Italy - Serie BStadio Renzo BarberaData current as of October 21, 2026

Palermo vs Carrarese: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Palermo vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Palermo plays Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Stadio Renzo Barbera.

Recent form

Palermo has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Carrarese has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Palermo scores 2.29 goals per game and allows 1.00. Carrarese scores 0.86 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 71% of Palermo's games and 43% of Carrarese's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 29%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Palermo has the higher season xG average, 1.90 to 1.17 per game. Palermo takes 18.0 shots per game, while Carrarese takes 11.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Palermo leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 1.57 goals per game after halftime. Carrarese leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.57 after halftime.

When the teams score

Palermo's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Carrarese, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.43)
(4.90)
(6.27)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.29Goals scored / game0.86
PalermoCarrarese
1Goals allowed / game1
PalermoCarrarese
51%Average possession40%
PalermoCarrarese
6.29Shots on target / game3.43
PalermoCarrarese

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

18Shots per game11.43
PalermoCarrarese
6.29Shots on target3.43
PalermoCarrarese
12.7%Shot conversion7.5%
PalermoCarrarese
51%Possession40%
PalermoCarrarese
1.9xG for1.17
PalermoCarrarese
1.48xG against1.58
PalermoCarrarese

Shooting quality

Palermo: AttackingCarrarese: Balanced
PalermoCarrarese
Accuracy (shots on target)35%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Palermo is 117% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Palermo · 1.2 pts / game - Carrarese

Palermo
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
86% W14% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-0
2.71 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.91Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Carrarese
LLLWW
Season result split
29% W14% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-4
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
DLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palermo is 166% better for: goals scored per game.

2.29 goals / game - Palermo · 0.86 goals / game - Carrarese

Palermo scoring profile: very strong

Palermo scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).

Carrarese scoring profile: strong

Carrarese scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).

16Goals scored (season)6
PalermoCarrarese
7Goals conceded (season)7
PalermoCarrarese
3.29Average goals per game1.86
PalermoCarrarese
12Goals scored (last 5)4
PalermoCarrarese
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
PalermoCarrarese

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal57%
PalermoCarrarese
71%2 goals29%
PalermoCarrarese
43%3 goals0%
PalermoCarrarese
14%4 goals0%
PalermoCarrarese

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal86%
PalermoCarrarese
29%2 goals14%
PalermoCarrarese
0%3 goals0%
PalermoCarrarese
0%4 goals0%
PalermoCarrarese

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time0%
PalermoCarrarese
0%BTTS in both halves0%
PalermoCarrarese
43%Scored in both halves29%
PalermoCarrarese

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
PalermoCarrarese
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PalermoCarrarese
80%BTTS - last 520%
PalermoCarrarese

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time43%
PalermoCarrarese
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
PalermoCarrarese
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
PalermoCarrarese

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
PalermoCarrarese
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
PalermoCarrarese
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
PalermoCarrarese

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Palermo is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.86 pts / game - Palermo · 1.43 pts / game - Carrarese

Palermo - half-time state
43% leading57% draw0% trailing
Carrarese - half-time state
29% leading57% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.86Points per game (1st half)1.43
PalermoCarrarese
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.29
PalermoCarrarese
0.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.14
PalermoCarrarese
0.86Average goals (1st half)0.43
PalermoCarrarese
86%Clean sheet before half-time86%
PalermoCarrarese
43%No goal before half-time71%
PalermoCarrarese

After half-time (2nd half)

1.86Points per game (2nd half)0.86
PalermoCarrarese
1.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
PalermoCarrarese
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
PalermoCarrarese
2.43Average goals (2nd half)1.43
PalermoCarrarese
43%Clean sheet after half-time14%
PalermoCarrarese
14%No goal after half-time43%
PalermoCarrarese

Palermo - second-half results

43% W57% D0% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 86%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Carrarese - second-half results

14% W43% D43% L
10
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.7

Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Palermo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.402.20
Goals scored / game0.61.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game0.82.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Carrarese - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.80
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.00.8
Average goals per game0.41.2
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Palermo
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
2
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Carrarese
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
3
0
46-60
0
3
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.58
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Palermo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.87
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
160%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Carrarese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.58
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 33% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

PalermoLigaCarrarese
Average goals per game▲ 3.292.73▼ 1.86
Both teams scored▲ 71%64%▼ 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 57%56%▼ 29%
Clean sheets▲ 29%20%▼ 14%
Goal before half-time▼ 57%66%▼ 43%
Goal after half-time• 86%86%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / game
1.30
Away goals / game
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Palermo's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Carrarese. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Palermo and Carrarese play?

Palermo face Carrarese on October 25, 2026 in Serie B at Stadio Renzo Barbera. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Palermo and Carrarese?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Palermo won 2, Carrarese won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Palermo vs Carrarese?

Palermo score 2.29 goals per game on average and Carrarese 0.86. The Serie B average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Palermo's matches and 43% of Carrarese's.

What form are Palermo and Carrarese in?

Over the last 5 games Palermo have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Carrarese 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palermo vs Carrarese?

The statistical background for Palermo vs Carrarese — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.