Paide vs Tallinna FC Levadia: match statistics
Paide vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Paide play Tallinna FC Levadia in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 17 May 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Paide: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Tallinna FC Levadia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Paide scores 1.60 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.58 and concedes 0.84. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Paide 70%, Tallinna FC Levadia 74%. Over 2.5: Paide 55%, Tallinna FC Levadia 74%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.30 vs 1.65. Paide: 13.7 shots per match, Tallinna FC Levadia: 19.8.
Match halves
Paide: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.80. Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.26.
Goals by minute
Paide: 31-45+ (6 goals). Tallinna FC Levadia: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-1-2. Average goals 3.20, BTTS 80%.
Match description
I predict an away win (2): Tallinna FC Levadia holds a clear offensive advantage — 29 goals this season vs 20 for Paide and 18 goals in the last 5 matches vs Paide’s 8 in the same period. The quality gap in chances is supported by xG and shooting metrics: Levadia’s away xG averages 2.73 vs Paide’s home xG of 1.44, with overall shots 23.25 vs 11.4 and shots on target 8.25 vs 3.2. Form and momentum favor the visitors — Levadia have won all of their last 5 matches, averaging 3.0 points per game in that run, whereas Paide average 1.4 points per game in their last 5. Defensively Paide concede 0.8 goals per home match and Levadia 1.0 away, but hosts have a higher expected goals against (avg xGA 1.55 vs 0.93 for Levadia), suggesting Levadia create clearer chances. Considering 29 vs 20 goals, 2.73 vs 1.44 xG and the visitors’ superiority in shots and possession (62% vs 51%), I assign probabilities: 65% away win, 20% draw, 15% home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Paide | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Paide · 2.58 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Paide · 0.84 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Paide scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (19 of 19 matches), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Paide
Over / Under — Tallinna FC Levadia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Paide · 2.11 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paide - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Paide
Tallinna FC Levadia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Paide | Liga | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.00 | 3.11 | ▲ 3.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 58% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 66% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 23% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 88% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Paide 2 - 1 - 2 Tallinna FC Levadia. Average goals 3.20, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Paide vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
The Meistriliiga match finished Paide 1:3 Tallinna FC Levadia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paide and Tallinna FC Levadia?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Paide won 2, Tallinna FC Levadia won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paide vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
Paide score 1.60 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Levadia 2.58. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Paide's matches and 74% of Tallinna FC Levadia's.
What form are Paide and Tallinna FC Levadia in?
Over the last 5 games Paide have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tallinna FC Levadia 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paide vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.