Cyprus - First DivisionStadio Stelios KyriakidesData current as of September 18, 2026

Paphos vs AEL: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Paphos vs AEL: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Paphos plays AEL in First Division (Cyprus). The game is scheduled for September 18, 2026. Venue: Stadio Stelios Kyriakides.

Recent form

Paphos has 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.33 points per game. AEL has 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Paphos scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 0.00. AEL scores 1.33 and allows 2.33. Games in this league average 3.10 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 0% of Paphos's games and 33% of AEL's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 67%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Paphos has the higher season xG average, 2.10 to 1.39 per game. Paphos takes 18.0 shots per game, while AEL takes 10.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Paphos leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. AEL leads at halftime in 67% and scores 0.67 after halftime.

When the teams score

Paphos's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For AEL, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

First Division games average 3.10 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.33Goals scored / game1.33
PaphosAEL
0Goals allowed / game2.33
PaphosAEL
58%Average possession50%
PaphosAEL
6.33Shots on target / game6
PaphosAEL

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

18Shots per game10.33
PaphosAEL
6.33Shots on target6
PaphosAEL
7.4%Shot conversion12.9%
PaphosAEL
58%Possession50%
PaphosAEL
2.1xG for1.39
PaphosAEL
1.29xG against1.24
PaphosAEL

Shooting quality

Paphos: DominantAEL: Balanced
PaphosAEL
Accuracy (shots on target)35%58%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Paphos is 17% better for: last-5 form.

2.33 pts / game - Paphos · 2 pts / game - AEL

Paphos
WDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 2.10Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 33%
AEL
WLW
Season result split
67% W0% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 2.3xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 67%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paphos scoring profile: strong

Paphos scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 games), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 games).

AEL scoring profile: more difficult

AEL scores in 67% of games (2 of 3 games), while Paphos keeps a clean sheet in 100% (3 of 3 games).

4Goals scored (season)4
PaphosAEL
0Goals conceded (season)7
PaphosAEL
1.33Average goals per game3.67
PaphosAEL
4Goals scored (last 5)4
PaphosAEL
0Goals conceded (last 5)7
PaphosAEL

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal67%
PaphosAEL
33%2 goals67%
PaphosAEL
33%3 goals0%
PaphosAEL
0%4 goals0%
PaphosAEL

How often they concede at least...

0%1 goal67%
PaphosAEL
0%2 goals33%
PaphosAEL
0%3 goals33%
PaphosAEL
0%4 goals33%
PaphosAEL

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
PaphosAEL
0%BTTS in both halves0%
PaphosAEL
33%Scored in both halves67%
PaphosAEL

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
PaphosAEL
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
PaphosAEL
0%BTTS - last 533%
PaphosAEL

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
PaphosAEL
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
PaphosAEL
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
PaphosAEL

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
PaphosAEL
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
PaphosAEL
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
PaphosAEL

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AEL is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / game - Paphos · 2 pts / game - AEL

Paphos - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing
AEL - half-time state
67% leading0% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per game (1st half)2
PaphosAEL
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.67
PaphosAEL
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
PaphosAEL
0.33Average goals (1st half)1.33
PaphosAEL
100%Clean sheet before half-time67%
PaphosAEL
67%No goal before half-time33%
PaphosAEL

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per game (2nd half)1.33
PaphosAEL
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
PaphosAEL
0Goals conceded (2nd half)1.67
PaphosAEL
1Average goals (2nd half)2.33
PaphosAEL
100%Clean sheet after half-time33%
PaphosAEL
33%No goal after half-time33%
PaphosAEL

Paphos - second-half results

67% W33% D0% L
5
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

AEL - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+1.0

Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Paphos - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.672.33
Goals scored / game0.31.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.0
Average goals per game0.31.0
1 goal33%67%
2 goals0%33%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal67%33%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 33% leading - 67% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 33% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
AEL - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.33
Goals scored / game0.70.7
Goals allowed / game0.71.7
Average goals per game1.32.3
1 goal100%100%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet67%33%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 67% leading - 0% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Paphos
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

AEL
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
80%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
17%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-60%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Paphos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.81
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.77
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+1.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

AEL

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-1.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
148%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).

Teams vs league

PaphosLigaAEL
Average goals per game 1.333.10 3.67
Both teams scored 0%57% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%67% 67%
Clean sheets 100%29% 33%
Goal before half-time 33%76% 100%
Goal after half-time 67%86% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / game
1.52
Away goals / game
+3%
Home attack advantage
+3%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
67%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
14%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Paphos's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against AEL. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

AEL
0 : 1
Paphos
Paphos
1 : 0
AEL

FAQ

When do Paphos and AEL play?

Paphos face AEL on September 18, 2026 in First Division at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Paphos and AEL?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Paphos won 2, AEL won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Paphos vs AEL?

Paphos score 1.33 goals per game on average and AEL 1.33. The First Division average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Paphos's matches and 33% of AEL's.

What form are Paphos and AEL in?

Over the last 5 games Paphos have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and AEL 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Paphos vs AEL?

The statistical background for Paphos vs AEL — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.