Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mebrat Hayl: match statistics
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mebrat Hayl: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Welwalo Adigrat Uni play Mebrat Hayl in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Mebrat Hayl: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.82 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Mebrat Hayl scores 0.84 and concedes 0.68. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 46%, Mebrat Hayl 37%. Over 2.5: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 31%, Mebrat Hayl 26%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Mebrat Hayl has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.03. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.7 shots per match, Mebrat Hayl: 7.0.
Match halves
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.36. Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 31-45+ (7 goals). Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Mebrat Hayl are the favorites: they sit 4th in the table versus Welwalo Adigrat Uni in 16th, and have 11 wins this season compared to 8 wins by the home side; in the last 5 matches both teams averaged 1.4 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). The visitors have a clearer defensive edge — they concede 0.8 goals on average away versus 1.13 conceded by the hosts at home, a difference of 0.33 goals conceded per game; additionally Mebrat have 47% clean sheets away compared to 33% for Welwalo. Offensively both teams score 0.73 goals on average (Welwalo at home 0.73, Mebrat away 0.73), but the visitors create more chances: 7.6 shots and 2.2 on target per game versus 5.4 and 1.93 for the hosts, and xG is 1.22 for Mebrat away versus 0.97 for Welwalo at home. Mebrat’s issue is a high share of away matches without scoring (53%), while Welwalo have better shot conversion 14% versus 10% for the visitors, which narrows the gap. Considering the superior league position, lower goals conceded average and higher xG for the visitors, I predict a Mebrat Hayl win ('2'); estimated probabilities roughly 20% home, 30% draw and 50% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mebrat Hayl is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1.6 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mebrat Hayl is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.68 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 59% of matches (23 of 39 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).
Mebrat Hayl scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Over / Under — Mebrat Hayl
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mebrat Hayl is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1.29 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Mebrat Hayl
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Liga | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.79 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 46% | 40% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 31% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 36% | 40% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 56% | ▼ 39% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 59% | ▲ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0 - 1 - 0 Mebrat Hayl. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mebrat Hayl?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welwalo Adigrat Uni 3:0 Mebrat Hayl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mebrat Hayl?
Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.82 goals per game on average and Mebrat Hayl 0.84. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's matches and 37% of Mebrat Hayl's.
What form are Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Mebrat Hayl in?
Over the last 5 games Welwalo Adigrat Uni have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Mebrat Hayl 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mebrat Hayl?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Mebrat Hayl: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.