Scotland - ChampionshipOchilview ParkData current as of September 06, 2026

Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT: match statistics

Stenhousemuir crest
Stenhousemuir
3 : 1half-time 1:0
Inverness CT crest
Inverness CT

Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Stenhousemuir played against Inverness CT in Championship (Scotland). The game was played on August 29, 2026. Venue: Ochilview Park. Final score: 3:1.

Recent form

Stenhousemuir has 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.33 points per game. Inverness CT has 0 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Stenhousemuir scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 0.33. Inverness CT scores 0.33 and allows 0.33. Games in this league average 1.75 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Stenhousemuir's games and 33% of Inverness CT's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 0%, compared with league averages of 31% for BTTS and 13% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Inverness CT has the higher season xG average, 1.40 to 1.08 per game. Stenhousemuir takes 5.0 shots per game, while Inverness CT takes 9.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Stenhousemuir leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.33 goals per game after halftime. Inverness CT leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.33 after halftime.

When the teams score

Stenhousemuir's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Inverness CT, it is minutes 76-90+ (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 1.75 goals. Both teams score in 31% of games, and 13% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Stenhousemuir remain unbeaten this season, with a record of 2 wins and 1 draw, while they have collected 11 points from their last five matches after a run of three wins and two draws. The hosts have won 100% of their home games, scoring an average of 2 goals and yet to concede, whereas Inverness CT have recorded a draw away from home and failed to score in any of their away fixtures. The contrast in current form is also evident over the last five matches: Stenhousemuir have conceded just 1 goal, while Inverness CT have conceded as many as 7. The visitors are capable of averaging 69% possession and have an away xG of 1.20, but failing to score in 100% of their matches points to a serious finishing problem. Stenhousemuir’s solid defense and home efficiency favor a home win, although Inverness’s high draw rate increases the likelihood of a closely contested result.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The scenario of at least one team failing to score is strongly supported by the data, as Inverness CT have yet to find the net in the current campaign and have finished without scoring in 100% of their matches. Stenhousemuir concede just 0.5 goals per match on average, keep a clean sheet in 50% of their appearances, and have allowed opponents only 0.2 goals per game across their last five fixtures. The hosts are nevertheless capable of scoring against an away defense that has conceded an average of 1.4 goals over its last five matches, while Stenhousemuir have scored 1.2 goals per game during that period. Although Inverness CT’s xG over their last five matches stands at 1.22, compared with 1.38 xG conceded by the hosts, the visitors’ poor finishing and the league BTTS rate of 33% provide stronger support for the BTTS - No pick.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The competition profile is clearly low-scoring: the league average is only 1.8 goals, and just 13% of matches have gone Over 2.5 goals. In the teams’ matches played under the relevant conditions, Over 2.5 goals has never been recorded, while 100% of their games have stayed Under 3.5 goals. In their last five appearances, Stenhousemuir conceded an average of just 0.2 goals per match, while Inverness scored 0.8 goals, limiting the visitors’ attacking potential. Although recent xG figures suggest approximately 1.03 for the hosts and 1.22 for the visitors, the projected total of 2.00 goals still provides a substantial safety margin for Under 3.5 goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Stenhousemuir win in the match, as the hosts have been level at the break in all of their last five fixtures, while their average first-half goal total is just 0.4. Inverness also rarely settles the outcome early: in four of their last five matches, they were not leading at half-time, scoring an average of only 0.2 goals before the interval. After the break, the hosts’ advantage increases significantly: they score an average of 1.0 goals without conceding, while the visitors score 0.6 and concede 1.0. Stenhousemuir are also in better current form, averaging 2.2 points per match and recording a 60% win rate in their last five appearances, compared with Inverness’s 1.2 points per match and just 20% wins. In addition, the hosts generate higher xG, 1.5 compared with 1.2, while the opponents’ defense concedes an average of 1.4 goals over their last five matches.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
2 : 1
Second half

Game stats

37Possession (%)63
StenhousemuirInverness CT
10Shots5
StenhousemuirInverness CT
5Shots on target3
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.41xG0.91
StenhousemuirInverness CT
9Corners6
StenhousemuirInverness CT
59Dangerous attacks52
StenhousemuirInverness CT
9Fouls5
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1Cards4
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.67Goals scored / game0.33
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.33Goals allowed / game0.33
StenhousemuirInverness CT
59%Average possession57%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
2Shots on target / game5.33
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

5Shots per game9.33
StenhousemuirInverness CT
2Shots on target5.33
StenhousemuirInverness CT
33.3%Shot conversion3.6%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
59%Possession57%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.08xG for1.4
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.68xG against0.77
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Shooting quality

Stenhousemuir: Efficient finishingInverness CT: Balanced
StenhousemuirInverness CT
Accuracy (shots on target)40%57%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.220.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.830.06

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Stenhousemuir is 133% better for: last-5 form.

