St. Mirren vs Hibernian: match statistics
St. Mirren vs Hibernian: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
St. Mirren played against Hibernian in Premiership (Scotland). The game was played on October 28, 2026. Venue: The Smisa Stadium. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
St. Mirren has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Hibernian has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
St. Mirren scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 1.80. Hibernian scores 1.00 and allows 1.60. Games in this league average 2.82 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of St. Mirren's games and 80% of Hibernian's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 70%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Hibernian has the higher season xG average, 1.69 to 1.42 per game. St. Mirren takes 13.0 shots per game, while Hibernian takes 16.2.
First-half and second-half trends
St. Mirren leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.30 goals per game after halftime. Hibernian leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
St. Mirren's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Hibernian, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premiership games average 2.82 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hibernian hold a slight edge, primarily thanks to their recent form: they have collected 4 points from their last 5 matches, while St. Mirren have lost all 5. The hosts have scored just 2 goals and conceded as many as 14 during this period, whereas the visitors have scored 5 and conceded 5. St. Mirren concede an average of 2 goals per game at home, while Hibernian concede 1.25 away from home, further tipping the balance in the visitors’ favor. However, the two sides have comparable attacking potential: in these conditions, each averages 1.25 goals, with xG figures of 1.64 and 1.62, respectively. Hibernian are therefore the most likely winners, although the closely matched attacking numbers mean a draw or a home win cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Across the season, both teams scored in 80% of St. Mirren’s matches and 75% of Hibernian’s, and neither side kept a clean sheet. The hosts concede an average of 1.8 goals per match, which favors Hibernian, who score an average of 1.25. St. Mirren do average just 0.8 goals per match, but their xG stands at 1.85, while their opponents allow chances worth 1.90 xG. Caution is warranted, as the hosts have averaged just 0.4 goals over their last five matches, and BTTS has landed in only 40% of matches for each team. Even so, the season-long frequency of both teams scoring and the lack of clean sheets give a slight edge to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 80% of St. Mirren’s matches and 75% of Hibernian’s. Both teams have conceded in every match so far, with St. Mirren averaging 1.8 goals conceded per game compared with Hibernian’s 1.25, increasing the likelihood of at least two goals. Their attacking potential also points towards goals: average xG stands at 1.85 for the hosts and 1.62 for the visitors, although their actual scoring averages are lower, at 0.8 and 1.25 respectively. Therefore, the projected total of 2.72 goals supports Over 1.5, but does not justify backing higher lines with the same confidence; Over 3.5 goals has been landed in only 20% of St. Mirren’s matches and in none of Hibernian’s.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Hibernian leading at the break and going on to win: St. Mirren were trailing at half-time in all 5 home matches considered, while the visitors led in 2 of their 4 away games. In first halves, the hosts average just 0.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, favouring an early Hibernian lead. The full-time outlook also points to the visitors: St. Mirren have lost their last 5 matches, conceding an average of 2.8 goals, while Hibernian average 1.25 goals away from home. Hibernian’s ability to hold their lead is supported by the fact that they have not conceded after the break in their last 5 matches, whereas St. Mirren have conceded an average of 1.6 goals in that period. The hosts’ attacking potential increases the risk of this selection—their average xG is 1.85, compared with the 1.90 xG conceded by the visitors—so a Hibernian win after a half-time draw remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| St. Mirren | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
St. Mirren is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - St. Mirren · 0.2 pts / game - Hibernian
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
St. Mirren is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.1 goals / game - St. Mirren · 1 goals / game - Hibernian
Hibernian is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.8 goals / game - St. Mirren · 1.6 goals / game - Hibernian
St. Mirren scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Hibernian keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 10 games).
Hibernian scores in 80% of games (8 of 10 games), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Mirren
Over / Under - Hibernian
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
St. Mirren is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / game - St. Mirren · 0.6 pts / game - Hibernian
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Mirren - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 40%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Hibernian - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
St. Mirren
Hibernian
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| St. Mirren | Liga | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.90 | 2.82 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 55% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 80% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from St. Mirren's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Hibernian. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Mirren vs Hibernian?
The Premiership match finished St. Mirren 1:1 Hibernian. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between St. Mirren and Hibernian?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches St. Mirren won 0, Hibernian won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Mirren vs Hibernian?
St. Mirren score 1.10 goals per game on average and Hibernian 1.00. The Premiership average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 40% of St. Mirren's matches and 80% of Hibernian's.
What form are St. Mirren and Hibernian in?
Over the last 5 games St. Mirren have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Hibernian 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Mirren vs Hibernian?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for St. Mirren vs Hibernian: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.