Široki Brijeg vs Velež: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched game between teams in similar form. Široki Brijeg is in 5th place and has a 40% win rate at home, but their recent form is poor (1 win in the last 5 matches, PPG 1.0). Velež from 4th place shows better current form (2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches, PPG 1.8), but away from home they win only 40% of games and fail to score in as many as 40% of matches. A key factor is Velež's advantage in possession (51% vs 47%) and better shooting accuracy (15% vs 10%), but their lower away xG (1.13 vs 1.36 of the hosts) suggests difficulties in creating chances. Both teams concede an average of 1.3 goals per game, which suggests an open game, but Velež's current form (unbeaten run) and the hosts' poorer form point to a draw as the most likely outcome.
Široki Brijeg vs Velež: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Široki Brijeg played against Velež in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Široki Brijeg has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Velež has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Široki Brijeg scores 1.05 goals per game and allows 1.25. Velež scores 0.95 and allows 0.95. Games in this league average 2.19 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Široki Brijeg's games and 40% of Velež's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 35%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Velež has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.17 per game. Široki Brijeg takes 9.3 shots per game, while Velež takes 10.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Široki Brijeg leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Velež leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
Široki Brijeg's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). For Velež, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League of Bosnia games average 2.19 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched game between teams in similar form. Široki Brijeg is in 5th place and has a 40% win rate at home, but their recent form is poor (1 win in the last 5 matches, PPG 1.0). Velež from 4th place shows better current form (2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches, PPG 1.8), but away from home they win only 40% of games and fail to score in as many as 40% of matches. A key factor is Velež's advantage in possession (51% vs 47%) and better shooting accuracy (15% vs 10%), but their lower away xG (1.13 vs 1.36 of the hosts) suggests difficulties in creating chances. Both teams concede an average of 1.3 goals per game, which suggests an open game, but Velež's current form (unbeaten run) and the hosts' poorer form point to a draw as the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Široki Brijeg | Velež | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Velež is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Široki Brijeg · 1.8 pts / game - Velež
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Široki Brijeg is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
1.05 goals / game - Široki Brijeg · 0.95 goals / game - Velež
Velež is 32% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.25 goals / game - Široki Brijeg · 0.95 goals / game - Velež
Široki Brijeg scores in 75% of games (15 of 20 meczów), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).
Velež scores in 60% of games (12 of 20 meczów), while Široki Brijeg keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Široki Brijeg
Over / Under - Velež
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Široki Brijeg is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / game - Široki Brijeg · 1.1 pts / game - Velež
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Široki Brijeg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Velež - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Široki Brijeg
Velež
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Široki Brijeg | Liga | Velež | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.30 | 2.19 | ▼ 1.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 41% | • 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 38% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | • 35% | 36% | • 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 71% | • 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Široki Brijeg's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Velež. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Široki Brijeg vs Velež?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Široki Brijeg 1:0 Velež. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Široki Brijeg and Velež?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Široki Brijeg won 0, Velež won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Široki Brijeg vs Velež?
Široki Brijeg score 1.05 goals per game on average and Velež 0.95. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Široki Brijeg's matches and 40% of Velež's.
What form are Široki Brijeg and Velež in?
Over the last 5 games Široki Brijeg have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Velež 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Široki Brijeg vs Velež?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Široki Brijeg vs Velež: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.