Velež vs Sarajevo: match statistics
Velež vs Sarajevo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Velež play Sarajevo in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match date is 21 May 2026 at 20:30. Venue: Stadion Vrapčići. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Velež: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Sarajevo: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Velež scores 1.00 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Sarajevo scores 1.50 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.16 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Velež 36%, Sarajevo 39%. Over 2.5: Velež 36%, Sarajevo 47%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Sarajevo has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.29. Velež: 10.0 shots per match, Sarajevo: 10.9.
Match halves
Velež: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.61. Sarajevo: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Velež: 76-90+ (9 goals). Sarajevo: 46-60 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1) based on Velež’s very solid home defense: 65% of matches with a clean sheet and an average of only 0.53 goals conceded per game, while Sarajevo concedes 1.35 goals on average away and has only 35% clean sheets. Velež also posts higher home xG (1.51) and more shots on target per home match (4.18) than Sarajevo produces away (xG 1.32 and 3.82), indicating marginally better quality of created chances. The visitors, however, show superior recent attacking form — 11 goals in their last 5 matches and 2.0 points per game versus Velež’s 7 goals and 1.6 pts — which makes them dangerous. Nevertheless, Sarajevo’s away record is weaker (goal difference -5 away and 47% away losses), while Velež has a 53% home win rate compared to Sarajevo’s 35% away win rate, so I assess higher probability for the home side.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Velež | Sarajevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sarajevo is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Velež · 2 pts / match - Sarajevo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sarajevo is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Velež · 1.5 goals / match - Sarajevo
Velež is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - Velež · 1.03 goals / match - Sarajevo
Velež scores in 58% of matches (21 of 36 matches), while Sarajevo keeps a clean sheet in 47% (17 of 36 matches).
Sarajevo scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 36% (13 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Velež
Over / Under — Sarajevo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarajevo is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Velež · 1.5 pts / match - Sarajevo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Velež - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sarajevo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Velež
Sarajevo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Velež | Liga | Sarajevo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.97 | 2.16 | ▲ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | • 36% | 36% | ▲ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 38% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 36% | 38% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Velež 0 - 1 - 2 Sarajevo. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Velež vs Sarajevo?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Velež 2:3 Sarajevo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Velež and Sarajevo?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Velež won 0, Sarajevo won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Velež vs Sarajevo?
Velež score 1.00 goals per game on average and Sarajevo 1.50. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Velež's matches and 39% of Sarajevo's.
What form are Velež and Sarajevo in?
Over the last 5 games Velež have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sarajevo 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Velež vs Sarajevo?
The statistical background for Velež vs Sarajevo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.