Police vs Etincelles: match statistics
Police holds 4th place in the table and shows solid home form with 50% wins at home and a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.17 goals per home match while conceding only 0.67, which indicates a stable defense. Etincelles are in 16th position with a very poor away record – only 9% wins away from home and a negative goal difference (-5). The visitors have a tendency to draw (55% draws away), but their recent form with 4 draws in 5 matches may not be enough against the stronger hosts. Considering Police's advantage in every aspect of home play and Etincelles' weakness away, a home win is the most likely scenario, although the visitors' tendency to draw cannot be completely ignored.
Police vs Etincelles: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Police played against Etincelles in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Police has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Etincelles has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Police scores 0.88 goals per game and allows 0.54. Etincelles scores 0.71 and allows 1.08. Games in this league average 2.09 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Police's games and 54% of Etincelles's. The Over 2.5 rates are 21% and 25%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Etincelles has the higher season xG average, 1.23 to 1.14 per game. Police takes 6.3 shots per game, while Etincelles takes 8.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Police leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.42 goals per game after halftime. Etincelles leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Police's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For Etincelles, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National Soccer League games average 2.09 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Police holds 4th place in the table and shows solid home form with 50% wins at home and a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.17 goals per home match while conceding only 0.67, which indicates a stable defense. Etincelles are in 16th position with a very poor away record – only 9% wins away from home and a negative goal difference (-5). The visitors have a tendency to draw (55% draws away), but their recent form with 4 draws in 5 matches may not be enough against the stronger hosts. Considering Police's advantage in every aspect of home play and Etincelles' weakness away, a home win is the most likely scenario, although the visitors' tendency to draw cannot be completely ignored.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Police | Etincelles | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Etincelles is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Police · 1.4 pts / game - Etincelles
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Police is 24% better for: goals scored per game.
0.88 goals / game - Police · 0.71 goals / game - Etincelles
Police is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.54 goals / game - Police · 1.08 goals / game - Etincelles
Police scores in 58% of games (14 of 24 meczów), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 meczów).
Etincelles scores in 58% of games (14 of 24 meczów), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Police
Over / Under - Etincelles
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Police is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / game - Police · 1.13 pts / game - Etincelles
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Etincelles - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Police
Etincelles
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Police | Liga | Etincelles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.42 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 45% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 21% | 35% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 34% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 46% | 62% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Police's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Etincelles. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Police vs Etincelles?
The National Soccer League match finished Police 1:1 Etincelles. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police vs Etincelles?
Police score 0.88 goals per game on average and Etincelles 0.71. The National Soccer League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Police's matches and 54% of Etincelles's.
What form are Police and Etincelles in?
Over the last 5 games Police have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Etincelles 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police vs Etincelles?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.