Vila Nova vs Ceará: match statistics
Vila Nova vs Ceará: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Vila Nova played against Ceará in Serie B (Brazil). The game was played on August 30, 2026. Venue: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Vila Nova has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Ceará has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Vila Nova scores 1.46 goals per game and allows 1.04. Ceará scores 1.04 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 2.29 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of Vila Nova's games and 50% of Ceará's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 33%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 42% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ceará has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.43 per game. Vila Nova takes 13.3 shots per game, while Ceará takes 13.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Vila Nova leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Ceará leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Vila Nova's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). For Ceará, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.29 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 42% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vila Nova are very strong at home: they win 73% of their matches, score an average of 2.18 goals, and lose only 9% of their home games. Ceará score just 0.91 goals per away match, fail to find the net in 45% of fixtures, and lose 45% of their away games. The hosts also create significantly better chances, as reflected by an average xG of 1.68 compared with Ceará’s 1.27, while opponents allow an xG of 1.69. Vila Nova average 15.45 shots and 5.36 shots on target at home, whereas Ceará record 11.82 and 3.36 respectively. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, but their poor away scoring record and Vila Nova’s superiority in both penalty areas point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal in favor of BTTS No is Vila Nova’s recent run: in their previous five matches, there has not been a single game in which both teams scored, while they have conceded just 0.6 goals per match. Ceará scores only 0.91 goals per game this season and fails to score in 45% of its matches, clearly increasing the risk that the visitors will once again finish without a goal. Ceará’s season BTTS rate stands at 45%, below the league average of 48%, while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 23% of matches. The hosts do have solid attacking foundations, averaging 1.73 xG and 5.23 shots on target per match, but a scenario in which they score alone is more likely than a Goal/Goal outcome. Ceará’s form over the last five matches—1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game—provides an argument for a visitors’ goal, but Vila Nova’s solid current defense outweighs it in favor of BTTS No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The season profile clearly supports a low-scoring outcome: under 3.5 goals was recorded in 85% of Vila Nova’s matches and as many as 91% of Ceará’s games. Ceará score just 0.91 goals on average, while Vila Nova concede an average of 1.15, limiting the projection for the visitors to around 0.95 goals. The hosts have greater attacking potential, with an average xG of 1.73 and 5.23 shots on target per match, while Ceará allow opponents an xG of 1.69, putting their expected tally at 1.55 goals. Ceará’s last five matches were more open, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, but Vila Nova conceded only 3 goals in five appearances over the same period. A total projection of 2.50 goals, combined with very high seasonal rates of matches finishing below four goals, gives the strongest edge to Under 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Vila Nova have a clear advantage in the opening stages of matches: they have led at the break in 38% of their games, while Ceará have not recorded a single such instance. The hosts average 0.69 goals scored and 0.46 conceded before half-time, whereas the visitors score just 0.09 goals in this phase and concede 0.64. Vila Nova’s superiority is also evident in overall match performance, with an average xG of 1.73 compared with Ceará’s 1.27, while shots on target stand at 5.23 to 3.36. Ceará have improved their results in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored, but they have still conceded 1.6 goals per game, which favors the hosts’ ability to capitalise on their advantage. The most likely scenario, therefore, is for Vila Nova to take the lead before half-time and hold it through to the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Vila Nova | Ceará | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ceará is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Vila Nova · 1.8 pts / game - Ceará
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
1.46 goals / game - Vila Nova · 1.04 goals / game - Ceará
Vila Nova is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.04 goals / game - Vila Nova · 1.25 goals / game - Ceará
Vila Nova scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 games), while Ceará keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 games).
Ceará scores in 63% of games (15 of 24 games), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vila Nova
Over / Under - Ceará
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vila Nova is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Vila Nova · 1.04 pts / game - Ceará
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ceará - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Vila Nova
Ceará
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Vila Nova | Liga | Ceará | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.50 | 2.29 | • 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 42% | 42% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 31% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Vila Nova's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Ceará. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Vila Nova vs Ceará?
The Serie B match finished Vila Nova 2:0 Ceará. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vila Nova vs Ceará?
Vila Nova score 1.46 goals per game on average and Ceará 1.04. The Serie B average is 2.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Vila Nova's matches and 50% of Ceará's.
What form are Vila Nova and Ceará in?
Over the last 5 games Vila Nova have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ceará 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vila Nova vs Ceará?
The statistical background for Vila Nova vs Ceará — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.