Estonia - MeistriliigaPärnu RannastaadionData current as of October 24, 2026

Vaprus vs Kuressaare: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Vaprus vs Kuressaare: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Vaprus plays Kuressaare in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game is scheduled for October 28, 2026. Venue: Pärnu Rannastaadion.

Recent form

Vaprus has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Kuressaare has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Vaprus scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 2.06. Kuressaare scores 1.06 and allows 1.59. Games in this league average 3.13 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Vaprus's games and 47% of Kuressaare's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 53%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Kuressaare has the higher season xG average, 1.45 to 1.24 per game. Vaprus takes 9.5 shots per game, while Kuressaare takes 11.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Vaprus leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Kuressaare leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.53 after halftime.

When the teams score

Vaprus's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Kuressaare, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.13 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.35)
(3.44)
(2.49)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.33Goals scored / game1.06
VaprusKuressaare
2.06Goals allowed / game1.59
VaprusKuressaare
46%Average possession40%
VaprusKuressaare
3.76Shots on target / game4.16
VaprusKuressaare

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.52Shots per game11.63
VaprusKuressaare
3.76Shots on target4.16
VaprusKuressaare
14%Shot conversion9.1%
VaprusKuressaare
46%Possession40%
VaprusKuressaare
1.24xG for1.45
VaprusKuressaare
2.02xG against1.97
VaprusKuressaare

Shooting quality

Vaprus: Counter-attackingKuressaare: Balanced
VaprusKuressaare
Accuracy (shots on target)39%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Kuressaare is 250% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / game - Vaprus · 1.4 pts / game - Kuressaare

Vaprus
LDDLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
27% W18% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-18
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-4-6
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LWLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Kuressaare
LDWWL
Season result split
31% W16% D53% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-17
1.09 pts / game · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-10
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vaprus is 25% better for: goals scored per game.

1.33 goals / game - Vaprus · 1.06 goals / game - Kuressaare

Kuressaare is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.06 goals / game - Vaprus · 1.59 goals / game - Kuressaare

Vaprus scoring profile: very strong

Vaprus scores in 79% of games (26 of 33 games), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 games).

Kuressaare scoring profile: strong

Kuressaare scores in 53% of games (17 of 32 games), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 games).

44Goals scored (season)34
VaprusKuressaare
68Goals conceded (season)51
VaprusKuressaare
3.39Average goals per game2.66
VaprusKuressaare
8Goals scored (last 5)4
VaprusKuressaare
13Goals conceded (last 5)5
VaprusKuressaare

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal53%
VaprusKuressaare
39%2 goals34%
VaprusKuressaare
9%3 goals19%
VaprusKuressaare
3%4 goals0%
VaprusKuressaare

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal84%
VaprusKuressaare
67%2 goals53%
VaprusKuressaare
30%3 goals16%
VaprusKuressaare
12%4 goals6%
VaprusKuressaare

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time16%
VaprusKuressaare
9%BTTS in both halves3%
VaprusKuressaare
30%Scored in both halves22%
VaprusKuressaare

BTTS and goal count

64%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
VaprusKuressaare
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
VaprusKuressaare
80%BTTS - last 520%
VaprusKuressaare

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time72%
VaprusKuressaare
48%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
VaprusKuressaare
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
VaprusKuressaare

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
VaprusKuressaare
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
VaprusKuressaare
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
VaprusKuressaare

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Vaprus is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.15 pts / game - Vaprus · 1.09 pts / game - Kuressaare

Vaprus - half-time state
24% leading42% draw33% trailing
Kuressaare - half-time state
25% leading34% draw41% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.15Points per game (1st half)1.09
VaprusKuressaare
0.64Goals scored (1st half)0.53
VaprusKuressaare
0.88Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
VaprusKuressaare
1.52Average goals (1st half)1.16
VaprusKuressaare
45%Clean sheet before half-time50%
VaprusKuressaare
45%No goal before half-time63%
VaprusKuressaare

After half-time (2nd half)

1.03Points per game (2nd half)0.84
VaprusKuressaare
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
VaprusKuressaare
1.18Goals conceded (2nd half)0.97
VaprusKuressaare
1.88Average goals (2nd half)1.5
VaprusKuressaare
30%Clean sheet after half-time31%
VaprusKuressaare
45%No goal after half-time63%
VaprusKuressaare

Vaprus - second-half results

27% W21% D52% L
38
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-16
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Kuressaare - second-half results

16% W38% D47% L
35
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Vaprus - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.60
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.81.8
Average goals per game1.42.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Kuressaare - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.20.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Vaprus
ScoredConceded
5
10
0-15
8
9
16-30
8
10
31-45
9
14
46-60
8
14
61-75
6
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Kuressaare
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
5
10
16-30
9
6
31-45
2
8
46-60
5
11
61-75
10
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.02
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-34%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Vaprus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.78
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
73%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
156%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Kuressaare

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

VaprusLigaKuressaare
Average goals per game▲ 3.393.13▼ 2.66
Both teams scored▲ 67%57%▼ 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%64%▼ 53%
Clean sheets▼ 18%23%▼ 16%
Goal before half-time• 76%77%▼ 72%
Goal after half-time▲ 91%88%▼ 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.13
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.81
Home goals / game
1.32
Away goals / game
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Vaprus's perspective: 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses against Kuressaare. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 43% of them.

Kuressaare
2 : 2
Vaprus
Vaprus
1 : 0
Kuressaare
Kuressaare
0 : 1
Vaprus
Pärnu JK Vaprus
0 : 1
FC Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
2 : 1
Pärnu JK Vaprus
Pärnu JK Vaprus
2 : 1
FC Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
1 : 0
Pärnu JK Vaprus

FAQ

When do Vaprus and Kuressaare play?

Vaprus face Kuressaare on October 28, 2026 in Meistriliiga at Pärnu Rannastaadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Kuressaare?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 3, Kuressaare won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

Vaprus score 1.33 goals per game on average and Kuressaare 1.06. The Meistriliiga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Vaprus's matches and 47% of Kuressaare's.

What form are Vaprus and Kuressaare in?

Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Kuressaare 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Kuressaare?

The statistical background for Vaprus vs Kuressaare — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.