Ogre United vs Super Nova: match statistics
Ogre United vs Super Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Ogre United played against Super Nova in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on September 20, 2026. Venue: Salaspils sporta nama stadions. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Ogre United has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Super Nova has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Ogre United scores 0.97 goals per game and allows 2.53. Super Nova scores 1.00 and allows 1.34. Games in this league average 2.87 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Ogre United's games and 55% of Super Nova's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 48%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.18 per game. Ogre United takes 10.4 shots per game, while Super Nova takes 9.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Ogre United leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Super Nova leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
Ogre United's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Super Nova, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 2.87 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Super Nova come into this match in significantly better form: they have collected 8 points from their last 5 matches, winning twice and losing just once, while Ogre United have recorded 4 defeats and only 1 draw. The hosts have a very weak defensive record at home, conceding an average of 2.14 goals with opponents registering 2.10 xG, and have kept no clean sheets. Super Nova allow opponents an average of just 1.00 goals away from home, with 36% of such matches ending without conceding; moreover, they have conceded just 2 goals in their last five matches. The visitors win 50% of their away matches, whereas Ogre United win at home in only 7% of cases and have a negative goal difference of -14. Super Nova's attack has not been particularly effective lately, scoring 3 goals in their last five appearances, but their superior defensive organization and the hosts' clearly weaker run of form point towards an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Ogre United have a high seasonal BTTS rate of 67%, but Super Nova have recorded this outcome in only 43% of their matches, and in just 20% of their last 5 games. The visitors are currently very solid defensively: they have conceded only 2 goals in their last five appearances, averaging 0.4 per match, and have kept a clean sheet in 36% of the season overall. Ogre’s attack averages 1.0 goal per match, rising to 1.2 across their last five fixtures, which does not provide a strong argument against the opponent’s defense. On the other hand, the hosts have recently conceded as many as 2.6 goals per match, with an xG against of 2.16, giving Super Nova a realistic chance of scoring. However, the key risk to BTTS remains the visitors’ poor finishing, as they have scored only 3 goals in their last five matches. Therefore, it is slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score, supporting BTTS - No / No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: Super Nova have stayed below this line in every match this season, while Ogre United have gone over it in only 20% of their games. Both teams average 1.0 goal per match, and their attacking xG averages stand at 1.15 and 1.22 respectively, suggesting a scoreline closer to two than four goals. Super Nova have kept a clean sheet in 36% of their matches and conceded just 2 goals in their last five league games, despite an opposition xG of 1.69. Ogre United have a very poor defensive run, conceding 2.6 goals per game across their last five appearances, but the visitors have scored only 0.6 goals per match during that period. The match is projected to produce 2.35 goals, giving Under 3.5 a clear edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by a Super Nova victory is the most likely outcome, as both teams frequently go into the break level: Ogre United in 53% of matches and Super Nova in 57%. The visitors have been particularly cautious before the break in their recent form, drawing the first half in 4 of their last 5 matches and failing to score a single goal during that period. After the interval, the advantage should shift towards Super Nova: across their last five appearances, they have averaged 0.6 goals scored and only 0.2 conceded after half-time, while Ogre United have conceded as many as 2.0 goals. The difference is also reflected in full-match form: the hosts have collected just 0.2 points per match over their last five league fixtures and conceded an average of 2.6 goals, whereas the visitors have recorded 1.6 points and conceded just 0.4 goals. Super Nova also has a clearly superior season-long record, averaging 1.64 points per match compared with Ogre United’s 0.8, further strengthening the X/2 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Ogre United | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Super Nova is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Ogre United · 1.6 pts / game - Super Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Super Nova is 89% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.53 goals / game - Ogre United · 1.34 goals / game - Super Nova
Ogre United scores in 67% of games (20 of 30 games), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 games).
Super Nova scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 games), while Ogre United keeps a clean sheet in 3% (1 of 30 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ogre United
Over / Under - Super Nova
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Super Nova is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / game - Ogre United · 1.07 pts / game - Super Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ogre United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 10%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (23). Late-goal balance (76-90): -17 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Ogre United
Super Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Ogre United | Liga | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.50 | 2.87 | ▼ 2.34 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 54% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 54% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 3% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 73% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 81% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Ogre United's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Super Nova. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Ogre United vs Super Nova?
The Virsliga match finished Ogre United 1:0 Super Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ogre United and Super Nova?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Ogre United won 1, Super Nova won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ogre United vs Super Nova?
Ogre United score 0.97 goals per game on average and Super Nova 1.00. The Virsliga average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Ogre United's matches and 55% of Super Nova's.
What form are Ogre United and Super Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Ogre United have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Super Nova 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ogre United vs Super Nova?
The statistical background for Ogre United vs Super Nova — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.