Portland Hearts of Pine vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics
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Portland Hearts of Pine vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Portland Hearts of Pine plays Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The game is scheduled for September 26, 2026.
Recent form
Portland Hearts of Pine has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Sarasota Paradise has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Portland Hearts of Pine scores 1.44 goals per game and allows 1.70. Sarasota Paradise scores 1.27 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.98 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 78% of Portland Hearts of Pine's games and 62% of Sarasota Paradise's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 54%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Sarasota Paradise has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.42 per game. Portland Hearts of Pine takes 11.9 shots per game, while Sarasota Paradise takes 12.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Portland Hearts of Pine leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.93 goals per game after halftime. Sarasota Paradise leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Portland Hearts of Pine's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Sarasota Paradise, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL League One games average 2.98 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Portland Hearts of Pine | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sarasota Paradise is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Portland Hearts of Pine · 1.8 pts / game - Sarasota Paradise
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Portland Hearts of Pine is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1.44 goals / game - Portland Hearts of Pine · 1.27 goals / game - Sarasota Paradise
Sarasota Paradise is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.7 goals / game - Portland Hearts of Pine · 1.5 goals / game - Sarasota Paradise
Portland Hearts of Pine scores in 81% of games (22 of 27 games), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 games).
Sarasota Paradise scores in 77% of games (20 of 26 games), while Portland Hearts of Pine keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Portland Hearts of Pine
Over / Under - Sarasota Paradise
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarasota Paradise is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / game - Portland Hearts of Pine · 1.31 pts / game - Sarasota Paradise
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Portland Hearts of Pine - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +7 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Portland Hearts of Pine
Sarasota Paradise
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Portland Hearts of Pine | Liga | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.15 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 60% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 22% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Portland Hearts of Pine's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Sarasota Paradise. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
When do Portland Hearts of Pine and Sarasota Paradise play?
Portland Hearts of Pine face Sarasota Paradise on September 26, 2026 in USL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Portland Hearts of Pine vs Sarasota Paradise?
Portland Hearts of Pine score 1.44 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 1.27. The USL League One average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Portland Hearts of Pine's matches and 62% of Sarasota Paradise's.
What form are Portland Hearts of Pine and Sarasota Paradise in?
Over the last 5 games Portland Hearts of Pine have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Sarasota Paradise?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Sarasota Paradise: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.