Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of October 18, 2026

SC Villa vs Mbarara City: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

SC Villa vs Mbarara City: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

SC Villa plays Mbarara City in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game is scheduled for October 22, 2026.

Recent form

SC Villa has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Mbarara City has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

SC Villa scores 2.33 goals per game and allows 0.50. Mbarara City scores 0.40 and allows 0.60. Games in this league average 2.14 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of SC Villa's games and 20% of Mbarara City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 20%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Mbarara City has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.38 per game. SC Villa takes 7.8 shots per game, while Mbarara City takes 11.0.

First-half and second-half trends

SC Villa leads at halftime in 83% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Mbarara City leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

SC Villa's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). For Mbarara City, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Uganda Premier League games average 2.14 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

SC VillaMbarara City
2.33Goals scored / game0.4
SC VillaMbarara City
0.5Goals allowed / game0.6
SC VillaMbarara City
47%Average possession46%
SC VillaMbarara City
3.17Shots on target / game3.8
SC VillaMbarara City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

7.83Shots per game11
SC VillaMbarara City
3.17Shots on target3.8
SC VillaMbarara City
29.8%Shot conversion3.6%
SC VillaMbarara City
47%Possession46%
SC VillaMbarara City
1.38xG for1.5
SC VillaMbarara City
1.2xG against1.37
SC VillaMbarara City

Shooting quality

SC Villa: Counter-attackingMbarara City: Balanced
SC VillaMbarara City
Accuracy (shots on target)40%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.740.11

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

SC Villa is 160% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - SC Villa · 1 pts / game - Mbarara City

SC Villa
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-0
2.33 pts / game · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
DWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Mbarara City
LDDLW
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 away
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

SC Villa is 483% better for: goals scored per game.

2.33 goals / game - SC Villa · 0.4 goals / game - Mbarara City

SC Villa is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.5 goals / game - SC Villa · 0.6 goals / game - Mbarara City

SC Villa scoring profile: very strong

SC Villa scores in 100% of games (6 of 6 games), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).

Mbarara City scoring profile: more difficult

Mbarara City scores in 20% of games (1 of 5 games), while SC Villa keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 games).

14Goals scored (season)2
SC VillaMbarara City
3Goals conceded (season)3
SC VillaMbarara City
2.83Average goals per game1
SC VillaMbarara City
13Goals scored (last 5)2
SC VillaMbarara City
2Goals conceded (last 5)3
SC VillaMbarara City

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal20%
SC VillaMbarara City
50%2 goals20%
SC VillaMbarara City
33%3 goals0%
SC VillaMbarara City
17%4 goals0%
SC VillaMbarara City

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal60%
SC VillaMbarara City
0%2 goals0%
SC VillaMbarara City
0%3 goals0%
SC VillaMbarara City
0%4 goals0%
SC VillaMbarara City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
SC VillaMbarara City
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SC VillaMbarara City
50%Scored in both halves0%
SC VillaMbarara City

BTTS and goal count

17%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
SC VillaMbarara City
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
SC VillaMbarara City
40%BTTS - last 520%
SC VillaMbarara City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time40%
SC VillaMbarara City
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
SC VillaMbarara City
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
SC VillaMbarara City

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time40%
SC VillaMbarara City
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
SC VillaMbarara City
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
SC VillaMbarara City

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

SC Villa is 123% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.67 pts / game - SC Villa · 1.2 pts / game - Mbarara City

SC Villa - half-time state
83% leading17% draw0% trailing
Mbarara City - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.67Points per game (1st half)1.2
SC VillaMbarara City
1.33Goals scored (1st half)0.4
SC VillaMbarara City
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
SC VillaMbarara City
1.33Average goals (1st half)0.6
SC VillaMbarara City
100%Clean sheet before half-time80%
SC VillaMbarara City
17%No goal before half-time80%
SC VillaMbarara City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.83Points per game (2nd half)0.6
SC VillaMbarara City
1Goals scored (2nd half)0
SC VillaMbarara City
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
SC VillaMbarara City
1.5Average goals (2nd half)0.4
SC VillaMbarara City
50%Clean sheet after half-time60%
SC VillaMbarara City
33%No goal after half-time100%
SC VillaMbarara City

SC Villa - second-half results

50% W33% D17% L
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding81%

Leads at halftime in 83% of games and wins 67%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Mbarara City - second-half results

0% W60% D40% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

SC Villa - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.602.20
Goals scored / game1.41.2
Goals allowed / game0.00.4
Average goals per game1.41.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+7+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 7
Mbarara City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.200.60
Goals scored / game0.40.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.60.4
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

SC Villa
ScoredConceded
5
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Mbarara City
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.92
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 0.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+187%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
20%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

SC Villa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.95
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.70
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
216%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
47%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 36% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Mbarara City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.77
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
38%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

SC VillaLigaMbarara City
Average goals per game▲ 2.832.14▼ 1.00
Both teams scored▲ 50%36%▼ 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%40%▼ 20%
Clean sheets▲ 50%40%• 40%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%58%▼ 40%
Goal after half-time▲ 83%68%▼ 40%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.14
Average goals per game
36%
Both teams scored
40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
1.08
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+2%
Home attack advantage
+2%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from SC Villa's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Mbarara City. Games average 5.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do SC Villa and Mbarara City play?

SC Villa face Mbarara City on October 22, 2026 in Uganda Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between SC Villa and Mbarara City?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches SC Villa won 2, Mbarara City won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before SC Villa vs Mbarara City?

SC Villa score 2.33 goals per game on average and Mbarara City 0.40. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 50% of SC Villa's matches and 20% of Mbarara City's.

What form are SC Villa and Mbarara City in?

Over the last 5 games SC Villa have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Mbarara City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for SC Villa vs Mbarara City?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for SC Villa vs Mbarara City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.