Super Nova vs Grobiņa: match statistics
Super Nova vs Grobiņa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Super Nova played against Grobiņa in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Olaines stadions. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Super Nova has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Grobiņa has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Super Nova scores 0.97 goals per game and allows 1.33. Grobiņa scores 0.68 and allows 1.68. Games in this league average 2.84 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Super Nova's games and 39% of Grobiņa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 29%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Super Nova has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.21 per game. Super Nova takes 9.8 shots per game, while Grobiņa takes 9.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Super Nova leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Grobiņa leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.35 after halftime.
When the teams score
Super Nova's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Grobiņa, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 2.84 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 4 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.29 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Super Nova hold the advantage in the season record, with 10 wins in 30 matches compared to Grobiņa’s 5 in 31. However, the hosts have won only 20% of their home games, so they are not clear favorites. Their attacking efficiency makes a case for a home win: they average 1 goal per game at home from 1.15 xG, while the visitors score just 0.56 goals away from home despite 1.20 xG and fail to score in 44% of their matches. Both defenses give opponents opportunities — Super Nova concede an average of 1.67 goals at home, while Grobiņa concede 2.06 away — but the hosts have conceded 3 goals in their last five matches, compared to 5 for the visitors. This difference in finishing, together with Grobiņa’s away record of just 13% wins, points to the hosts, although the visitors’ 31% away draw rate leaves a genuine possibility of the points being shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 33% of Super Nova’s matches and 44% of Grobiņa’s, both below the league average of 54%. The biggest obstacle to both teams scoring is their poor finishing: the hosts average 0.8 goals per match, while the visitors average just 0.56, and they failed to score in 53% and 44% of their matches, respectively. Despite Grobiņa conceding an average of 2.06 goals per match, Super Nova have scored only 0.6 goals per game across their last five appearances; the visitors recorded the same attacking average over that period. BTTS landed in 20% and 40% of those five-match samples, respectively, strengthening the case for BTTS - No: at least one team may fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in 73% of Super Nova matches and 75% of Grobiņa matches. Both teams score sparingly, averaging 0.80 and 0.56 goals per match, respectively, and each has averaged 0.60 goals per match over their last five games. The visitors’ weaker defense, conceding an average of 2.06 goals, increases the hosts’ chances of scoring, but does not necessarily point to a game with at least four goals. The projections of 1.35 goals for Super Nova and 0.80 for Grobiņa add up to 2.15, making the 3.5 line a safer cushion than the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: both teams were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, and Super Nova did not score a single first-half goal in those games. After the break, the advantage should shift to the home side, who won the second half in 60% of their last 5 matches, while Grobiņa lost it just as often. Super Nova averaged 0.6 goals after the break over this period, while Grobiņa conceded 0.8; across the season, the visitors have conceded as many as 1.25 goals per match in the second half. The X/1 HT/FT pick is therefore best supported by the combination of frequent draws at the break and the home side’s stronger performances after the restart. However, the risk of the match remaining level is still considerable, as Super Nova average only 0.8 goals per match overall and draw 40% of their games.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Super Nova | Grobiņa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Super Nova is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Super Nova · 1 pts / game - Grobiņa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Super Nova is 43% better for: goals scored per game.
0.97 goals / game - Super Nova · 0.68 goals / game - Grobiņa
Super Nova is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Super Nova · 1.68 goals / game - Grobiņa
Super Nova scores in 73% of games (22 of 30 games), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 games).
Grobiņa scores in 52% of games (16 of 31 games), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Super Nova
Over / Under - Grobiņa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Grobiņa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 16%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Super Nova
Grobiņa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Super Nova | Liga | Grobiņa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.30 | 2.84 | ▼ 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 54% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 26% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 74% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Super Nova's perspective: 3 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses against Grobiņa. Games average 1.29 goals, and both teams scored in 29% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
The Virsliga match finished Super Nova 2:1 Grobiņa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and Grobiņa?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 3, Grobiņa won 0 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 1.29 goals, with both teams scoring in 29% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
Super Nova score 0.97 goals per game on average and Grobiņa 0.68. The Virsliga average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Super Nova's matches and 39% of Grobiņa's.
What form are Super Nova and Grobiņa in?
Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Grobiņa 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs Grobiņa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.