Estonia - MeistriliigaMänniku staadionData current as of September 18, 2026

Nõmme United vs Paide: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Nõmme United vs Paide: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Nõmme United plays Paide in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game is scheduled for September 19, 2026. Venue: Männiku staadion.

Recent form

Nõmme United has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Paide has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Nõmme United scores 1.64 goals per game and allows 2.32. Paide scores 1.61 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 3.13 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 82% of Nõmme United's games and 64% of Paide's. The Over 2.5 rates are 89% and 50%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Paide has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.52 per game. Nõmme United takes 11.8 shots per game, while Paide takes 14.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Nõmme United leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.96 goals per game after halftime. Paide leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.93 after halftime.

When the teams score

Nõmme United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). For Paide, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.13 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.64Goals scored / game1.61
Nõmme UnitedPaide
2.32Goals allowed / game1.25
Nõmme UnitedPaide
47%Average possession55%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
4.43Shots on target / game4.82
Nõmme UnitedPaide

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.75Shots per game14.86
Nõmme UnitedPaide
4.43Shots on target4.82
Nõmme UnitedPaide
14%Shot conversion10.8%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
47%Possession55%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
1.52xG for1.77
Nõmme UnitedPaide
2.1xG against1.57
Nõmme UnitedPaide

Shooting quality

Nõmme United: Counter-attackingPaide: Dominant
Nõmme UnitedPaide
Accuracy (shots on target)38%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Paide is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Nõmme United · 1.8 pts / game - Paide

Nõmme United
LLLWL
Season result split
32% W4% D64% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-1-18
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-10
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 2.36BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Paide
WLWLW
Season result split
50% W21% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-6-8
1.71 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DLDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.98Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paide is 86% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.32 goals / game - Nõmme United · 1.25 goals / game - Paide

Nõmme United scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme United scores in 82% of games (23 of 28 games), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 games).

Paide scoring profile: very strong

Paide scores in 89% of games (25 of 28 games), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 28 games).

46Goals scored (season)45
Nõmme UnitedPaide
65Goals conceded (season)35
Nõmme UnitedPaide
3.96Average goals per game2.86
Nõmme UnitedPaide
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Nõmme UnitedPaide
11Goals conceded (last 5)5
Nõmme UnitedPaide

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal89%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
43%2 goals46%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
18%3 goals18%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
7%4 goals7%
Nõmme UnitedPaide

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal75%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
64%2 goals32%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
39%3 goals11%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
14%4 goals4%
Nõmme UnitedPaide

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

32%BTTS at half-time25%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
4%BTTS in both halves7%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
21%Scored in both halves39%
Nõmme UnitedPaide

BTTS and goal count

79%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
80%BTTS - last 540%
Nõmme UnitedPaide

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Nõmme UnitedPaide

2nd half

96%Min. 1 goal after half-time93%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
39%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Nõmme UnitedPaide

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paide is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.04 pts / game - Nõmme United · 1.46 pts / game - Paide

Nõmme United - half-time state
25% leading29% draw46% trailing
Paide - half-time state
32% leading50% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.04Points per game (1st half)1.46
Nõmme UnitedPaide
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.68
Nõmme UnitedPaide
1.07Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
Nõmme UnitedPaide
1.75Average goals (1st half)1.25
Nõmme UnitedPaide
29%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
50%No goal before half-time46%
Nõmme UnitedPaide

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per game (2nd half)1.75
Nõmme UnitedPaide
0.96Goals scored (2nd half)0.93
Nõmme UnitedPaide
1.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.68
Nõmme UnitedPaide
2.21Average goals (2nd half)1.61
Nõmme UnitedPaide
21%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Nõmme UnitedPaide
46%No goal after half-time25%
Nõmme UnitedPaide

Nõmme United - second-half results

29% W21% D50% L
29
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Paide - second-half results

50% W25% D25% L
41
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
49
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding156%

Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nõmme United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.600.20
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game0.41.8
Average goals per game1.22.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-7
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Paide - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.00
Goals scored / game0.41.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game0.61.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Nõmme United
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
8
14
16-30
8
9
31-45
8
9
46-60
8
9
61-75
11
17
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Paide
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
7
7
16-30
6
3
31-45
9
1
46-60
6
8
61-75
11
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.41
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
73%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+37%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
73%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Nõmme United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
173%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Paide

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Nõmme UnitedLigaPaide
Average goals per game 3.963.13 2.86
Both teams scored 82%57% 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 89%65% 50%
Clean sheets 0%23% 25%
Goal before half-time 89%77% 64%
Goal after half-time 96%88% 93%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.13
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.79
Home goals / game
1.34
Away goals / game
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Nõmme United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Paide. Games average 4.67 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Nõmme United and Paide play?

Nõmme United face Paide on September 19, 2026 in Meistriliiga at Männiku staadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Nõmme United and Paide?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Nõmme United won 0, Paide won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Nõmme United vs Paide?

Nõmme United score 1.64 goals per game on average and Paide 1.61. The Meistriliiga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 82% of Nõmme United's matches and 64% of Paide's.

What form are Nõmme United and Paide in?

Over the last 5 games Nõmme United have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Paide 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nõmme United vs Paide?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nõmme United vs Paide: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.