2.33 pts / game - Stenhousemuir · 1 pts / game - Inverness CT

Stenhousemuir
DWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
67% W33% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 0.3xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 0%
Inverness CT
DDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W100% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-0
1.00 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-0
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.3Goals conceded: 0.3xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 0.77BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stenhousemuir is 406% better for: goals scored per game.

1.67 goals / game - Stenhousemuir · 0.33 goals / game - Inverness CT

Stenhousemuir scoring profile: strong

Stenhousemuir scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 meczów).

Inverness CT scoring profile: more difficult

Inverness CT scores in 33% of games (1 of 3 meczów), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 meczów).

5Goals scored (season)1
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1Goals conceded (season)1
StenhousemuirInverness CT
2Average goals per game0.67
StenhousemuirInverness CT
5Goals scored (last 5)1
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1Goals conceded (last 5)1
StenhousemuirInverness CT

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal33%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
67%2 goals0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%3 goals0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%4 goals0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal33%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%2 goals0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%3 goals0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%4 goals0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

31%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%BTTS in both halves0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%Scored in both halves0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
33%BTTS - last 533%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time33%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stenhousemuir is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Stenhousemuir · 0.67 pts / game - Inverness CT

Stenhousemuir - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Inverness CT - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)0.67
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.67Average goals (1st half)0.33
StenhousemuirInverness CT
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
67%No goal before half-time100%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per game (2nd half)1.67
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.33Average goals (2nd half)0.33
StenhousemuirInverness CT
100%Clean sheet after half-time100%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
33%No goal after half-time67%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Stenhousemuir - second-half results

67% W33% R0% P
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Inverness CT - second-half results

33% W67% R0% P
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Stenhousemuir - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.33
Goals scored / game0.31.3
Goals allowed / game0.30.0
Average goals per game0.71.3
1 goal33%67%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%100%
No goal67%33%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 33% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 1
Inverness CT - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.671.67
Goals scored / game0.00.3
Goals allowed / game0.30.0
Average goals per game0.30.3
1 goal33%33%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%100%
No goal100%67%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 67% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 67% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Stenhousemuir
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.33
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 0.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
76%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
33%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Stenhousemuir

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.94
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+1.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
148%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.63
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
52%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
29%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

StenhousemuirLigaInverness CT
Average goals per game 2.001.75 0.67
Both teams scored 33%31% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 0%13% 0%
Clean sheets 67%41% 67%
Goal before half-time 33%56% 33%
Goal after half-time 67%63% 33%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.75
Average goals per game
31%
Both teams scored
13%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
41%
Clean sheets
1.13
Home goals / game
0.63
Away goals / game
+79%
Home attack advantage
+44%
Home defensive advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. StenhousemuirGoalLewis O'DonnellAssist: Dale Carrick
  2. StenhousemuirGoalLewis O'Donnell
  3. Inverness CTGoalLiam SoleAssist: Ryan Duncan
  4. StenhousemuirGoalSam YoungAssist: Lewis O'Donnell
  5. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Daniel MackayOff: Liam Sole
  6. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Adam MackinnonOff: Noa Boutin
  7. Inverness CTYellow cardGraeme Shinnie
  8. Inverness CTYellow cardAlfie Stewart
  9. StenhousemuirYellow cardLeyton Grant
  10. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Callum PenmanOff: Lewis O'Donnell
  11. Inverness CTYellow cardAlfie Bavidge
  12. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Gregor BuchananOff: Leyton Grant
  13. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Miller KeirOff: Alfie Bavidge
  14. Inverness CTYellow cardRemmi Savage

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Stenhousemuir's perspective: 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Inverness CT. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

The Championship match finished Stenhousemuir 3:1 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Stenhousemuir won 2, Inverness CT won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

Stenhousemuir score 1.67 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 0.33. The Championship average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 13% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Stenhousemuir's matches and 33% of Inverness CT's.

What form are Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT in?

Over the last 5 games Stenhousemuir have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Inverness CT 0-3-0 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.