Velež vs Željezničar: match statistics
Velež shows a significantly better form in home matches, winning 40% of games with only 30% losses, while Željezničar away loses as many as 60% of matches and wins only 20%. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+1) and a higher average xG (1.59 vs 1.14), which indicates their offensive superiority. A key factor is also Velež's 60% clean sheets in home matches and a better PPG rate in the last 5 games (1.6 vs 1.0). Željezničar has poor away form with a losing streak and a negative goal difference (-7), which further favors the hosts. I expect a closely contested match, but Velež should capitalize on the home advantage and secure three points.
Velež vs Željezničar: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Velež played against Željezničar in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The game was played on February 20, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Velež has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Željezničar has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Velež scores 0.90 goals per game and allows 0.95. Željezničar scores 0.90 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.18 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Velež's games and 38% of Željezničar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 33%, compared with league averages of 39% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Velež has the higher season xG average, 1.34 to 1.29 per game. Velež takes 10.2 shots per game, while Željezničar takes 10.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Velež leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Željezničar leads at halftime in 10% and scores 0.62 after halftime.
When the teams score
Velež's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Željezničar, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League of Bosnia games average 2.18 goals. Both teams score in 39% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Velež shows a significantly better form in home matches, winning 40% of games with only 30% losses, while Željezničar away loses as many as 60% of matches and wins only 20%. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+1) and a higher average xG (1.59 vs 1.14), which indicates their offensive superiority. A key factor is also Velež's 60% clean sheets in home matches and a better PPG rate in the last 5 games (1.6 vs 1.0). Željezničar has poor away form with a losing streak and a negative goal difference (-7), which further favors the hosts. I expect a closely contested match, but Velež should capitalize on the home advantage and secure three points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Velež | Željezničar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Velež is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Velež · 0.4 pts / game - Željezničar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Velež is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.95 goals / game - Velež · 1.14 goals / game - Željezničar
Velež scores in 57% of games (12 of 21 meczów), while Željezničar keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 meczów).
Željezničar scores in 62% of games (13 of 21 meczów), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Velež
Over / Under - Željezničar
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Velež is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / game - Velež · 0.81 pts / game - Željezničar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Velež - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Željezničar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Velež
Željezničar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Velež | Liga | Željezničar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.86 | 2.18 | ▼ 2.05 |
| Both teams scored | • 38% | 39% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 38% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 37% | • 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 59% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Velež's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Željezničar. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Velež vs Željezničar?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Velež 1:0 Željezničar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Velež and Željezničar?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Velež won 1, Željezničar won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Velež vs Željezničar?
Velež score 0.90 goals per game on average and Željezničar 0.90. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Velež's matches and 38% of Željezničar's.
What form are Velež and Željezničar in?
Over the last 5 games Velež have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Željezničar 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Velež vs Željezničar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Velež vs Željezničar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.