Italy - Serie C Group AStadio Città di MedaData current as of November 11, 2026

Novara vs Lecco: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Novara vs Lecco: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Novara plays Lecco in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game is scheduled for November 15, 2026. Venue: Stadio Città di Meda.

Recent form

Novara has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Lecco has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Novara scores 0.85 goals per game and allows 1.38. Lecco scores 1.69 and allows 0.85. Games in this league average 2.48 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 38% of Novara's games and 31% of Lecco's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 54%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Lecco has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.38 per game. Novara takes 12.3 shots per game, while Lecco takes 13.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Novara leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Lecco leads at halftime in 46% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Novara's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Lecco, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group A games average 2.48 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.85)
(3.15)
(2.38)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.85Goals scored / game1.69
NovaraLecco
1.38Goals allowed / game0.85
NovaraLecco
45%Average possession56%
NovaraLecco
2.92Shots on target / game5.77
NovaraLecco

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.31Shots per game13.69
NovaraLecco
2.92Shots on target5.77
NovaraLecco
6.9%Shot conversion12.4%
NovaraLecco
45%Possession56%
NovaraLecco
1.38xG for1.65
NovaraLecco
1.49xG against1.42
NovaraLecco

Shooting quality

Novara: BalancedLecco: Balanced
NovaraLecco
Accuracy (shots on target)24%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Lecco is 175% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Novara · 2.2 pts / game - Lecco

Novara
LDLWL
Season result split
23% W31% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-6
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LDLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Lecco
DWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
38% W38% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-3
1.54 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-3
Last 5 away
3-0-2
LWLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.00Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lecco is 99% better for: goals scored per game.

0.85 goals / game - Novara · 1.69 goals / game - Lecco

Lecco is 62% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.38 goals / game - Novara · 0.85 goals / game - Lecco

Novara scoring profile: mixed

Novara scores in 46% of games (6 of 13 games), while Lecco keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 games).

Lecco scoring profile: very strong

Lecco scores in 62% of games (8 of 13 games), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 games).

11Goals scored (season)22
NovaraLecco
18Goals conceded (season)11
NovaraLecco
2.23Average goals per game2.54
NovaraLecco
3Goals scored (last 5)16
NovaraLecco
8Goals conceded (last 5)3
NovaraLecco

How often they score at least...

46%1 goal62%
NovaraLecco
38%2 goals46%
NovaraLecco
0%3 goals31%
NovaraLecco
0%4 goals23%
NovaraLecco

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal54%
NovaraLecco
54%2 goals23%
NovaraLecco
0%3 goals8%
NovaraLecco
0%4 goals0%
NovaraLecco

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time8%
NovaraLecco
8%BTTS in both halves8%
NovaraLecco
15%Scored in both halves46%
NovaraLecco

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS23%
NovaraLecco
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS31%
NovaraLecco
20%BTTS - last 540%
NovaraLecco

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

85%Min. 1 goal before half-time62%
NovaraLecco
8%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
NovaraLecco
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
NovaraLecco

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
NovaraLecco
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time54%
NovaraLecco
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
NovaraLecco

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lecco is 168% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.69 pts / game - Novara · 1.85 pts / game - Lecco

Novara - half-time state
15% leading23% draw62% trailing
Lecco - half-time state
46% leading46% draw8% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.69Points per game (1st half)1.85
NovaraLecco
0.23Goals scored (1st half)0.69
NovaraLecco
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.15
NovaraLecco
0.92Average goals (1st half)0.85
NovaraLecco
31%Clean sheet before half-time85%
NovaraLecco
77%No goal before half-time46%
NovaraLecco

After half-time (2nd half)

1.08Points per game (2nd half)1.31
NovaraLecco
0.62Goals scored (2nd half)1
NovaraLecco
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)0.69
NovaraLecco
1.31Average goals (2nd half)1.69
NovaraLecco
38%Clean sheet after half-time54%
NovaraLecco
62%No goal after half-time46%
NovaraLecco

Novara - second-half results

23% W38% D38% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding153%

Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Lecco - second-half results

31% W38% D31% L
24
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 38%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Novara - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.20
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Lecco - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.002.60
Goals scored / game1.02.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game1.42.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%0%
Goal difference+3+10
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Novara
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
0
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
0
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Lecco
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
3
1
16-30
4
1
31-45
8
1
46-60
1
4
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-79%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
29%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
21%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Novara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Lecco

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
139%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.66
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

NovaraLigaLecco
Average goals per game▼ 2.232.48• 2.54
Both teams scored▼ 38%52%▼ 31%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%52%▲ 54%
Clean sheets▼ 15%31%▲ 46%
Goal before half-time▲ 85%66%▼ 62%
Goal after half-time▼ 69%75%▲ 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per game
52%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.26
Home goals / game
1.22
Away goals / game
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Novara's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Lecco. Games average 0.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Lecco
0 : 0
Novara
Novara
1 : 0
Lecco

FAQ

When do Novara and Lecco play?

Novara face Lecco on November 15, 2026 in Serie C Group A at Stadio Città di Meda. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Novara and Lecco?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Novara won 1, Lecco won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Lecco?

Novara score 0.85 goals per game on average and Lecco 1.69. The Serie C Group A average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Novara's matches and 31% of Lecco's.

What form are Novara and Lecco in?

Over the last 5 games Novara have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Lecco 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Lecco?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.