Sacramento Republic vs Lexington: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Sacramento Republic vs Lexington: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sacramento Republic plays Lexington in USL Championship (United States). The game is scheduled for August 16, 2026.
Recent form
Sacramento Republic has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Lexington has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Sacramento Republic scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 1.00. Lexington scores 1.57 and allows 1.43. Games in this league average 2.79 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Sacramento Republic's games and 64% of Lexington's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 64%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lexington has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 1.36 per game. Sacramento Republic takes 10.7 shots per game, while Lexington takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Sacramento Republic leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Lexington leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sacramento Republic's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Lexington, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.79 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 3 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sacramento Republic | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lexington is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Sacramento Republic · 1.8 pts / game - Lexington
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lexington is 38% better for: goals scored per game.
1.14 goals / game - Sacramento Republic · 1.57 goals / game - Lexington
Sacramento Republic is 43% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Sacramento Republic · 1.43 goals / game - Lexington
Sacramento Republic scores in 79% of games (11 of 14 meczów), while Lexington keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 meczów).
Lexington scores in 79% of games (11 of 14 meczów), while Sacramento Republic keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sacramento Republic
Over / Under - Lexington
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lexington is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / game - Sacramento Republic · 1.36 pts / game - Lexington
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sacramento Republic - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lexington - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sacramento Republic
Lexington
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Sacramento Republic | Liga | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.14 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 58% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 52% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Sacramento Republic's perspective: 0 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses against Lexington. Games average 1.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
When do Sacramento Republic and Lexington play?
Sacramento Republic face Lexington on August 16, 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sacramento Republic and Lexington?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sacramento Republic won 0, Lexington won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sacramento Republic vs Lexington?
Sacramento Republic score 1.14 goals per game on average and Lexington 1.57. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Sacramento Republic's matches and 64% of Lexington's.
What form are Sacramento Republic and Lexington in?
Over the last 5 games Sacramento Republic have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Lexington 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sacramento Republic vs Lexington?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


