Super Nova vs FS Jelgava: match statistics
Super Nova vs FS Jelgava: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Super Nova played against FS Jelgava in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on June 25, 2026. Venue: Olaines stadions. Final score: 1:5.
Recent form
Super Nova has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. FS Jelgava has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Super Nova scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.42. FS Jelgava scores 0.89 and allows 1.79. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Super Nova's games and 47% of FS Jelgava's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 37%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
FS Jelgava has the higher season xG average, 1.29 to 1.11 per game. Super Nova takes 8.2 shots per game, while FS Jelgava takes 10.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Super Nova leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.42 goals per game after halftime. FS Jelgava leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.37 after halftime.
When the teams score
Super Nova's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (5 goals). For FS Jelgava, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Super Nova has serious form and defensive issues: in the last 5 matches they earned only 1 point (0.2 points per match), scored 2 goals and conceded 9, and at home concede on average 1.88 goals and still have no clean sheets (0%). FS Jelgava has been better recently — in their last five games they have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss (1.2 points per match) and scored 7 goals, with an away xG of 1.16 versus the home teams' 0.99 xG. Offensively the hosts are more efficient in terms of accuracy: Super Nova averages 7.38 shots per match with 3.38 on target and a 15% conversion rate translating to 1.13 goals per match, while Jelgava averages 9.22 shots, only 2.67 on target and about a 7% conversion giving 0.67 goals away. Key advantages: the visitors have better form and higher xG (1.16 vs 0.99), while the hosts have weaker defense (average 1.9 xG against and 1.88 goals conceded in home matches), yet Super Nova compensates with better finishing and a lower share of goalless games (13% vs 44%). Accordingly I predict a draw as the most likely outcome, estimating 20% for a home win, 50% for a draw and 30% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Super Nova averages 1.1 goals scored and concedes 1.9 goals per match this season, while FS Jelgava scores 0.67 and concedes 1.67; clean sheets are rare: 10% for Super Nova and 22% for Jelgava. In the last 5 matches Jelgava has BTTS in 80% of games and scored 7 goals (avg. 1.4), whereas Super Nova has BTTS in 40% and scored only 2 goals (avg. 0.4), indicating the visitors are in better attacking form. xG stats over the last 5 matches are 1.11 for Super Nova and 1.6 for Jelgava with xG conceded at 1.76 and 1.66 respectively, so both teams create and allow around 1.6 xG per game. Additionally the league has a BTTS rate of 57% and an average of 3.0 goals per match, and the season BTTS for the teams are 50% (Super Nova) and 44% (Jelgava), which together with low clean sheet percentages and average shots on target of 3.9 and 2.67 favors the both teams to score scenario. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 65% vs 35% and I pick "Yes" (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I prefer the Over side on the 1.5 line because both teams have a high percentage of matches over 1.5 goals: Super Nova 70% and FS Jelgava 67%, averaging ~68%. An xG-based model indicates expected goals: home xG_for 1.41 vs away xG_against 1.84 => ~1.63 for Super Nova; away xG_for 1.16 vs home xG_against 1.60 => ~1.38 for Jelgava; total ≈ 3.01 goals. Although seasonal Over 2.5 percentages are lower individually (40% for the home side, 33% for the away), the league averages 3.0 goals per game, and both teams have 100%/89% of matches with at least one goal and BTTS 50%/44%, which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. As a result, I assign a 75% probability to Over 1.5 and 60% to Over 2.5; Over 3.5 is less likely (32%) given seasonal Over 3.5: 30%/33% and Super Nova’s weaker form in the last 5 matches (avg. 0.4 goals vs 1.4 for FS Jelgava). The best line to play is Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics favor the visitors: FS Jelgava led at the break in 4 of their matches to date (44%), while Super Nova led in 3 matches (30%), and first-half draws occurred on average around 31% (30–33%). The visitors also display a high proportion of clean first halves — 78% of matches without conceding before the break — and in their last 5 matches they conceded on average only 0.2 goals by half-time versus 1.2 goals conceded by the hosts over the same period. At the same time Super Nova performs markedly better after the break: points gained in second halves amount to 12 versus 4 for Jelgava, with an average of 1.2 second-half points for the hosts compared to 0.44 for the visitors, indicating the hosts’ tendency to improve their result after the interval. Additionally, the visitors have a high share of full-time draws (56%), and their losses in second halves reach 78%, so the scenario of the visitors leading at the break with the match ending in a draw is most consistent with the data. On this basis I prefer the 2/X market (visitors lead at half-time, match ends in a draw) as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Super Nova | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
FS Jelgava is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Super Nova · 1.2 pts / game - FS Jelgava
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Super Nova is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Super Nova · 0.89 goals / game - FS Jelgava
Super Nova is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.42 goals / game - Super Nova · 1.79 goals / game - FS Jelgava
Super Nova scores in 74% of games (14 of 19 meczów), while FS Jelgava keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 meczów).
FS Jelgava scores in 58% of games (11 of 19 meczów), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Super Nova
Over / Under - FS Jelgava
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FS Jelgava is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / game - Super Nova · 1.42 pts / game - FS Jelgava
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
FS Jelgava - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 21%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Super Nova | Liga | FS Jelgava | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.42 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | • 58% | 57% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 54% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 24% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 75% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 84% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Super Nova's perspective: 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses against FS Jelgava. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?
The Virsliga match finished Super Nova 1:5 FS Jelgava. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and FS Jelgava?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 0, FS Jelgava won 3 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?
Super Nova score 1.00 goals per game on average and FS Jelgava 0.89. The Virsliga average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Super Nova's matches and 47% of FS Jelgava's.
What form are Super Nova and FS Jelgava in?
Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and FS Jelgava 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs FS Jelgava?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Super Nova vs FS Jelgava: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.