Brazil - Serie BEstádio Onésio Brasileiro AlvarengaData current as of October 14, 2026

Vila Nova vs Novorizontino: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Vila Nova vs Novorizontino: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Vila Nova plays Novorizontino in Serie B (Brazil). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga.

Recent form

Vila Nova has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Novorizontino has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Vila Nova scores 1.39 goals per game and allows 0.94. Novorizontino scores 1.79 and allows 0.85. Games in this league average 2.35 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 36% of Vila Nova's games and 52% of Novorizontino's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 58%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Novorizontino has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.45 per game. Vila Nova takes 13.6 shots per game, while Novorizontino takes 16.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Vila Nova leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.64 goals per game after halftime. Novorizontino leads at halftime in 36% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Vila Nova's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (12 goals). For Novorizontino, it is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.35 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.51)
(3.14)
(2.71)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Vila NovaNovorizontino
1.39Goals scored / game1.79
Vila NovaNovorizontino
0.94Goals allowed / game0.85
Vila NovaNovorizontino
51%Average possession48%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
4.24Shots on target / game5.61
Vila NovaNovorizontino

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.55Shots per game15.97
Vila NovaNovorizontino
4.24Shots on target5.61
Vila NovaNovorizontino
10.3%Shot conversion11.2%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
51%Possession48%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
1.45xG for1.74
Vila NovaNovorizontino
1.28xG against1.16
Vila NovaNovorizontino

Shooting quality

Vila Nova: BalancedNovorizontino: Attacking
Vila NovaNovorizontino
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Vila Nova is 30% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Vila Nova · 2 pts / game - Novorizontino

Vila Nova
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
55% W21% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
18-7-8
1.85 pts / game · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-3-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Novorizontino
LDWWW
Season result split
52% W27% D21% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-9-7
1.82 pts / game · goal difference +31
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
7-5-4
Last 5 away
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.10Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Novorizontino is 29% better for: goals scored per game.

1.39 goals / game - Vila Nova · 1.79 goals / game - Novorizontino

Novorizontino is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.94 goals / game - Vila Nova · 0.85 goals / game - Novorizontino

Vila Nova scoring profile: strong

Vila Nova scores in 73% of games (24 of 33 games), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 games).

Novorizontino scoring profile: strong

Novorizontino scores in 76% of games (25 of 33 games), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 games).

46Goals scored (season)59
Vila NovaNovorizontino
31Goals conceded (season)28
Vila NovaNovorizontino
2.33Average goals per game2.64
Vila NovaNovorizontino
6Goals scored (last 5)11
Vila NovaNovorizontino
0Goals conceded (last 5)3
Vila NovaNovorizontino

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal76%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
45%2 goals55%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
9%3 goals33%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
6%4 goals12%
Vila NovaNovorizontino

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal64%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
21%2 goals15%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
9%3 goals6%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
3%4 goals0%
Vila NovaNovorizontino

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time30%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
21%Scored in both halves39%
Vila NovaNovorizontino

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
0%BTTS - last 540%
Vila NovaNovorizontino

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Vila NovaNovorizontino

2nd half

64%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Vila NovaNovorizontino

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Novorizontino is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.52 pts / game - Vila Nova · 1.64 pts / game - Novorizontino

Vila Nova - half-time state
39% leading33% draw27% trailing
Novorizontino - half-time state
36% leading55% draw9% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.52Points per game (1st half)1.64
Vila NovaNovorizontino
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.79
Vila NovaNovorizontino
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.39
Vila NovaNovorizontino
1.3Average goals (1st half)1.18
Vila NovaNovorizontino
61%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
48%No goal before half-time42%
Vila NovaNovorizontino

After half-time (2nd half)

1.45Points per game (2nd half)1.79
Vila NovaNovorizontino
0.64Goals scored (2nd half)1
Vila NovaNovorizontino
0.39Goals conceded (2nd half)0.45
Vila NovaNovorizontino
1.03Average goals (2nd half)1.45
Vila NovaNovorizontino
67%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Vila NovaNovorizontino
58%No goal after half-time42%
Vila NovaNovorizontino

Vila Nova - second-half results

33% W45% D21% L
50
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding141%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Novorizontino - second-half results

48% W33% D18% L
54
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
59
Second-half points
+18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Vila Nova - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.601.40
Goals scored / game1.00.2
Goals allowed / game0.00.0
Average goals per game1.00.2
1 goal80%20%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+5+1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Novorizontino - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.601.60
Goals scored / game1.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game1.61.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+6+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Vila Nova
ScoredConceded
7
5
0-15
7
4
16-30
11
9
31-45
4
1
46-60
12
2
61-75
5
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Novorizontino
ScoredConceded
8
1
0-15
6
8
16-30
12
4
31-45
6
5
46-60
10
2
61-75
17
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.48
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Vila Nova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.75
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Novorizontino

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-20.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
177%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Vila NovaLigaNovorizontino
Average goals per game• 2.332.35▲ 2.64
Both teams scored▼ 36%47%▲ 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%43%▲ 58%
Clean sheets▲ 42%30%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time▲ 76%68%• 67%
Goal after half-time▼ 64%74%• 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.35
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / game
1.01
Away goals / game
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Vila Nova's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Novorizontino. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.

Novorizontino
2 : 1
Vila Nova
Grêmio Novorizontino
1 : 1
Vila Nova FC
Vila Nova FC
0 : 1
Grêmio Novorizontino

FAQ

When do Vila Nova and Novorizontino play?

Vila Nova face Novorizontino on October 18, 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Vila Nova and Novorizontino?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0, Novorizontino won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?

Vila Nova score 1.39 goals per game on average and Novorizontino 1.79. The Serie B average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Vila Nova's matches and 52% of Novorizontino's.

What form are Vila Nova and Novorizontino in?

Over the last 5 games Vila Nova have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Novorizontino 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vila Nova vs Novorizontino?

The statistical background for Vila Nova vs Novorizontino — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.