Posusje vs Velež: match statistics
Posusje vs Velež: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Posusje play Velež in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match date is 9 May 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Posusje: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Velež: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Posusje scores 0.69 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Velež scores 1.00 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Posusje 28%, Velež 36%. Over 2.5: Posusje 22%, Velež 36%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Velež has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.17. Posusje: 9.9 shots per match, Velež: 10.0.
Match halves
Posusje: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.31. Velež: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Posusje: 0-15 (5 goals). Velež: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 0.67, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back an away win: Velež has clearly superior season numbers – 13 wins vs 8 for Posušje, 29 goals scored vs 24 and 26 conceded vs 37. In the last 5 matches Velež scored 6 goals, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, averaging 1.6 points per game, while Posušje also have 6 goals but only 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses with an average of 1.0 point. The hosts are however strong at home in terms of chance creation and defense – on average 11.13 shots per game with 3.31 shots on target, home xG 1.28 per game vs away xG 1.11, plus only 0.94 goals conceded at home and 44% of home matches with a clean sheet. Velež’s key advantage is chance conversion efficiency: a 13% conversion rate away vs 7% for the hosts, which with fewer shots (7.69 vs 11.13) yields more goals (1.00 per game away vs 0.81 for Posušje). Considering league position (4th vs 8th), superior win record (13 vs 8) and better form and efficiency (1.6 points vs 1.0 in the last 5), I assign a 50% probability to a Velež win, 30% to a draw and 20% to a Posušje win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Posusje | Velež | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Velež is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Posusje · 1.4 pts / match - Velež
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Velež is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
0.69 goals / match - Posusje · 1 goals / match - Velež
Velež is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Posusje · 0.97 goals / match - Velež
Posusje scores in 50% of matches (18 of 36 matches), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 36% (13 of 36 matches).
Velež scores in 58% of matches (21 of 36 matches), while Posusje keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Posusje
Over / Under — Velež
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Posusje - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Velež - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Posusje
Velež
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Posusje | Liga | Velež | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.83 | 2.16 | ▼ 1.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 28% | 36% | • 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 38% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 38% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 59% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Posusje 1 - 1 - 1 Velež. Average goals 0.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Posusje vs Velež?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Posusje 1:1 Velež. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Posusje and Velež?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Posusje won 1, Velež won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Posusje vs Velež?
Posusje score 0.69 goals per game on average and Velež 1.00. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 28% of Posusje's matches and 36% of Velež's.
What form are Posusje and Velež in?
Over the last 5 games Posusje have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Velež 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Posusje vs Velež?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Posusje vs Velež: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.