Qarabağ vs Neftçi: match statistics
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Qarabağ vs Neftçi: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Qarabağ plays Neftçi in Premyer Liqası (Azerbaijan). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026.
Recent form
Qarabağ has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Neftçi has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Qarabağ scores 1.83 goals per game and allows 0.67. Neftçi scores 2.57 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 2.42 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Qarabağ's games and 43% of Neftçi's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 71%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Qarabağ has the higher season xG average, 2.32 to 1.85 per game. Qarabağ takes 17.5 shots per game, while Neftçi takes 14.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Qarabağ leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.33 goals per game after halftime. Neftçi leads at halftime in 57% and scores 1.14 after halftime.
When the teams score
Qarabağ's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). For Neftçi, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premyer Liqası games average 2.42 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Qarabağ | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Qarabağ is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Qarabağ · 2 pts / game - Neftçi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Neftçi is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1.83 goals / game - Qarabağ · 2.57 goals / game - Neftçi
Qarabağ is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.67 goals / game - Qarabağ · 0.71 goals / game - Neftçi
Qarabağ scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Neftçi keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 games).
Neftçi scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Qarabağ keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Qarabağ
Over / Under - Neftçi
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Neftçi is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / game - Qarabağ · 2 pts / game - Neftçi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Qarabağ - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 83%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Neftçi - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 57% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Qarabağ
Neftçi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premyer Liqası).
Teams vs league
| Qarabağ | Liga | Neftçi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.50 | 2.42 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | • 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 43% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 34% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Qarabağ's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Neftçi. Games average 3.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
When do Qarabağ and Neftçi play?
Qarabağ face Neftçi on October 17, 2026 in Premyer Liqası. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Qarabağ and Neftçi?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 2, Neftçi won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Qarabağ vs Neftçi?
Qarabağ score 1.83 goals per game on average and Neftçi 2.57. The Premyer Liqası average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Qarabağ's matches and 43% of Neftçi's.
What form are Qarabağ and Neftçi in?
Over the last 5 games Qarabağ have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Neftçi 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Qarabağ vs Neftçi?
The statistical background for Qarabağ vs Neftçi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.