Paphos vs AEL: match statistics
Paphos vs AEL: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Paphos played against AEL in First Division (Cyprus). The game was played on September 18, 2026. Venue: Stadio Stelios Kyriakides. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Paphos has 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.33 points per game. AEL has 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Paphos scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 0.00. AEL scores 1.33 and allows 2.33. Games in this league average 3.10 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 0% of Paphos's games and 33% of AEL's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 67%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paphos has the higher season xG average, 2.10 to 1.39 per game. Paphos takes 18.0 shots per game, while AEL takes 10.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Paphos leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. AEL leads at halftime in 67% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Paphos's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For AEL, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 3.10 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paphos are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning four and drawing one, with a 9:2 goal difference. The hosts create significantly more chances at home, averaging 17 shots, 7 of them on target, while their xG stands at 2.06 compared with just 1.00 for AEL away from home. Paphos have yet to concede in a home match and allow opponents an xG of only 0.91, whereas AEL concede as many as 6 goals on average away from home and have an xGA of 1.77. The visitors lost their last away match, have kept a clean sheet in none of their away fixtures, and average just 33% possession compared with Paphos’ 57%. The hosts’ advantage in controlling the game, the quality of chances created and defensive stability points to a Paphos victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS - No comes from AEL’s extremely poor finishing: in the season data, the team has not scored a single goal and failed to find the net in 100% of its matches. Paphos have defended very solidly, conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per game this season and 0.4 over their last five outings, during which they allowed only 2 goals in total. The hosts also have sufficient attacking potential to win without conceding: they score an average of 2.0 goals, create 1.58 xG, and record clean sheets in 50% of their matches. Although AEL have posted 1.33 xG and 1.4 goals scored across their last five games, facing Paphos’ defense clearly reduces the visitors’ chances of finding the net. A scenario in which Paphos are the only team to score is therefore more likely than both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Paphos is clearly stronger in both areas: over the last 5 matches, it has averaged 1.8 goals scored, generated an xG of 2.07, and conceded just 0.4 goals. During the same period, AEL allowed opponents an average of 2.2 goals, while its average xG conceded stands at 1.54, supporting at least two goals for the home side. AEL’s away data further indicates 0.0 goals scored and as many as 6.0 conceded per match, whereas Paphos averages 2.0 goals at home. The Over 1.5 goals line has the strongest edge, as both teams had 100% of their matches finish with at least two goals, while the 2.75-goal projection provides clear additional support.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Paphos win after 90 minutes, as the hosts were level at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches and went on to win 4 of those 5 games. Paphos average 1.4 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded after half-time, while AEL allow opponents to score an average of 1.2 goals during this period. The overall balance from the last five appearances also favors the hosts: they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per match, compared with AEL’s 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded. In the home-match data, Paphos led at the break in 2 of 2 cases, but the more cautious draw scenario is supported by their current first-half profile, in which they score only 0.4 goals on average. AEL remain dangerous after the interval, but 2 defeats in their last 5 matches and a weaker defensive record reduce the likelihood of them maintaining a favourable result until full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Paphos | AEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 58% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Paphos is 17% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / game - Paphos · 2 pts / game - AEL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paphos scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 games), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 games).
AEL scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 games), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 100% (3 of 3 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Paphos
Over / Under - AEL
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEL is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / game - Paphos · 2 pts / game - AEL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Paphos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
AEL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.67 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.7 | 1.7 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Paphos
AEL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Paphos | Liga | AEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.33 | 3.10 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 57% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 67% | • 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 100% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Paphos's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against AEL. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Paphos vs AEL?
The First Division match finished Paphos 0:2 AEL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Paphos and AEL?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Paphos won 2, AEL won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Paphos vs AEL?
Paphos score 1.33 goals per game on average and AEL 1.33. The First Division average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Paphos's matches and 33% of AEL's.
What form are Paphos and AEL in?
Over the last 5 games Paphos have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and AEL 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paphos vs AEL?
The statistical background for Paphos vs AEL — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.