Paide vs Tammeka: match statistics
Paide vs Tammeka: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Paide played against Tammeka in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on October 14, 2026. Venue: Paide linnastaadion. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Paide has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Tammeka has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Paide scores 1.60 goals per game and allows 1.23. Tammeka scores 1.37 and allows 1.57. Games in this league average 3.10 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Paide's games and 47% of Tammeka's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 57%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paide has the higher season xG average, 1.76 to 1.56 per game. Paide takes 14.7 shots per game, while Tammeka takes 13.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Paide leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. Tammeka leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.73 after halftime.
When the teams score
Paide's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Tammeka, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Meistriliiga games average 3.10 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 6 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 14% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paide have the home advantage: they have won 57% of their home matches, while Tammeka have lost 47% of their away fixtures. The hosts concede an average of 1 goal per game at home, compared with 2 for the visitors away from home, which could prove decisive given the similar number of chances created. The teams’ average xG figures are comparable—1.78 for Paide and 1.73 for Tammeka—but the hosts convert shots into goals more often (10% versus 9%). In their last five matches, Paide recorded 3 wins and conceded 5 goals, while Tammeka won twice and conceded 13. This defensive disparity points to a Paide win, although the visitors’ attacking potential means an upset cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes is marginally more likely, as Paide average 1.21 goals at home, while Tammeka concede 2.00 goals per away match. The visitors also have a case for scoring: they average 1.33 goals away from home and generate an xG of 1.73, while Paide allow opponents an xG of 1.62. Over their last 5 matches, both teams averaged 1.6 goals scored, although Tammeka conceded as many as 2.6 goals per match, which particularly strengthens the hosts' chances of finding the net. However, the signal is not decisive: the season-long rate of matches in which both teams scored is 50% for Paide and 47% for Tammeka, so the lean towards BTTS - Yes remains moderate.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 73% of Tammeka’s matches and 57% of Paide’s. Tammeka concede an average of 2.0 goals per match and have shipped 13 goals in their last five fixtures, boosting the hosts’ chances of getting on the scoresheet. The visitors can also contribute, having created chances worth an average of 1.73 xG, while Paide allow opponents 1.62 xG. The combined forecast stands at 3.15 goals, close to the league average of 3.14, but higher lines are less reliable: Over 2.5 goals has landed in 50% of Paide’s matches and 60% of Tammeka’s.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal in favor of Paide leading at the break is their recent form: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 3 of their 5 matches, while Tammeka were trailing at that point in 3 of their 5 games. During this period, the visitors conceded an average of 1.4 goals before the break, compared with just 0.2 for Paide, increasing the likelihood of an early home lead. Paide’s second-half record this season also supports them holding on to that lead: they score an average of 0.86 goals and concede 0.43, while Tammeka score 0.53 and concede 0.60. In their last five matches, the visitors conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game, compared with 1.0 for Paide, making a home win appear more likely. However, this is not a certain pick: Paide were level at half-time in 50% of their matches this season, so a draw at the break followed by a home win remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Paide | Tammeka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Paide is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Paide · 1.2 pts / game - Tammeka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paide is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.6 goals / game - Paide · 1.37 goals / game - Tammeka
Paide is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.23 goals / game - Paide · 1.57 goals / game - Tammeka
Paide scores in 87% of games (26 of 30 games), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 games).
Tammeka scores in 73% of games (22 of 30 games), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paide
Over / Under - Tammeka
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paide is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Paide · 1.1 pts / game - Tammeka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paide - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Tammeka - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Paide
Tammeka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Paide | Liga | Tammeka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.83 | 3.10 | ▼ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | • 23% | 23% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 88% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Paide's perspective: 6 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Tammeka. Games average 2.43 goals, and both teams scored in 14% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Paide vs Tammeka?
The Meistriliiga match finished Paide 2:1 Tammeka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paide and Tammeka?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Paide won 6, Tammeka won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 14% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paide vs Tammeka?
Paide score 1.60 goals per game on average and Tammeka 1.37. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Paide's matches and 47% of Tammeka's.
What form are Paide and Tammeka in?
Over the last 5 games Paide have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Tammeka 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paide vs Tammeka?
The statistical background for Paide vs Tammeka — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.