United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of August 13, 2026

Sacramento Republic vs Lexington: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Sacramento Republic vs Lexington: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Sacramento Republic plays Lexington in USL Championship (United States). The game is scheduled for August 16, 2026.

Recent form

Sacramento Republic has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Lexington has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Sacramento Republic scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 1.00. Lexington scores 1.57 and allows 1.43. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 57% of Sacramento Republic's games and 64% of Lexington's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 64%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Lexington has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.36 per game. Sacramento Republic takes 10.7 shots per game, while Lexington takes 12.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Sacramento Republic leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Lexington leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.86 after halftime.

When the teams score

Sacramento Republic's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Lexington, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

USL Championship games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 3 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.74)
(3.50)
(4.10)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Sacramento RepublicLexington
1.14Goals scored / game1.57
Sacramento RepublicLexington
1Goals allowed / game1.43
Sacramento RepublicLexington
53%Average possession51%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
3.43Shots on target / game4.36
Sacramento RepublicLexington

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.71Shots per game12.21
Sacramento RepublicLexington
3.43Shots on target4.36
Sacramento RepublicLexington
10.7%Shot conversion12.9%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
53%Possession51%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
1.36xG for1.43
Sacramento RepublicLexington
1.38xG against1.34
Sacramento RepublicLexington

Shooting quality

Sacramento Republic: BalancedLexington: Balanced
Sacramento RepublicLexington
Accuracy (shots on target)32%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Lexington is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Sacramento Republic · 1.8 pts / game - Lexington

Sacramento Republic
LWLWD
Season result split
36% W36% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-4
1.43 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Lexington
LWWWL
Season result split
36% W21% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-6
1.29 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lexington is 38% better for: goals scored per game.

1.14 goals / game - Sacramento Republic · 1.57 goals / game - Lexington

Sacramento Republic is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Sacramento Republic · 1.43 goals / game - Lexington

Sacramento Republic scoring profile: very strong

Sacramento Republic scores in 79% of games (11 of 14 meczów), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 meczów).

Lexington scoring profile: very strong

Lexington scores in 79% of games (11 of 14 meczów), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 meczów).

16Goals scored (season)22
Sacramento RepublicLexington
14Goals conceded (season)20
Sacramento RepublicLexington
2.14Average goals per game3
Sacramento RepublicLexington
4Goals scored (last 5)12
Sacramento RepublicLexington
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
Sacramento RepublicLexington

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal79%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
29%2 goals36%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
7%3 goals29%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
0%4 goals14%
Sacramento RepublicLexington

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal71%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
29%2 goals43%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
0%3 goals21%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
0%4 goals7%
Sacramento RepublicLexington

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

57%
Sacramento Republic - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.8 of 14 meczów
58%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time7%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
0%Scored in both halves21%
Sacramento RepublicLexington

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS57%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
40%BTTS - last 580%
Sacramento RepublicLexington

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Sacramento RepublicLexington

2nd half

64%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time64%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
Sacramento RepublicLexington

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lexington is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.93 pts / game - Sacramento Republic · 1.36 pts / game - Lexington

Sacramento Republic - half-time state
14% leading50% draw36% trailing
Lexington - half-time state
36% leading29% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.93Points per game (1st half)1.36
Sacramento RepublicLexington
0.36Goals scored (1st half)0.71
Sacramento RepublicLexington
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
Sacramento RepublicLexington
1.07Average goals (1st half)1.29
Sacramento RepublicLexington
50%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
79%No goal before half-time57%
Sacramento RepublicLexington

After half-time (2nd half)

1.79Points per game (2nd half)1.07
Sacramento RepublicLexington
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.86
Sacramento RepublicLexington
0.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
Sacramento RepublicLexington
1.07Average goals (2nd half)1.71
Sacramento RepublicLexington
71%Clean sheet after half-time36%
Sacramento RepublicLexington
43%No goal after half-time43%
Sacramento RepublicLexington

Sacramento Republic - second-half results

43% W50% R7% P
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.93
PPG before half-time
Lead holding257%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Lexington - second-half results

21% W43% R36% P
19
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Sacramento Republic - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.00.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Lexington - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.40
Goals scored / game1.01.4
Goals allowed / game0.61.2
Average goals per game1.62.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Sacramento Republic
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
3
6
16-30
1
4
31-45
3
0
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Lexington
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
4
6
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.57
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-48%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Sacramento Republic

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Lexington

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Sacramento RepublicLigaLexington
Average goals per game 2.142.79 3.00
Both teams scored 57%58% 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%52% 64%
Clean sheets 29%26% 29%
Goal before half-time 57%67% 71%
Goal after half-time 64%80% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per game
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / game
1.25
Away goals / game
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Sacramento Republic's perspective: 0 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses against Lexington. Games average 1.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Lexington SC
0 : 0
Sacramento Republic FC
Lexington SC
2 : 2
Sacramento Republic FC
Sacramento Republic FC
0 : 0
Lexington SC

FAQ

When do Sacramento Republic and Lexington play?

Sacramento Republic face Lexington on August 16, 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sacramento Republic and Lexington?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 0, Lexington won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sacramento Republic vs Lexington?

Sacramento Republic score 1.14 goals per game on average and Lexington 1.57. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Sacramento Republic's matches and 64% of Lexington's.

What form are Sacramento Republic and Lexington in?

Over the last 5 games Sacramento Republic have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Lexington 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sacramento Republic vs Lexington?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.