Italy - Serie C Group AStadio Città di MedaData current as of October 22, 2026

Renate vs Novara: match statistics

Renate crest
Renate
1 : 2half-time 0:0
Novara crest
Novara

Renate vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Renate played against Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on September 7, 2026. Venue: Stadio Città di Meda. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Renate has 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Novara has 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 0.50 points per game.

Scoring records

Renate scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 2.00. Novara scores 1.00 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.04 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Renate's games and 50% of Novara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Renate has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.21 per game. Renate takes 15.0 shots per game, while Novara takes 10.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Renate leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.00 goals per game after halftime. Novara leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Renate's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). For Novara, it is minutes 46-60 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group A games average 2.04 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Novara are showing clearly stronger recent form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2.0 points per game, while Renate have recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, averaging 0.8 points per game. The visitors have conceded just 4 goals in their last five appearances, whereas Renate have allowed 9 opposition goals over the same period. In the home-and-away split, neither team has scored yet and both have suffered one defeat, but Novara have been more effective at limiting the quality of their opponents’ chances: their average xG against is 1.03 compared with Renate’s 1.48. Renate register more shots on target at home, 4 per match compared with Novara’s 2 away, but they have failed to convert this into a goal, reducing the value of the home advantage. A closely contested match with few goals is expected; however, the stronger recent trend and more stable defense point towards a narrow Novara victory.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Novara’s difficulty in scoring: in the away-season data, they average 0.0 goals and failed to find the net in 100% of such matches. Renate have a weak defense, conceding an average of 2.0 goals at home, while their opponents create 1.75 xG against them; however, Novara’s recent form remains limited to 1.4 goals scored per match. In their last five appearances, BTTS occurred for both teams in only 40% of matches, below the league average of 45%. Novara are indeed on a good run, with 7 goals scored and only 4 conceded in their last five matches, but their seasonal away inefficiency clearly increases the likelihood that at least one team will fail to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

In their last five matches, Renate averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while Novara scored 1.4 goals and conceded just 0.8. The hosts’ attacking potential according to xG stands at 1.66, but Novara have limited their opponents to 1.65 xG, which does not suggest a one-sided, high-scoring game. In their last five matches, the 2.5-goal line was exceeded in 60% of Renate’s games and 40% of Novara’s, while the league-wide average is only 2.05 goals and Over 2.5 has landed in 35% of matches. A projected total of 2.40 goals leaves a realistic chance of three goals, but a scenario with at least four goals is clearly less likely, making Under 3.5 the best option.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Novara have shown significantly better form in their last five matches: they won three games, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding just 0.8, while Renate lost three times, scored 1.0 goal and conceded 1.8. The visitors’ advantage is already evident before half-time, as they were leading at the break in 60% of their recent matches, whereas Renate were trailing at that stage in 60%. Novara average 1.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded before half-time, while Renate’s figures stand at 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. After the break, the visitors drew the second half in 80% of their recent appearances, which supports their ability to preserve an early lead. The most likely scenario therefore remains Novara taking the lead at half-time and securing the victory by full-time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 2
Second half

Game stats

71Possession (%)29
RenateNovara
15Shots15
RenateNovara
5Shots on target6
RenateNovara
1.77xG1.57
RenateNovara
6Corners4
RenateNovara
66Dangerous attacks29
RenateNovara
7Fouls13
RenateNovara
1Cards3
RenateNovara

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.5Goals scored / game1
RenateNovara
2Goals allowed / game1.5
RenateNovara
48%Average possession36%
RenateNovara
4Shots on target / game1.5
RenateNovara

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15Shots per game10.5
RenateNovara
4Shots on target1.5
RenateNovara
3.3%Shot conversion9.5%
RenateNovara
48%Possession36%
RenateNovara
1.57xG for1.21
RenateNovara
1.46xG against1.39
RenateNovara

Shooting quality

Renate: AttackingNovara: Balanced
RenateNovara
Accuracy (shots on target)27%14%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.130.67

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Renate
LL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W0% D100% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / game · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Novara
LD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W50% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Novara is 100% better for: goals scored per game.

