Vaprus vs Paide: match statistics
Vaprus vs Paide: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Vaprus played against Paide in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on October 31, 2026. Venue: Pärnu Rannastaadion. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Vaprus has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Paide has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Vaprus scores 1.32 goals per game and allows 2.03. Paide scores 1.56 and allows 1.21. Games in this league average 3.09 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of Vaprus's games and 62% of Paide's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 50%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paide has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.26 per game. Vaprus takes 9.7 shots per game, while Paide takes 14.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Vaprus leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Paide leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.88 after halftime.
When the teams score
Vaprus's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (9 goals). For Paide, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Meistriliiga games average 3.09 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 5 away wins. Those games averaged 2.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paide, second in the table, have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while ninth-placed Vaprus have failed to win during that period and have suffered 3 defeats. The visitors scored 8 goals and conceded 4 in those matches, whereas the hosts conceded as many as 13 despite scoring the same number. Away from home, Paide average 14.53 shots per match compared with Vaprus’ 9.94 at home, and their xG stands at 1.76 against the hosts’ 1.30, pointing to a greater volume and quality of chances. Vaprus average 1.69 goals at home, so they can pose a threat, but they also concede the same number, while Paide score an average of 1.71 goals away. The visitors’ stronger recent form and greater chance-creation potential point to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 56% of Vaprus matches and 71% of Paide matches, rising to 80% and 60%, respectively, across their last 5 outings, pointing to goals at both ends. The teams average 1.50 and 1.71 goals per match, while their average xG figures are almost identical at 1.75 and 1.76. Vaprus’s chances of scoring are boosted by the fact that Paide have kept a clean sheet in only 18% of matches, despite conceding an average of just 0.8 goals in their last 5 games. Vaprus, meanwhile, have conceded 13 goals in their last 5 matches—2.6 per game—which, combined with Paide’s average of 1.6 goals scored over that period, clearly supports an away goal. Therefore, BTTS - Yes is more likely than BTTS - No, which means at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line was reached in 69% of Vaprus matches and 76% of Paide matches. Both teams average at least 1.5 goals per match, and their average xG figures are almost identical at 1.75 and 1.76, respectively, supporting the expectation of goals at both ends. In their last 5 matches, Vaprus conceded an average of 2.6 goals, while Paide allowed just 0.8 goals per match over the same period. Therefore, 3 goals are a realistic scenario, but the 2.5 line is less certain: it was exceeded in 50% of Vaprus matches and 53% of Paide matches across the season.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Paide have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Vaprus have failed to win any and have conceded an average of 2.6 goals per game. The visitors were leading at the break in 3 of those 5 matches, while the hosts were trailing at half-time in 2; additionally, Paide have conceded an average of just 0.2 goals before the break, compared with 0.8 for Vaprus. After half-time, the hosts have recently conceded an average of 1.8 goals, increasing Paide’s chances of protecting any lead they may establish. The risk to this HT/FT pick is Vaprus’s season-long home record, having won 63% of their matches there. However, given the clear gap in current form, the scenario of the visitors leading at the break and going on to win remains the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Vaprus | Paide | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Paide is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Vaprus · 1.8 pts / game - Paide
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paide is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
1.32 goals / game - Vaprus · 1.56 goals / game - Paide
Paide is 68% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.03 goals / game - Vaprus · 1.21 goals / game - Paide
Vaprus scores in 79% of games (27 of 34 games), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 games).
Paide scores in 85% of games (29 of 34 games), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vaprus
Over / Under - Paide
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paide is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / game - Vaprus · 1.53 pts / game - Paide
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Paide - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Vaprus
Paide
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Vaprus | Liga | Paide | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.35 | 3.09 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 57% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 23% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 86% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Vaprus's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses against Paide. Games average 2.71 goals, and both teams scored in 43% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Vaprus vs Paide?
The Meistriliiga match finished Vaprus 0:1 Paide. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Paide?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 2, Paide won 5 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Paide?
Vaprus score 1.32 goals per game on average and Paide 1.56. The Meistriliiga average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Vaprus's matches and 62% of Paide's.
What form are Vaprus and Paide in?
Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Paide 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Paide?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vaprus vs Paide: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.