Watford vs Birmingham City: match statistics
Watford displays superior form, averaging 2.2 points per game over their last five fixtures, whereas Birmingham City manages just 0.6 points. The hosts have won 58% of their home matches, boasting a positive goal difference of +8 at their own ground, while the visitors concede an average of 1.67 goals on the road with a mere 17% win rate. Birmingham City remains winless in their last five outings and holds a negative goal difference of -12 in away games. Watford's advantage in shooting efficiency (5.92 shots on target per game vs. 2.17) and superior xG (1.8 vs. 1.1) further validate the prediction of a home victory. The visitors' poor form across their last twelve away fixtures (a streak of losses and draws), combined with failing to score in 42% of their away matches, strongly points towards a decisive Watford win.
Watford vs Birmingham City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Watford played against Birmingham City in Championship (England). The game was played on January 1, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Watford has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Birmingham City has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Watford scores 1.42 goals per game and allows 1.21. Birmingham City scores 1.33 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Watford's games and 58% of Birmingham City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 50%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Birmingham City has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.50 per game. Watford takes 13.8 shots per game, while Birmingham City takes 14.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Watford leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Birmingham City leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Watford's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Birmingham City, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Watford displays superior form, averaging 2.2 points per game over their last five fixtures, whereas Birmingham City manages just 0.6 points. The hosts have won 58% of their home matches, boasting a positive goal difference of +8 at their own ground, while the visitors concede an average of 1.67 goals on the road with a mere 17% win rate. Birmingham City remains winless in their last five outings and holds a negative goal difference of -12 in away games. Watford's advantage in shooting efficiency (5.92 shots on target per game vs. 2.17) and superior xG (1.8 vs. 1.1) further validate the prediction of a home victory. The visitors' poor form across their last twelve away fixtures (a streak of losses and draws), combined with failing to score in 42% of their away matches, strongly points towards a decisive Watford win.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Watford | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Watford is 267% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Watford · 0.6 pts / game - Birmingham City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Watford is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.42 goals / game - Watford · 1.33 goals / game - Birmingham City
Watford is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.21 goals / game - Watford · 1.29 goals / game - Birmingham City
Watford scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 meczów), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 meczów).
Birmingham City scores in 79% of games (19 of 24 meczów), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Watford
Over / Under - Birmingham City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Watford - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Watford
Birmingham City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Watford | Liga | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.63 | 2.60 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 59% | • 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Watford's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Birmingham City. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Watford vs Birmingham City?
The Championship match finished Watford 3:0 Birmingham City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Watford vs Birmingham City?
Watford score 1.42 goals per game on average and Birmingham City 1.33. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Watford's matches and 58% of Birmingham City's.
What form are Watford and Birmingham City in?
Over the last 5 games Watford have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Birmingham City 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Watford vs Birmingham City?
The statistical background for Watford vs Birmingham City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.