Penybont vs Colwyn Bay: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly balanced encounter between the two sides. Penybont occupies a higher league position (3rd place), but they are in a disastrous run of form – zero wins in their last 5 matches and an average of just 0.2 points per game. Colwyn Bay, on the other hand, is in excellent form with 3 victories in their last 5 outings and 1.8 points per game. A key factor is the home advantage for the hosts – a 36% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4) in home matches, while the visitors have an identical 43% win and loss rate on the road. The average goals in both teams' matches (2.0 for Penybont at home, 1.86 for Colwyn Bay away) and similar xG values suggest an open match. Considering the visitors' current form and the hosts' home statistics, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome of this balanced fixture.
Penybont vs Colwyn Bay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Penybont play Colwyn Bay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match date is 28 March 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Penybont: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Colwyn Bay: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Penybont scores 1.21 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Colwyn Bay scores 1.24 and concedes 1.12. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Penybont 38%, Colwyn Bay 45%. Over 2.5: Penybont 41%, Colwyn Bay 39%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Colwyn Bay has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.40. Penybont: 10.3 shots per match, Colwyn Bay: 11.7.
Match halves
Penybont: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.79. Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Penybont: 46-60 (11 goals). Colwyn Bay: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 1-1-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly balanced encounter between the two sides. Penybont occupies a higher league position (3rd place), but they are in a disastrous run of form – zero wins in their last 5 matches and an average of just 0.2 points per game. Colwyn Bay, on the other hand, is in excellent form with 3 victories in their last 5 outings and 1.8 points per game. A key factor is the home advantage for the hosts – a 36% win rate and a positive goal difference (+4) in home matches, while the visitors have an identical 43% win and loss rate on the road. The average goals in both teams' matches (2.0 for Penybont at home, 1.86 for Colwyn Bay away) and similar xG values suggest an open match. Considering the visitors' current form and the hosts' home statistics, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome of this balanced fixture.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Penybont | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Colwyn Bay is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Penybont · 1.2 pts / match - Colwyn Bay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Colwyn Bay is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Penybont · 1.12 goals / match - Colwyn Bay
Penybont scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 matches).
Colwyn Bay scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Penybont
Over / Under — Colwyn Bay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Colwyn Bay is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Penybont · 1.42 pts / match - Colwyn Bay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Penybont | Liga | Colwyn Bay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.65 | 2.87 | ▼ 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 53% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 73% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | ▼ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Penybont 1 - 1 - 2 Colwyn Bay. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Penybont 0:0 Colwyn Bay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Penybont and Colwyn Bay?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Penybont won 1, Colwyn Bay won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
Penybont score 1.21 goals per game on average and Colwyn Bay 1.24. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Penybont's matches and 45% of Colwyn Bay's.
What form are Penybont and Colwyn Bay in?
Over the last 5 games Penybont have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Colwyn Bay 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Penybont vs Colwyn Bay?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.