalju - second-half results

41% W32% R27% P
41
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding110%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Vaprus - second-half results

29% W24% R48% P
28
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nõmme Kalju - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.20
Goals scored / game1.80.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game2.00.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+80
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 9
Vaprus - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.801.00
Goals scored / game1.20.6
Goals allowed / game1.00.6
Average goals per game2.21.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nõmme Kalju
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
11
4
16-30
7
2
31-45
2
3
46-60
10
3
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Vaprus
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
7
4
16-30
5
6
31-45
6
9
46-60
2
9
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.92
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nõmme Kalju

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-14.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Vaprus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.82
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Nõmme KaljuLigaVaprus
Average goals per game 2.593.11 3.24
Both teams scored 50%58% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%65% 62%
Clean sheets 41%23% 24%
Goal before half-time 68%75% 71%
Goal after half-time 82%89% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Nõmme Kalju's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses against Vaprus. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

Vaprus
3 : 1
Nõmme Kalju
Nõmme Kalju
1 : 2
Vaprus
Nõmme Kalju FC
1 : 0
Pärnu JK Vaprus
Nõmme Kalju FC
1 : 2
Pärnu JK Vaprus
Pärnu JK Vaprus
2 : 2
Nõmme Kalju FC
Pärnu JK Vaprus
0 : 3
Nõmme Kalju FC

FAQ

When do Nõmme Kalju and Vaprus play?

Nõmme Kalju face Vaprus on August 16, 2026 in Meistriliiga at Hiiu staadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme Kalju and Vaprus?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Nõmme Kalju won 2, Vaprus won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme Kalju vs Vaprus?

Nõmme Kalju score 1.82 goals per game on average and Vaprus 1.38. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Nõmme Kalju's matches and 67% of Vaprus's.

What form are Nõmme Kalju and Vaprus in?

Over the last 5 games Nõmme Kalju have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Vaprus 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme Kalju vs Vaprus?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.