Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM: match statistics
Persebaya Surabaya displays decidedly better home form with a 45% win rate at their own stadium and a solid goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.82 goals per home match, which, with a 16% conversion rate and an average of 4.82 shots on target, gives them an offensive advantage. PSM wins only 27% of away matches, conceding an average of 1.45 goals, and their negative goal difference (-3) plus poor form in the last five matches (0.8 PPG) indicate problems. Although PSM can maintain 49% possession, low shooting efficiency (11%) and just 9% away clean sheets weaken their chances. xG stats also favor the hosts (1.51 vs 1.34), confirming their qualitative advantage. Considering all factors, Persebaya Surabaya has a real chance of victory, though a draw remains in play due to relatively even possession and both teams' tendency to draw.
Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Persebaya Surabaya played against PSM in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The game was played on February 25, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Persebaya Surabaya has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. PSM has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Persebaya Surabaya scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.05. PSM scores 1.09 and allows 1.18. Games in this league average 2.64 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Persebaya Surabaya's games and 55% of PSM's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 32%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
PSM has the higher season xG average, 1.34 to 1.32 per game. Persebaya Surabaya takes 10.6 shots per game, while PSM takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Persebaya Surabaya leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.91 goals per game after halftime. PSM leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.64 after halftime.
When the teams score
Persebaya Surabaya's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). For PSM, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 1 games average 2.64 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Persebaya Surabaya displays decidedly better home form with a 45% win rate at their own stadium and a solid goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.82 goals per home match, which, with a 16% conversion rate and an average of 4.82 shots on target, gives them an offensive advantage. PSM wins only 27% of away matches, conceding an average of 1.45 goals, and their negative goal difference (-3) plus poor form in the last five matches (0.8 PPG) indicate problems. Although PSM can maintain 49% possession, low shooting efficiency (11%) and just 9% away clean sheets weaken their chances. xG stats also favor the hosts (1.51 vs 1.34), confirming their qualitative advantage. Considering all factors, Persebaya Surabaya has a real chance of victory, though a draw remains in play due to relatively even possession and both teams' tendency to draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Persebaya Surabaya | PSM | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Persebaya Surabaya is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Persebaya Surabaya · 0.8 pts / game - PSM
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Persebaya Surabaya is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Persebaya Surabaya · 1.09 goals / game - PSM
Persebaya Surabaya is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.05 goals / game - Persebaya Surabaya · 1.18 goals / game - PSM
Persebaya Surabaya scores in 86% of games (19 of 22 meczów), while PSM keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 meczów).
PSM scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Persebaya Surabaya keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Persebaya Surabaya
Over / Under - PSM
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Persebaya Surabaya is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / game - Persebaya Surabaya · 1.27 pts / game - PSM
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Persebaya Surabaya - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
PSM - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 23%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Persebaya Surabaya
PSM
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Persebaya Surabaya | Liga | PSM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.55 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 54% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 51% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 26% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 69% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 83% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Persebaya Surabaya's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against PSM. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM?
The Liga 1 match finished Persebaya Surabaya 1:0 PSM. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM?
Persebaya Surabaya score 1.50 goals per game on average and PSM 1.09. The Liga 1 average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Persebaya Surabaya's matches and 55% of PSM's.
What form are Persebaya Surabaya and PSM in?
Over the last 5 games Persebaya Surabaya have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and PSM 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.