Bosnia & Herzegovina - Premier League of BosniaStadion VrapčićiData current as of November 02, 2026

Velež vs Čelik: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Velež vs Čelik: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Velež plays Čelik in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The game is scheduled for November 7, 2026. Venue: Stadion Vrapčići.

Recent form

Velež has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Čelik has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Velež scores 0.82 goals per game and allows 1.55. Čelik scores 1.08 and allows 1.58. Games in this league average 2.56 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 36% of Velež's games and 50% of Čelik's. The Over 2.5 rates are 36% and 58%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Velež has the higher season xG average, 1.24 to 1.13 per game. Velež takes 10.3 shots per game, while Čelik takes 9.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Velež leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 0.73 goals per game after halftime. Čelik leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.42 after halftime.

When the teams score

Velež's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Čelik, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premier League of Bosnia games average 2.56 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

0.82Goals scored / game1.08
VeležČelik
1.55Goals allowed / game1.58
VeležČelik
44%Average possession44%
VeležČelik
2.91Shots on target / game3.5
VeležČelik

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.27Shots per game9.08
VeležČelik
2.91Shots on target3.5
VeležČelik
8%Shot conversion11.9%
VeležČelik
44%Possession44%
VeležČelik
1.24xG for1.13
VeležČelik
1.26xG against1.61
VeležČelik

Shooting quality

Velež: BalancedČelik: Balanced
VeležČelik
Accuracy (shots on target)28%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Velež is 133% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Velež · 0.6 pts / game - Čelik

Velež
WLDLW
Season result split
27% W18% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-6
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WDWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Čelik
DDLDL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
17% W33% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-6
0.83 pts / game · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-3
Last 5 away
0-3-2
LDLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Čelik is 32% better for: goals scored per game.

0.82 goals / game - Velež · 1.08 goals / game - Čelik

Velež scoring profile: strong

Velež scores in 64% of games (7 of 11 games), while Čelik keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 games).

Čelik scoring profile: mixed

Čelik scores in 58% of games (7 of 12 games), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 games).

9Goals scored (season)13
VeležČelik
17Goals conceded (season)19
VeležČelik
2.36Average goals per game2.67
VeležČelik
4Goals scored (last 5)3
VeležČelik
5Goals conceded (last 5)8
VeležČelik

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal58%
VeležČelik
18%2 goals33%
VeležČelik
0%3 goals17%
VeležČelik
0%4 goals0%
VeležČelik

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal67%
VeležČelik
55%2 goals58%
VeležČelik
36%3 goals25%
VeležČelik
0%4 goals8%
VeležČelik

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time25%
VeležČelik
0%BTTS in both halves8%
VeležČelik
9%Scored in both halves25%
VeležČelik

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
VeležČelik
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
VeležČelik
20%BTTS - last 540%
VeležČelik

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
VeležČelik
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
VeležČelik
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
VeležČelik

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
VeležČelik
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
VeležČelik
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
VeležČelik

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Čelik is 108% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.64 pts / game - Velež · 1.33 pts / game - Čelik

Velež - half-time state
9% leading36% draw55% trailing
Čelik - half-time state
25% leading58% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.64Points per game (1st half)1.33
VeležČelik
0.09Goals scored (1st half)0.67
VeležČelik
0.91Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
VeležČelik
1Average goals (1st half)1.17
VeležČelik
45%Clean sheet before half-time58%
VeležČelik
91%No goal before half-time58%
VeležČelik

After half-time (2nd half)

1.45Points per game (2nd half)0.75
VeležČelik
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
VeležČelik
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)1.08
VeležČelik
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.5
VeležČelik
36%Clean sheet after half-time33%
VeležČelik
36%No goal after half-time58%
VeležČelik

Velež - second-half results

36% W36% D27% L
7
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Čelik - second-half results

8% W50% D42% L
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding68%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Velež - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.602.00
Goals scored / game0.00.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game0.61.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-3+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Čelik - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.60
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game0.41.2
Average goals per game0.81.4
1 goal20%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference0-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Velež
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
0
4
16-30
0
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
0
3
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Čelik
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
4
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
2
5
46-60
2
3
61-75
1
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.51
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
15%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Velež

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.71
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
57%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
56% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
56%

Čelik

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).

Teams vs league

VeležLigaČelik
Average goals per game▼ 2.362.56▲ 2.67
Both teams scored▼ 36%49%• 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 36%41%▲ 58%
Clean sheets▲ 36%31%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 64%58%• 58%
Goal after half-time▲ 91%78%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.56
Average goals per game
49%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / game
1.12
Away goals / game
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Velež's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Čelik. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Velež and Čelik play?

Velež face Čelik on November 7, 2026 in Premier League of Bosnia at Stadion Vrapčići. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Velež vs Čelik?

Velež score 0.82 goals per game on average and Čelik 1.08. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Velež's matches and 50% of Čelik's.

What form are Velež and Čelik in?

Over the last 5 games Velež have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Čelik 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Velež vs Čelik?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.