Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM: match statistics
Persebaya Surabaya displays decidedly better home form with a 45% win rate at their own stadium and a solid goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.82 goals per home match, which, with a 16% conversion rate and an average of 4.82 shots on target, gives them an offensive advantage. PSM wins only 27% of away matches, conceding an average of 1.45 goals, and their negative goal difference (-3) plus poor form in the last five matches (0.8 PPG) indicate problems. Although PSM can maintain 49% possession, low shooting efficiency (11%) and just 9% away clean sheets weaken their chances. xG stats also favor the hosts (1.51 vs 1.34), confirming their qualitative advantage. Considering all factors, Persebaya Surabaya has a real chance of victory, though a draw remains in play due to relatively even possession and both teams' tendency to draw.
Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Persebaya Surabaya play PSM in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match date is 25 February 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Persebaya Surabaya: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. PSM: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Persebaya Surabaya scores 1.79 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. PSM scores 1.15 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Persebaya Surabaya 50%, PSM 59%. Over 2.5: Persebaya Surabaya 53%, PSM 44%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Persebaya Surabaya has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.30. Persebaya Surabaya: 12.3 shots per match, PSM: 11.1.
Match halves
Persebaya Surabaya: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.24. PSM: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Persebaya Surabaya: 76-90+ (20 goals). PSM: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Persebaya Surabaya displays decidedly better home form with a 45% win rate at their own stadium and a solid goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.82 goals per home match, which, with a 16% conversion rate and an average of 4.82 shots on target, gives them an offensive advantage. PSM wins only 27% of away matches, conceding an average of 1.45 goals, and their negative goal difference (-3) plus poor form in the last five matches (0.8 PPG) indicate problems. Although PSM can maintain 49% possession, low shooting efficiency (11%) and just 9% away clean sheets weaken their chances. xG stats also favor the hosts (1.51 vs 1.34), confirming their qualitative advantage. Considering all factors, Persebaya Surabaya has a real chance of victory, though a draw remains in play due to relatively even possession and both teams' tendency to draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Persebaya Surabaya | PSM | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Persebaya Surabaya is 333% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Persebaya Surabaya · 0.6 pts / match - PSM
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Persebaya Surabaya is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.79 goals / match - Persebaya Surabaya · 1.15 goals / match - PSM
Persebaya Surabaya is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Persebaya Surabaya · 1.44 goals / match - PSM
Persebaya Surabaya scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while PSM keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
PSM scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Persebaya Surabaya keeps a clean sheet in 41% (14 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Persebaya Surabaya
Over / Under — PSM
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Persebaya Surabaya is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Persebaya Surabaya · 1.21 pts / match - PSM
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Persebaya Surabaya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
PSM - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +16 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Persebaya Surabaya
PSM
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Persebaya Surabaya | Liga | PSM | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.82 | 2.80 | ▼ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 54% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 27% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Persebaya Surabaya 0 - 1 - 0 PSM. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM?
The Liga 1 match finished Persebaya Surabaya 1:0 PSM. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM?
Persebaya Surabaya score 1.79 goals per game on average and PSM 1.15. The Liga 1 average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Persebaya Surabaya's matches and 59% of PSM's.
What form are Persebaya Surabaya and PSM in?
Over the last 5 games Persebaya Surabaya have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and PSM 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSM: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.