Samgurali vs Gagra: match statistics
Samgurali vs Gagra: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Samgurali played against Gagra in Erovnuli Liga (Georgia). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Samgurali has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Gagra has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Samgurali scores 1.41 goals per game and allows 1.93. Gagra scores 0.93 and allows 1.37. Games in this league average 2.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of Samgurali's games and 56% of Gagra's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 41%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Samgurali has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.33 per game. Samgurali takes 11.5 shots per game, while Gagra takes 10.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Samgurali leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.85 goals per game after halftime. Gagra leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.56 after halftime.
When the teams score
Samgurali's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Gagra, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Erovnuli Liga games average 2.70 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 14% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Samgurali have the home advantage: they score an average of 1.38 goals per match at home, while Gagra manage just 0.77 goals away. The hosts also create better chances, recording an xG of 1.48 compared with the visitors’ 1.14, and Gagra have failed to score in 46% of their away matches. Both defenses give opponents opportunities—Samgurali concede an average of 1.54 goals at home, while Gagra concede 1.62 away—so a home win is far from certain. Samgurali’s recent form is another cause for caution: they have picked up just one point and conceded 12 goals in their last five matches, while Gagra have won one of their last five and conceded seven. Even so, the hosts’ edge in finishing and the quality of their chance creation makes the 1 pick the preferred option.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams scored in 64% of Samgurali’s matches this season and in all of their last 5 games, while this scenario occurred in 46% of Gagra’s matches. The hosts have conceded an average of 2.4 goals per game recently, increasing Gagra’s chances of scoring despite their modest season average of 0.77 goals. Meanwhile, Samgurali have averaged 1.4 goals across their last 5 matches, and Gagra have conceded 1.4; the hosts’ goal is also supported by their xG of 1.51, compared with the 1.71 xG conceded by the visitors. The main caveat is that Gagra have failed to score in 46% of their matches, so the edge for BTTS - Yes is slight.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this line was not exceeded in 93% of Samgurali’s matches and 85% of Gagra’s. The hosts create chances worth an average xG of 1.51, while the visitors concede an xG of 1.71, giving Samgurali a greater chance of scoring. Gagra’s attacking threat is more limited: they score an average of 0.77 goals and failed to score in 46% of their matches. The risk of a higher-scoring game is increased by Samgurali’s recent form — their previous five matches averaged 3.8 goals, with Over 2.5 goals landing in 80% of them. Despite this, both teams’ season results and a forecast of 2.45 total goals suggest that Under 3.5 goals remains the safest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Samgurali were level at half-time in 50% of their matches, compared with 54% for Gagra, pointing to a closely contested scoreline after 45 minutes. A draw at full-time also has a solid basis: the hosts finished 50% of their matches that way, while the visitors did so in 31%. Samgurali create more chances, averaging 1.51 xG against Gagra’s 1.14, but have lost four of their last five matches, so a home win is difficult to rate as more likely than a draw. Both teams score few goals after the break—0.57 and 0.54 on average, respectively—making the draw the most likely individual HT/FT scenario to hold through to full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Samgurali | Gagra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gagra is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Samgurali · 1 pts / game - Gagra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Samgurali is 52% better for: goals scored per game.
1.41 goals / game - Samgurali · 0.93 goals / game - Gagra
Gagra is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.93 goals / game - Samgurali · 1.37 goals / game - Gagra
Samgurali scores in 78% of games (21 of 27 games), while Gagra keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 games).
Gagra scores in 67% of games (18 of 27 games), while Samgurali keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Samgurali
Over / Under - Gagra
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gagra is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / game - Samgurali · 0.96 pts / game - Gagra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Samgurali - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Gagra - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Samgurali
Gagra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Erovnuli Liga).
Teams vs league
| Samgurali | Liga | Gagra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.33 | 2.70 | ▼ 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 59% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 54% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 25% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Samgurali's perspective: 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses against Gagra. Games average 1.57 goals, and both teams scored in 14% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Samgurali vs Gagra?
The Erovnuli Liga match finished Samgurali 3:0 Gagra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Samgurali and Gagra?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Samgurali won 3, Gagra won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 14% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Samgurali vs Gagra?
Samgurali score 1.41 goals per game on average and Gagra 0.93. The Erovnuli Liga average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Samgurali's matches and 56% of Gagra's.
What form are Samgurali and Gagra in?
Over the last 5 games Samgurali have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Gagra 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Samgurali vs Gagra?
The statistical background for Samgurali vs Gagra — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.