Super Nova vs FS Jelgava: match statistics
Super Nova vs FS Jelgava: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Super Nova play FS Jelgava in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 25 June 2026 at 19:00. Venue: Olaines stadions. Final score: 1:5.
Current form
Super Nova: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. FS Jelgava: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Super Nova scores 1.09 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. FS Jelgava scores 1.04 and concedes 1.70. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Super Nova 61%, FS Jelgava 43%. Over 2.5: Super Nova 57%, FS Jelgava 39%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
FS Jelgava has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.19. Super Nova: 9.0 shots per match, FS Jelgava: 10.6.
Match halves
Super Nova: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.52. FS Jelgava: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Super Nova: 76-90+ (7 goals). FS Jelgava: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 0-3-3. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Super Nova has serious form and defensive issues: in the last 5 matches they earned only 1 point (0.2 points per match), scored 2 goals and conceded 9, and at home concede on average 1.88 goals and still have no clean sheets (0%). FS Jelgava has been better recently — in their last five games they have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss (1.2 points per match) and scored 7 goals, with an away xG of 1.16 versus the home teams' 0.99 xG. Offensively the hosts are more efficient in terms of accuracy: Super Nova averages 7.38 shots per match with 3.38 on target and a 15% conversion rate translating to 1.13 goals per match, while Jelgava averages 9.22 shots, only 2.67 on target and about a 7% conversion giving 0.67 goals away. Key advantages: the visitors have better form and higher xG (1.16 vs 0.99), while the hosts have weaker defense (average 1.9 xG against and 1.88 goals conceded in home matches), yet Super Nova compensates with better finishing and a lower share of goalless games (13% vs 44%). Accordingly I predict a draw as the most likely outcome, estimating 20% for a home win, 50% for a draw and 30% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Super Nova | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FS Jelgava is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Super Nova · 1.8 pts / match - FS Jelgava
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Super Nova is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Super Nova · 1.04 goals / match - FS Jelgava
Super Nova is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Super Nova · 1.7 goals / match - FS Jelgava
Super Nova scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
FS Jelgava scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Super Nova
Over / Under — FS Jelgava
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FS Jelgava is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Super Nova · 1.43 pts / match - FS Jelgava
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Super Nova | Liga | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 55% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 24% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 84% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Super Nova 0 - 3 - 3 FS Jelgava. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?
The Virsliga match finished Super Nova 1:5 FS Jelgava. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and FS Jelgava?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 0, FS Jelgava won 3 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?
Super Nova score 1.09 goals per game on average and FS Jelgava 1.04. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Super Nova's matches and 43% of FS Jelgava's.
What form are Super Nova and FS Jelgava in?
Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and FS Jelgava 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Super Nova vs FS Jelgava: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.