Croatia - Prva HNLStadion Anđelko HerjavecData current as of August 13, 2026

Varaždin vs Rijeka: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Varaždin vs Rijeka: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Varaždin plays Rijeka in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game is scheduled for August 16, 2026. Venue: Stadion Anđelko Herjavec.

Recent form

Varaždin has 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Rijeka has 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Varaždin scores 3.00 goals per game and allows 1.00. Rijeka scores 2.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 3.89 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 100% of Varaždin's games and 100% of Rijeka's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 100%, compared with league averages of 78% for BTTS and 78% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Rijeka has the higher season xG average, 3.24 to 1.83 per game. Varaždin takes 17.5 shots per game, while Rijeka takes 29.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Varaždin leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.50 goals per game after halftime. Rijeka leads at halftime in 100% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Varaždin's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Rijeka, it is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Prva HNL games average 3.89 goals. Both teams score in 78% of games, and 78% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.25)
(3.20)
(2.11)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

3Goals scored / game2
VaraždinRijeka
1Goals allowed / game1
VaraždinRijeka
45%Average possession68%
VaraždinRijeka
5.5Shots on target / game10
VaraždinRijeka

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

17.5Shots per game29
VaraždinRijeka
5.5Shots on target10
VaraždinRijeka
17.1%Shot conversion6.9%
VaraždinRijeka
45%Possession68%
VaraždinRijeka
1.83xG for3.24
VaraždinRijeka
1.5xG against0.73
VaraždinRijeka

Shooting quality

Varaždin: Counter-attackingRijeka: Dominant
VaraždinRijeka
Accuracy (shots on target)31%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.550.20

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Varaždin
WW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-0
3.00 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Rijeka
W
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 away
0-0-0
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 3.24Opponent xG: 0.73BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Varaždin is 50% better for: goals scored per game.

3 goals / game - Varaždin · 2 goals / game - Rijeka

Varaždin scoring profile: very strong

Varaždin scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while Rijeka keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 meczów).

Rijeka scoring profile: very strong

Rijeka scores in 100% of games (1 of 1 meczów), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 meczów).

6Goals scored (season)2
VaraždinRijeka
2Goals conceded (season)1
VaraždinRijeka
4Average goals per game3
VaraždinRijeka
6Goals scored (last 5)2
VaraždinRijeka
2Goals conceded (last 5)1
VaraždinRijeka

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
VaraždinRijeka
100%2 goals100%
VaraždinRijeka
50%3 goals0%
VaraždinRijeka
50%4 goals0%
VaraždinRijeka

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
VaraždinRijeka
0%2 goals0%
VaraždinRijeka
0%3 goals0%
VaraždinRijeka
0%4 goals0%
VaraždinRijeka

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
VaraždinRijeka
0%BTTS in both halves0%
VaraždinRijeka
50%Scored in both halves100%
VaraždinRijeka

BTTS and goal count

100%Min. 3 goals and BTTS100%
VaraždinRijeka
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
VaraždinRijeka
100%BTTS - last 5100%
VaraždinRijeka

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
VaraždinRijeka
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
VaraždinRijeka
50%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
VaraždinRijeka

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
VaraždinRijeka
100%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
VaraždinRijeka
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
VaraždinRijeka

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Rijeka is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / game - Varaždin · 3 pts / game - Rijeka

Varaždin - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Rijeka - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)3
VaraždinRijeka
1.5Goals scored (1st half)1
VaraždinRijeka
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
VaraždinRijeka
1.5Average goals (1st half)1
VaraždinRijeka
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
VaraždinRijeka
50%No goal before half-time0%
VaraždinRijeka

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per game (2nd half)1
VaraždinRijeka
1.5Goals scored (2nd half)1
VaraždinRijeka
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1
VaraždinRijeka
2.5Average goals (2nd half)2
VaraždinRijeka
0%Clean sheet after half-time0%
VaraždinRijeka
0%No goal after half-time0%
VaraždinRijeka

Varaždin - second-half results

50% W50% R0% P
4
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+1.0

Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Rijeka - second-half results

0% W100% R0% P
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 100% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+1.0

Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Varaždin - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.002.00
Goals scored / game1.51.5
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game1.52.5
1 goal50%100%
2 goals50%100%
3 goals50%50%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal50%0%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 50% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Rijeka - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game3.001.00
Goals scored / game1.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals0%100%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Varaždin
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Rijeka
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.50
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
100%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-36%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Varaždin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.67
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
180%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
45%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Rijeka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+2.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
60%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

VaraždinLigaRijeka
Average goals per game 4.003.89 3.00
Both teams scored 100%78% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 100%78% 100%
Clean sheets 0%11% 0%
Goal before half-time 50%89% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%89% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.89
Average goals per game
78%
Both teams scored
78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
11%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / game
2.22
Away goals / game
+-25%
Home attack advantage
+-33%
Home defensive advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
67%
2 goals
33%
3 goals
11%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
78%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Varaždin's perspective: 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Rijeka. Games average 2.25 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

NK Varaždin
1 : 0
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
3 : 1
NK Varaždin
NK Varaždin
1 : 0
HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
1 : 2
NK Varaždin

FAQ

When do Varaždin and Rijeka play?

Varaždin face Rijeka on August 16, 2026 in Prva HNL at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Varaždin and Rijeka?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 3, Rijeka won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Varaždin vs Rijeka?

Varaždin score 3.00 goals per game on average and Rijeka 2.00. The Prva HNL average is 3.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 78% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Varaždin's matches and 100% of Rijeka's.

What form are Varaždin and Rijeka in?

Over the last 5 games Varaždin have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Rijeka 1-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varaždin vs Rijeka?

The statistical background for Varaždin vs Rijeka — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.