Police vs Al Merreikh: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams. Police presents solid home form with 55% of matches won at home and only 0.64 goals conceded on average per game; however, the last five overall matches show only 0.6 points per match, signaling a drop in form. Al Merreikh occupies a higher position in the table and has a better points record in the last five matches (1.8 PPG), but away from home, they record only 1 goal on average per match and as many as 36% draws. Both teams have similar xG indicators and possession, suggesting tactical balance. Considering the home strength of Police and the away stability of Al Merreikh, the most probable scenario is a sharing of points.
Police vs Al Merreikh: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Police played against Al Merreikh in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on March 9, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Police has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Al Merreikh has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Police scores 0.86 goals per game and allows 0.50. Al Merreikh scores 1.14 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 2.09 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 32% of Police's games and 48% of Al Merreikh's. The Over 2.5 rates are 18% and 24%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Merreikh has the higher season xG average, 1.28 to 1.16 per game. Police takes 6.4 shots per game, while Al Merreikh takes 8.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Police leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.41 goals per game after halftime. Al Merreikh leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Police's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For Al Merreikh, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 2.09 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to very even chances for both teams. Police presents solid home form with 55% of matches won at home and only 0.64 goals conceded on average per game; however, the last five overall matches show only 0.6 points per match, signaling a drop in form. Al Merreikh occupies a higher position in the table and has a better points record in the last five matches (1.8 PPG), but away from home, they record only 1 goal on average per match and as many as 36% draws. Both teams have similar xG indicators and possession, suggesting tactical balance. Considering the home strength of Police and the away stability of Al Merreikh, the most probable scenario is a sharing of points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Police | Al Merreikh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Merreikh is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Police · 1.8 pts / game - Al Merreikh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Merreikh is 33% better for: goals scored per game.
0.86 goals / game - Police · 1.14 goals / game - Al Merreikh
Police is 34% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.5 goals / game - Police · 0.67 goals / game - Al Merreikh
Police scores in 59% of games (13 of 22 meczów), while Al Merreikh keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 meczów).
Al Merreikh scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 meczów), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 50% (11 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Police
Over / Under - Al Merreikh
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / game - Police · 1.52 pts / game - Al Merreikh
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Al Merreikh - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Police
Al Merreikh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Police | Liga | Al Merreikh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.36 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 35% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 33% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 63% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Police's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Al Merreikh. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Police vs Al Merreikh?
The National Soccer League match finished Police 0:1 Al Merreikh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police vs Al Merreikh?
Police score 0.86 goals per game on average and Al Merreikh 1.14. The National Soccer League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Police's matches and 48% of Al Merreikh's.
What form are Police and Al Merreikh in?
Over the last 5 games Police have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Al Merreikh 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police vs Al Merreikh?
The statistical background for Police vs Al Merreikh — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.