Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava: match statistics
Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Rīgas FS played against FS Jelgava in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Stadions Arkādija grass. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
Rīgas FS has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. FS Jelgava has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Rīgas FS scores 2.37 goals per game and allows 0.73. FS Jelgava scores 1.03 and allows 1.58. Games in this league average 2.84 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Rīgas FS's games and 42% of FS Jelgava's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 39%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Rīgas FS has the higher season xG average, 1.98 to 1.34 per game. Rīgas FS takes 16.3 shots per game, while FS Jelgava takes 11.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Rīgas FS leads at halftime in 53% of its games and scores 1.30 goals per game after halftime. FS Jelgava leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.52 after halftime.
When the teams score
Rīgas FS's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). For FS Jelgava, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 2.84 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 5 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
League leaders Rīgas FS have won 23 of their 30 league matches, while seventh-placed FS Jelgava have recorded 8 wins in 31 games. At home, the hosts score an average of 3 goals and concede 0.86 per match, while Jelgava score 1.27 goals and concede 1.6 away from home. Rīgas FS’s advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances they create: their home xG is 1.93, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.45, while their opponents average 1.81 xG. The hosts keep a clean sheet in 43% of home matches, whereas Jelgava fail to score in 40% of their away games. Both teams have recorded two wins in their last five matches, so recent form does not favor either side decisively. However, overall season performance and the home record point to Rīgas FS.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest case for BTTS - No is that the home side have failed to score in 56% of their matches, with a season average of just 0.81 goals. The visitors have scored more often, averaging 1.27 goals, but they have also failed to find the net in 40% of their games. So far, both teams have scored in 31% of the home side’s matches and 53% of the visitors’ matches, which does not provide a strong signal for BTTS - Yes. The last five matches look more promising for both attacks—averaging 1.6 and 1.4 goals, with BTTS in 60% and 40% of those games, respectively—so the preference for BTTS - No is only slight. BTTS - No means at least one team is expected not to score; it does not necessarily mean a 0-0 draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals, a result seen in 81% of Rīgas FS matches and 60% of FS Jelgava matches. The hosts average 0.81 goals scored, while the visitors average 1.27, although both teams concede 1.56 and 1.60 goals per match, respectively. Over their last five matches, each team conceded an average of 1.0 goal, while their average total goals were 2.6 and 2.4. The projected total of 2.52 goals allows for a two- or three-goal outcome, giving Under 3.5 goals a clearer edge than the more evenly balanced 2.5-goal line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as both teams went into the break level in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Jelgava did not lead at the break on any occasion during that period. Across the season, the visitors have scored more goals than the hosts, averaging 1.27 compared with 0.81 per match. However, in their last 5 outings, Rīgas FS have raised their average to 1.6 goals, compared with Jelgava’s 1.4. This improvement narrows the visitors’ advantage, while Jelgava have also drawn as many as 40% of their matches this season. After the break, it is difficult to identify a clear favorite to come out on top: in their last 5 matches, both teams averaged 1.0 second-half goals. Therefore, a draw at half-time and full-time is the single most likely scenario, although Jelgava’s superior scoring record over the season leaves a real possibility of a late win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Rīgas FS | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Rīgas FS is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Rīgas FS · 1.4 pts / game - FS Jelgava
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rīgas FS is 130% better for: goals scored per game.
2.37 goals / game - Rīgas FS · 1.03 goals / game - FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS is 116% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.73 goals / game - Rīgas FS · 1.58 goals / game - FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS scores in 93% of games (28 of 30 games), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 games).
FS Jelgava scores in 52% of games (16 of 31 games), while Rīgas FS keeps a clean sheet in 50% (15 of 30 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Rīgas FS
Over / Under - FS Jelgava
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rīgas FS is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.9 pts / game - Rīgas FS · 1.16 pts / game - FS Jelgava
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Rīgas FS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 77%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 26%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Rīgas FS | Liga | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.10 | 2.84 | ▼ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 54% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 53% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 25% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Rīgas FS's perspective: 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against FS Jelgava. Games average 2.43 goals, and both teams scored in 29% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?
The Virsliga match finished Rīgas FS 4:2 FS Jelgava. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Rīgas FS and FS Jelgava?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Rīgas FS won 5, FS Jelgava won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.43 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?
Rīgas FS score 2.37 goals per game on average and FS Jelgava 1.03. The Virsliga average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Rīgas FS's matches and 42% of FS Jelgava's.
What form are Rīgas FS and FS Jelgava in?
Over the last 5 games Rīgas FS have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and FS Jelgava 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava?
The statistical background for Rīgas FS vs FS Jelgava — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


