Indonesia - Liga 1Data current as of October 18, 2026

PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya: match statistics

Reasoning:

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PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

PSM plays Persebaya Surabaya in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The game is scheduled for October 22, 2026.

Recent form

PSM has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Persebaya Surabaya has 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

PSM scores 1.60 goals per game and allows 2.40. Persebaya Surabaya scores 1.00 and allows 0.50. Games in this league average 3.07 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 80% of PSM's games and 50% of Persebaya Surabaya's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 0%, compared with league averages of 65% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Persebaya Surabaya has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.47 per game. PSM takes 11.6 shots per game, while Persebaya Surabaya takes 13.5.

First-half and second-half trends

PSM leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 1.20 goals per game after halftime. Persebaya Surabaya leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

PSM's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). For Persebaya Surabaya, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Liga 1 games average 3.07 goals. Both teams score in 65% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.6Goals scored / game1
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
2.4Goals allowed / game0.5
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
45%Average possession52%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
4.6Shots on target / game5
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.6Shots per game13.5
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
4.6Shots on target5
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
13.8%Shot conversion7.4%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
45%Possession52%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.47xG for1.52
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.31xG against1.04
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

Shooting quality

PSM: Counter-attackingPersebaya Surabaya: Balanced
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
Accuracy (shots on target)40%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Persebaya Surabaya is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - PSM · 2 pts / game - Persebaya Surabaya

PSM
LDDLW
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Last 5 at home
0-2-0
DD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Persebaya Surabaya
DWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-0
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-0
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 away
1-1-0
DW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

PSM is 60% better for: goals scored per game.

1.6 goals / game - PSM · 1 goals / game - Persebaya Surabaya

Persebaya Surabaya is 380% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.4 goals / game - PSM · 0.5 goals / game - Persebaya Surabaya

PSM scoring profile: strong

PSM scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Persebaya Surabaya keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 games).

Persebaya Surabaya scoring profile: very strong

Persebaya Surabaya scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 games), while PSM keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 games).

8Goals scored (season)4
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
12Goals conceded (season)2
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
4Average goals per game1.5
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
8Goals scored (last 5)4
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
12Goals conceded (last 5)2
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal100%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
60%2 goals0%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
20%3 goals0%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0%4 goals0%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal50%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
80%2 goals0%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
60%3 goals0%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0%4 goals0%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time0%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
20%BTTS in both halves0%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
20%Scored in both halves0%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

BTTS and goal count

80%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
80%BTTS - last 550%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
100%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
80%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Persebaya Surabaya is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.8 pts / game - PSM · 2 pts / game - Persebaya Surabaya

PSM - half-time state
20% leading20% draw60% trailing
Persebaya Surabaya - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.8Points per game (1st half)2
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.5
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.2Average goals (1st half)0.5
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
40%Clean sheet before half-time100%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
60%No goal before half-time50%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

After half-time (2nd half)

1.8Points per game (2nd half)1.25
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.2Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
1.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
2.8Average goals (2nd half)1
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
0%Clean sheet after half-time50%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya
40%No goal after half-time50%
PSMPersebaya Surabaya

PSM - second-half results

60% W0% D40% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.8

Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Persebaya Surabaya - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

PSM - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.80
Goals scored / game0.41.2
Goals allowed / game0.81.6
Average goals per game1.22.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%100%
3 goals20%80%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Persebaya Surabaya - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.25
Goals scored / game0.50.5
Goals allowed / game0.00.5
Average goals per game0.51.0
1 goal50%75%
2 goals0%25%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 25% won - 50% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

PSM
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Persebaya Surabaya
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-45%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

PSM

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.96
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-1.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
185%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Persebaya Surabaya

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
28%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).

Teams vs league

PSMLigaPersebaya Surabaya
Average goals per game▲ 4.003.07▼ 1.50
Both teams scored▲ 80%65%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 100%60%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▼ 0%17%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%74%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%81%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.07
Average goals per game
65%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
17%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / game
1.30
Away goals / game
+36%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
60%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from PSM's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Persebaya Surabaya. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

FAQ

When do PSM and Persebaya Surabaya play?

PSM face Persebaya Surabaya on October 22, 2026 in Liga 1. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between PSM and Persebaya Surabaya?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches PSM won 0, Persebaya Surabaya won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya?

PSM score 1.60 goals per game on average and Persebaya Surabaya 1.00. The Liga 1 average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 80% of PSM's matches and 50% of Persebaya Surabaya's.

What form are PSM and Persebaya Surabaya in?

Over the last 5 games PSM have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Persebaya Surabaya 2-2-0 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for PSM vs Persebaya Surabaya: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.