Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding: match statistics

Suzhou Dongwu have drawn all five of their last matches, scoring and conceding 6 goals apiece, which points to another closely contested game. Yanbian Longding sit higher in the table, 6th compared with 12th, and have won 2 of their last 5 matches, scoring 9 goals during that period. The visitors are also more effective away from home, averaging 1.36 goals per match with a 15% shot conversion rate, while the hosts average 1 goal and 8% at home, respectively. However, Suzhou create higher-quality chances on home soil, with an average xG of 1.63 compared with Yanbian's 1.00 away, and concede 1.14 goals per match against the visitors' 1.29. These contrasting strengths, combined with the hosts' run of draws, make a draw the most likely single result.

Both teams scored in 57% of Suzhou Dongwu’s matches and 50% of Yanbian Longding’s, with those rates rising to 80% and 60%, respectively, over their last five games. Suzhou average 1.57 goals per match, while Yanbian concede 1.29, which favors the hosts finding the net. The visitors score an average of 1.36 goals, but their chances are limited by Suzhou’s defense, which concedes just 0.86 goals per match. Despite this risk, Yanbian have averaged 1.8 goals across their last five games, so BTTS - Yes has a slight edge.

Suzhou Dongwu average 1.57 goals scored, while Yanbian Longding concede 1.29, giving the hosts an attacking advantage but not pointing to an exceptionally high-scoring game. The visitors average 1.36 goals scored, but the hosts concede just 0.86, with an average xG against of 1.07. The 3.5-goal line has not been breached in 71% and 79% of the two teams’ matches, respectively; even across their last five games, their combined average goal totals were 2.4 and 2.8. Therefore, with a forecast of 2.59 goals, Under 3.5 is better supported by the data than betting on the 2.5 line, which both teams’ matches have gone over exactly 50% of the time.

Although Suzhou were level at half-time in only 21% of their matches, Yanbian finished the first half level in 50%, while the hosts averaged just 0.57 goals before the break. After half-time, the advantage shifts to Suzhou: the hosts average 1.00 goals scored and 0.29 conceded, compared with 0.57 scored and 0.79 conceded by the visitors. The difference is also reflected in the quality of chances across the match: Suzhou’s xG stands at 1.47, against Yanbian’s 1.00. The hosts have also scored 10 goals in the final 15 minutes, while the visitors have conceded seven during that period, supporting the prospect of a late decision. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a Suzhou win is the most likely single HT/FT scenario, although the hosts’ run of five consecutive draws calls for caution.