0.5 goals / game - Renate · 1 goals / game - Novara

Novara is 33% better for: goals allowed per game.

2 goals / game - Renate · 1.5 goals / game - Novara

Renate scoring profile: very strong

Renate scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 games).

Novara scoring profile: very strong

Novara scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while Renate keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 games).

1Goals scored (season)2
RenateNovara
4Goals conceded (season)3
RenateNovara
2.5Average goals per game2.5
RenateNovara
1Goals scored (last 5)2
RenateNovara
4Goals conceded (last 5)3
RenateNovara

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal50%
RenateNovara
0%2 goals50%
RenateNovara
0%3 goals0%
RenateNovara
0%4 goals0%
RenateNovara

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
RenateNovara
50%2 goals50%
RenateNovara
50%3 goals0%
RenateNovara
0%4 goals0%
RenateNovara

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time0%
RenateNovara
0%BTTS in both halves0%
RenateNovara
0%Scored in both halves0%
RenateNovara

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
RenateNovara
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
RenateNovara
50%BTTS - last 550%
RenateNovara

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
RenateNovara
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
RenateNovara
50%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
RenateNovara

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
RenateNovara
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
RenateNovara
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
RenateNovara

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Renate - half-time state
0% leading0% draw100% trailing
Novara - half-time state
0% leading0% draw100% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0Points per game (1st half)0
RenateNovara
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0
RenateNovara
1.5Goals conceded (1st half)1
RenateNovara
2Average goals (1st half)1
RenateNovara
0%Clean sheet before half-time0%
RenateNovara
50%No goal before half-time100%
RenateNovara

After half-time (2nd half)

0.5Points per game (2nd half)2
RenateNovara
0Goals scored (2nd half)1
RenateNovara
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
RenateNovara
0.5Average goals (2nd half)1.5
RenateNovara
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
RenateNovara
100%No goal after half-time50%
RenateNovara

Renate - second-half results

0% W50% D50% L
0
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-1.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Novara - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
0
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Renate - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.000.50
Goals scored / game0.50.0
Goals allowed / game1.50.5
Average goals per game2.00.5
1 goal100%50%
2 goals50%0%
3 goals50%0%
Clean sheet0%50%
No goal50%100%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 50% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 1
Novara - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.002.00
Goals scored / game0.01.0
Goals allowed / game1.00.5
Average goals per game1.01.5
1 goal100%50%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet0%50%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Renate
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Novara
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
123%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
0%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Renate

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
41%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
247%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Novara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

RenateLigaNovara
Average goals per game▲ 2.502.04▲ 2.50
Both teams scored▲ 50%46%▲ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%38%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 0%35%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%54%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%62%▼ 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.04
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
35%
Clean sheets
1.23
Home goals / game
0.81
Away goals / game
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defensive advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
54%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. NovaraYellow cardFilippo Lorenzini
  2. RenateYellow cardNicola Anelli
  3. NovaraYellow cardGianmarco Basso
  4. NovaraGoalDiego ZuppelAssist: Nicolò Ledonne
  5. RenateSubstitutionOn: Samuele CarecciaOff: Nicola Anelli
  6. RenateSubstitutionOn: Salvatore DoreOff: Michele Calì
  7. NovaraSubstitutionOn: Eyob ZambataroOff: Sylvester Lartey
  8. RenateSubstitutionOn: Corrado RivieraOff: Pasquale Ruiz Giraldo
  9. NovaraYellow cardFederico Brancolini

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Renate's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Novara. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Renate vs Novara?

The Serie C Group A match finished Renate 1:2 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Renate and Novara?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Renate won 2, Novara won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Renate vs Novara?

Renate score 0.50 goals per game on average and Novara 1.00. The Serie C Group A average is 2.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Renate's matches and 50% of Novara's.

What form are Renate and Novara in?

Over the last 5 games Renate have a 0-0-2 record (0.00 points per game) and Novara 0-1-1 (0.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Renate vs Novara?

The statistical background for Renate vs Novara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.