Pamba Jiji vs Mbeya City: match statistics
Pamba Jiji vs Mbeya City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pamba Jiji play Mbeya City in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 24 June 2026 at 15:00. Venue: CCM Kirumba Stadium. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Pamba Jiji: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Mbeya City: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pamba Jiji scores 1.07 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Mbeya City scores 0.78 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pamba Jiji 40%, Mbeya City 31%. Over 2.5: Pamba Jiji 50%, Mbeya City 28%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Pamba Jiji has higher xG: 1.28 vs 0.99. Pamba Jiji: 5.3 shots per match, Mbeya City: 4.7.
Match halves
Pamba Jiji: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.47. Mbeya City: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.28.
Goals by minute
Pamba Jiji: 0-15 (7 goals). Mbeya City: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Pamba Jiji are the favorites to win: they sit 7th in the table, have scored 30 goals this season and 8 goals in the last 5 matches, whereas Mbeya City are 14th with 20 goals this season and only 3 in their last 5. The hosts boast a markedly superior home defence — they concede 0.85 goals per home match versus Mbeya’s 1.77 away goals conceded, a difference of 0.92 goals per game, and Pamba have 54% clean sheets at home compared to 23% for Mbeya on the road. Offensively Pamba are more efficient: 1.54 goals per home match with a 19% conversion rate, while Mbeya score 0.85 goals away with a 13% conversion and fail to score in 46% of away fixtures. xG supports a moderate home advantage — average xG for Pamba at home is 1.34 versus 1.10 for Mbeya away, and Mbeya’s opponents generate more high-quality chances against them (xG against 1.76 vs 1.28 against Pamba). Considering higher points per game in the last 5 matches (1.2 vs 0.8), a better home goal differential (+9) and advantages in efficiency and clean sheets, I assess probabilities at 65% for the hosts, 20% for a draw and 15% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pamba Jiji | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.49 | 0.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mbeya City is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Pamba Jiji · 1.8 pts / match - Mbeya City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pamba Jiji is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Pamba Jiji · 0.78 goals / match - Mbeya City
Pamba Jiji is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Pamba Jiji · 1.28 goals / match - Mbeya City
Pamba Jiji scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
Mbeya City scores in 50% of matches (16 of 32 matches), while Pamba Jiji keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Pamba Jiji
Over / Under — Mbeya City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pamba Jiji is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Pamba Jiji · 1.03 pts / match - Mbeya City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pamba Jiji - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mbeya City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pamba Jiji
Mbeya City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Pamba Jiji | Liga | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.23 | 2.17 | ▼ 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 40% | 35% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 39% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 37% | 39% | ▼ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 60% | ▲ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pamba Jiji 0 - 1 - 0 Mbeya City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pamba Jiji vs Mbeya City?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Pamba Jiji 0:2 Mbeya City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pamba Jiji vs Mbeya City?
Pamba Jiji score 1.07 goals per game on average and Mbeya City 0.78. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Pamba Jiji's matches and 31% of Mbeya City's.
What form are Pamba Jiji and Mbeya City in?
Over the last 5 games Pamba Jiji have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Mbeya City 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pamba Jiji vs Mbeya City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.