Spain - La LigaEstadio de VallecasData current as of October 18, 2026

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Bilbao: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Bilbao: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Rayo Vallecano plays Athletic Club Bilbao in La Liga (Spain). The game is scheduled for October 10, 2026. Venue: Estadio de Vallecas.

Recent form

Rayo Vallecano has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Athletic Club Bilbao has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Rayo Vallecano scores 1.57 goals per game and allows 2.29. Athletic Club Bilbao scores 1.17 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 3.03 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 100% of Rayo Vallecano's games and 33% of Athletic Club Bilbao's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 33%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Athletic Club Bilbao has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.45 per game. Rayo Vallecano takes 13.4 shots per game, while Athletic Club Bilbao takes 15.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Rayo Vallecano leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Athletic Club Bilbao leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.83 after halftime.

When the teams score

Rayo Vallecano's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). For Athletic Club Bilbao, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

La Liga games average 3.03 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.01)
(3.50)
(2.25)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
1.57Goals scored / game1.17
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
2.29Goals allowed / game1
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
49%Average possession52%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
4.57Shots on target / game4.67
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.43Shots per game15.67
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
4.57Shots on target4.67
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
11.7%Shot conversion7.4%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
49%Possession52%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
1.45xG for1.68
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
1.8xG against1.12
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao

Shooting quality

Rayo Vallecano: BalancedAthletic Club Bilbao: Attacking
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
Accuracy (shots on target)34%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Athletic Club Bilbao is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Rayo Vallecano · 1.6 pts / game - Athletic Club Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano
LWLWD
Season result split
29% W29% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-3
1.14 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.92BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Athletic Club Bilbao
LWWDD
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-2
1.33 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Rayo Vallecano is 34% better for: goals scored per game.

1.57 goals / game - Rayo Vallecano · 1.17 goals / game - Athletic Club Bilbao

Athletic Club Bilbao is 129% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.29 goals / game - Rayo Vallecano · 1 goals / game - Athletic Club Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano scoring profile: very strong

Rayo Vallecano scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Athletic Club Bilbao keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 games).

Athletic Club Bilbao scoring profile: very strong

Athletic Club Bilbao scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 games), while Rayo Vallecano keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).

11Goals scored (season)7
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
16Goals conceded (season)6
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
3.86Average goals per game2.17
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
9Goals scored (last 5)6
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
13Goals conceded (last 5)3
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal67%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
43%2 goals33%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
14%3 goals17%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
0%4 goals0%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal50%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
57%2 goals33%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
29%3 goals17%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
29%4 goals0%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

33%
Athletic Club Bilbao - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.2 of 6 games
59%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time0%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
14%BTTS in both halves0%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
29%Scored in both halves0%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS17%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
100%BTTS - last 520%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
43%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rayo Vallecano is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / game - Rayo Vallecano · 1 pts / game - Athletic Club Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano - half-time state
29% leading29% draw43% trailing
Athletic Club Bilbao - half-time state
17% leading50% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per game (1st half)1
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
0.86Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
1.14Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
2Average goals (1st half)0.67
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
43%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
43%No goal before half-time83%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per game (2nd half)1
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
1.14Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
1.86Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
29%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao
29%No goal after half-time50%
Rayo VallecanoAthletic Club Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano - second-half results

29% W29% D43% L
8
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Athletic Club Bilbao - second-half results

17% W50% D33% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Rayo Vallecano - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.40
Goals scored / game1.00.8
Goals allowed / game1.61.0
Average goals per game2.61.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Athletic Club Bilbao - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.61.2
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Rayo Vallecano
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
2
5
16-30
1
1
31-45
5
3
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Athletic Club Bilbao
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.02
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Rayo Vallecano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
172%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Athletic Club Bilbao

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).

Teams vs league

Rayo VallecanoLigaAthletic Club Bilbao
Average goals per game▲ 3.863.03▼ 2.17
Both teams scored▲ 100%59%▼ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%56%▼ 33%
Clean sheets▼ 0%24%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 86%67%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%81%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.03
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.70
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Rayo Vallecano's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Athletic Club Bilbao. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1
Athletic Club Bilbao
Athletic Club Bilbao
1 : 0
Rayo Vallecano

FAQ

When do Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club Bilbao play?

Rayo Vallecano face Athletic Club Bilbao on October 10, 2026 in La Liga at Estadio de Vallecas. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club Bilbao?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 0, Athletic Club Bilbao won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Bilbao?

Rayo Vallecano score 1.57 goals per game on average and Athletic Club Bilbao 1.17. The La Liga average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Rayo Vallecano's matches and 33% of Athletic Club Bilbao's.

What form are Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club Bilbao in?

Over the last 5 games Rayo Vallecano have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Athletic Club Bilbao 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Bilbao?

The statistical background for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Bilbao — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.