Qarabağ vs Araz: match statistics
Qarabağ vs Araz: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Qarabağ played against Araz in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game was played on September 6, 2026. Venue: Tofik Bakhramov. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Qarabağ has 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Araz has 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 0.33 points per game.
Scoring records
Qarabağ scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.50. Araz scores 0.00 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.33 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Qarabağ's games and 0% of Araz's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 33%, compared with league averages of 33% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Qarabağ has the higher season xG average, 2.52 to 0.99 per game. Qarabağ takes 19.0 shots per game, while Araz takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Qarabağ leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Araz leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Qarabağ's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). For Araz, it is minutes 0-15 (0 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premyer Liqası games average 2.33 goals. Both teams score in 33% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Qarabağ have a clear home advantage: they won their only home match so far 3:1, averaging 3 goals and an xG of 3.06. The hosts create a very high number of chances, averaging 23 shots and 11 on target per match, with 65% possession. Araz lost their only away fixture, failed to score and conceded as many as 5 goals, while their average attacking xG is just 1.31 compared to 2.02 xG conceded in front of their own goal. The difference is also reflected in their current form: Qarabağ have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 7 goals in that span, whereas Araz have conceded 9. Given this disparity in the quality of chances created and the visitors’ attacking problems, a Qarabağ victory is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as the current data for both teams shows that 0% of matches have featured goals from both sides, while the league records just 25% of such games. Qarabağ have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches so far and conceded only 1 goal, while Araz have yet to score and failed to find the net in 100% of their games. The last five matches present a more balanced picture, with both teams recording BTTS in 40% of their appearances and Araz averaging 1.54 xG, but the hosts remain clear favorites to limit the visitors. Araz concede an average of 1.8 goals across their last five matches and have allowed 2.02 xG per game in the current data, so the most likely outcome is a Qarabağ scoring result with at least one side failing to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Qarabağ’s last five matches produced an average of 2.6 goals, while Araz’s games averaged 3.0 goals; however, only 40% and 60% of them respectively went Over 2.5 goals. During this period, both teams created quality chances worth 1.52 and 1.54 xG per match, but they also conceded an average of 1.2 and 1.8 goals, respectively. This points more towards a total of around two or three goals than an open, high-scoring game. The league is clearly lower-scoring, with an average of just 2.0 goals and only 33% of matches finishing Over 2.5 goals. The Over/Under 3.5 line therefore has the strongest support, as at least four goals are required to surpass it, while league data and recent results do not indicate such a high scoring tempo.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Qarabağ win at full-time, as the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with just 1 of Araz’s last 5. In the first halves, Qarabağ averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, pointing to an evenly matched, cautious start. After the break, the hosts show a greater advantage: they score 1.0 goals on average compared with Araz’s 0.6, and they won the second half in 60% of their last five matches, while the visitors did so in only 20%. Overall, Qarabağ won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.4 goals, whereas Araz conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game. The data from the current, very small sample of the season is limited, but recent form and the hosts’ clearly stronger second-half performance reinforce the X/1 HT/FT option.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Qarabağ | Araz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Qarabağ is 809% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Qarabağ · 0.33 pts / game - Araz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Qarabağ is 300% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.5 goals / game - Qarabağ · 2 goals / game - Araz
Qarabağ scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 games), while Araz keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 games).
Araz scores in 0% of games (0 of 3 games), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qarabağ
Over / Under - Araz
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Qarabağ is 199% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Qarabağ · 0.67 pts / game - Araz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Araz - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Qarabağ
Araz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Qarabağ | Liga | Araz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.50 | 2.33 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 33% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 40% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 62% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Qarabağ's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Araz. Games average 5.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Qarabağ vs Araz?
The Premyer Liqası match finished Qarabağ 3:2 Araz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Qarabağ and Araz?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 3, Araz won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Qarabağ vs Araz?
Qarabağ score 2.00 goals per game on average and Araz 0.00. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Qarabağ's matches and 0% of Araz's.
What form are Qarabağ and Araz in?
Over the last 5 games Qarabağ have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Araz 0-1-2 (0.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qarabağ vs Araz?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


