Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen: match statistics
Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Panevėžys play Hegelmann Litauen in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match date is 4 July 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Panevėžio futbolo akademijos stadionas. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Panevėžys: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Hegelmann Litauen: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Panevėžys scores 0.95 and concedes 1.81 goals per match. Hegelmann Litauen scores 1.00 and concedes 1.62. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Panevėžys 57%, Hegelmann Litauen 67%. Over 2.5: Panevėžys 62%, Hegelmann Litauen 43%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Panevėžys has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.14. Panevėžys: 11.0 shots per match, Hegelmann Litauen: 9.6.
Match halves
Panevėžys: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.38. Hegelmann Litauen: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Panevėžys: 31-45+ (7 goals). Hegelmann Litauen: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A Lyga: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 1-1-4. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Panevėžys holds a clear advantage in offensive output and chance quality at home: they average 11.4 shots and 4.1 on target per home match, translating to 1.2 goals on average and an 11% conversion rate, whereas Hegelmann away averages 9 shots, only 2.13 on target and 0.75 goals (8% conversion). Defensively the hosts concede 1.1 goals at home on average, while the visitors concede 2.0 goals on the road; additionally Hegelmann fail to score in 50% of away matches, compared with Panevėžys having FTS in only 20% of home games. Looking at xG, Panevėžys generate 1.31 xG at home with 1.62 xG against, while Hegelmann have 1.03 xG for and 1.48 xG against — this indicates a moderate home edge in chance creation but also susceptibility to counters. Panevėžys’s poor form in the last 5 matches (1 win, 4 losses; PPG 0.6) is a risk, yet the season-long home metrics (Win% 40 and a home goal difference of +1) versus Hegelmann’s away Win% 13 and -10 goal difference on the road favour the hosts. Therefore I forecast a home win: 60% chance for 1, 25% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Panevėžys | Hegelmann Litauen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Panevėžys is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Panevėžys · 0.6 pts / match - Hegelmann Litauen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hegelmann Litauen is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Panevėžys · 1 goals / match - Hegelmann Litauen
Hegelmann Litauen is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.81 goals / match - Panevėžys · 1.62 goals / match - Hegelmann Litauen
Panevėžys scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Hegelmann Litauen keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
Hegelmann Litauen scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Panevėžys keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Panevėžys
Over / Under — Hegelmann Litauen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Panevėžys - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hegelmann Litauen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Panevėžys
Hegelmann Litauen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).
Teams vs league
| Panevėžys | Liga | Hegelmann Litauen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.62 | • 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 49% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 55% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 32% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 69% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 76% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Panevėžys 1 - 1 - 4 Hegelmann Litauen. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen?
The A Lyga match finished Panevėžys 1:1 Hegelmann Litauen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Panevėžys and Hegelmann Litauen?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Panevėžys won 1, Hegelmann Litauen won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen?
Panevėžys score 0.95 goals per game on average and Hegelmann Litauen 1.00. The A Lyga average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Panevėžys's matches and 67% of Hegelmann Litauen's.
What form are Panevėžys and Hegelmann Litauen in?
Over the last 5 games Panevėžys have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Hegelmann Litauen 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen?
The statistical background for Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.