Latvia - VirsligaOlaines stadionsData current as of November 04, 2026

Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Super Nova plays BFC Daugavpils in Virsliga (Latvia). The game is scheduled for November 8, 2026. Venue: Olaines stadions.

Recent form

Super Nova has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. BFC Daugavpils has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Super Nova scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.51. BFC Daugavpils scores 1.20 and allows 1.06. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 54% of Super Nova's games and 51% of BFC Daugavpils's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 40%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

BFC Daugavpils has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.23 per game. Super Nova takes 9.9 shots per game, while BFC Daugavpils takes 12.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Super Nova leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.54 goals per game after halftime. BFC Daugavpils leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.80 after halftime.

When the teams score

Super Nova's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For BFC Daugavpils, it is minutes 46-60 (17 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Virsliga games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 5 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.75)
(3.45)
(1.87)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
1Goals scored / game1.2
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
1.51Goals allowed / game1.06
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
45%Average possession48%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
3.66Shots on target / game4.69
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.91Shots per game12.86
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
3.66Shots on target4.69
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
10.1%Shot conversion9.3%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
45%Possession48%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
1.23xG for1.57
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
1.73xG against1.57
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

Shooting quality

Super Nova: BalancedBFC Daugavpils: Balanced
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
Accuracy (shots on target)37%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

BFC Daugavpils is 225% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Super Nova · 2.6 pts / game - BFC Daugavpils

Super Nova
WLLLD
Season result split
31% W17% D51% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-18
1.11 pts / game · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-10
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DWLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%
BFC Daugavpils
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
40% W26% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-9-12
1.46 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-7-6
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LDDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

BFC Daugavpils is 20% better for: goals scored per game.

1 goals / game - Super Nova · 1.2 goals / game - BFC Daugavpils

BFC Daugavpils is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.51 goals / game - Super Nova · 1.06 goals / game - BFC Daugavpils

Super Nova scoring profile: strong

Super Nova scores in 71% of games (25 of 35 games), while BFC Daugavpils keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 35 games).

BFC Daugavpils scoring profile: very strong

BFC Daugavpils scores in 71% of games (25 of 35 games), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 23% (8 of 35 games).

35Goals scored (season)42
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
53Goals conceded (season)37
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
2.51Average goals per game2.26
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
13Goals conceded (last 5)2
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal71%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
23%2 goals34%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
6%3 goals11%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
0%4 goals3%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal69%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
46%2 goals20%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
17%3 goals11%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
9%4 goals6%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time6%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
9%Scored in both halves26%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

BTTS and goal count

46%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
60%BTTS - last 540%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time51%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time51%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

BFC Daugavpils is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.03 pts / game - Super Nova · 1.4 pts / game - BFC Daugavpils

Super Nova - half-time state
17% leading51% draw31% trailing
BFC Daugavpils - half-time state
29% leading54% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.03Points per game (1st half)1.4
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
0.74Goals conceded (1st half)0.26
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
1.2Average goals (1st half)0.66
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
54%Clean sheet before half-time77%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
63%No goal before half-time66%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per game (2nd half)1.26
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
0.54Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
0.77Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
1.31Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
49%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
57%No goal after half-time37%
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils

Super Nova - second-half results

37% W17% D46% L
36
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding182%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

BFC Daugavpils - second-half results

26% W49% D26% L
49
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Super Nova - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game1.01.6
Average goals per game1.42.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
BFC Daugavpils - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.20
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game0.81.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Super Nova
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
6
7
16-30
6
15
31-45
6
9
46-60
1
6
61-75
12
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

BFC Daugavpils
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
6
3
16-30
6
5
31-45
17
12
46-60
4
6
61-75
7
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (17 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
82%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Super Nova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

BFC Daugavpils

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.51
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+1.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

Super NovaLigaBFC Daugavpils
Average goals per game▼ 2.512.92▼ 2.26
Both teams scored• 54%54%▼ 51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 54%55%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▼ 23%26%▲ 31%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%74%▼ 51%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%81%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.92
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.63
Home goals / game
1.29
Away goals / game
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defensive advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Super Nova's perspective: 2 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses against BFC Daugavpils. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 57% of them.

Super Nova
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
0 : 0
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
0 : 1
Super Nova
Bērnu futbola centrs Daugavpils
2 : 2
SK Super Nova
SK Super Nova
1 : 1
Bērnu futbola centrs Daugavpils
SK Super Nova
4 : 1
Bērnu futbola centrs Daugavpils
Bērnu futbola centrs Daugavpils
1 : 1
SK Super Nova

FAQ

When do Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils play?

Super Nova face BFC Daugavpils on November 8, 2026 in Virsliga at Olaines stadions. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 2, BFC Daugavpils won 0 and 5 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?

Super Nova score 1.00 goals per game on average and BFC Daugavpils 1.20. The Virsliga average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Super Nova's matches and 51% of BFC Daugavpils's.

What form are Super Nova and BFC Daugavpils in?

Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and BFC Daugavpils 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.