Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Swindon Town plays Accrington Stanley in EFL League Two (England). The game is scheduled for September 26, 2026. Venue: The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium.
Recent form
Swindon Town has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Accrington Stanley has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Swindon Town scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 1.57. Accrington Stanley scores 1.43 and allows 1.86. Games in this league average 2.52 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Swindon Town's games and 71% of Accrington Stanley's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 71%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Accrington Stanley has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.00 per game. Swindon Town takes 8.4 shots per game, while Accrington Stanley takes 13.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Swindon Town leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Accrington Stanley leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Swindon Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Accrington Stanley, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.52 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Swindon Town | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Swindon Town is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Swindon Town · 1 pts / game - Accrington Stanley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Accrington Stanley is 25% better for: goals scored per game.
1.14 goals / game - Swindon Town · 1.43 goals / game - Accrington Stanley
Swindon Town is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.57 goals / game - Swindon Town · 1.86 goals / game - Accrington Stanley
Swindon Town scores in 43% of games (3 of 7 games), while Accrington Stanley keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).
Accrington Stanley scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swindon Town
Over / Under - Accrington Stanley
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Accrington Stanley is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / game - Swindon Town · 1.14 pts / game - Accrington Stanley
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Accrington Stanley - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Swindon Town
Accrington Stanley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Swindon Town | Liga | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.71 | 2.52 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 44% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 29% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Swindon Town's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Accrington Stanley. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Swindon Town and Accrington Stanley play?
Swindon Town face Accrington Stanley on September 26, 2026 in EFL League Two at The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Swindon Town and Accrington Stanley?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Swindon Town won 0, Accrington Stanley won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley?
Swindon Town score 1.14 goals per game on average and Accrington Stanley 1.43. The EFL League Two average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Swindon Town's matches and 71% of Accrington Stanley's.
What form are Swindon Town and Accrington Stanley in?
Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Accrington Stanley 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Accrington Stanley?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


