AC Milan vs Atalanta: match stats
AC Milan vs Atalanta: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
AC Milan vs Atalanta sa Serie A (Italy). Naka-schedule ang match sa 10 May 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
AC Milan: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Atalanta: 1-2-2 at 1.00 points per match.
Goal statistics
AC Milan scores 1.39 at concedes 0.92 goals per match. Atalanta scores 1.34 at concedes 0.95. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AC Milan 47%, Atalanta 53%. Over 2.5: AC Milan 45%, Atalanta 37%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots at playing style
Atalanta ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.64 vs 1.49. AC Milan averages 13.2 shots per match, habang Atalanta ay 14.8.
First at second half
AC Milan leads at half-time sa 26% ng matches at scores 0.87 goals after the break. Atalanta: 37% at 0.71.
Goals by minute
AC Milan: 76-90+ (14 goals). Atalanta: 76-90+ (13 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45% at Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-1-0. Average goals: 2.00, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
I predict a win for AC Milan (1) — hosts have seasonal advantage, sitting 3rd and winning 53% of home matches. At home Milan averages 1.29 goals, has xG 1.72 and concedes only 0.94 goals per match with 15.88 shots (4.76 on target), while Atalanta away averages 1.29 goals, xG 1.41 and concedes 1.06 with 12.18 shots (4.0 on target). Last 5 form favors the hosts defensively but not offensively — Milan scored only 1 goal in the last 5 and averages 0.8 points in that period, while Atalanta scored 4 goals and didn’t win any of their last 5 (0W, 3D, 2L). Milan also has higher home clean sheet rate (41% vs 35%), while Atalanta converts shots better (11% conversion vs Milan’s 8%), keeping them a real threat. Considering higher xG and more stable home defense but Milan’s offensive crisis, I assess probabilities: 52% home, 28% draw, 20% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AC Milan | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atalanta is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - AC Milan · 1 pts / match - Atalanta
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Atalanta keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
Atalanta scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AC Milan
Over / Under — Atalanta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atalanta is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.34 pts / match - AC Milan · 1.47 pts / match - Atalanta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atalanta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
AC Milan
Atalanta
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| AC Milan | Liga | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.43 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 46% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 32% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AC Milan 0 - 1 - 0 Atalanta. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng AC Milan vs Atalanta?
Natapos ang Serie A match sa score na AC Milan 2:3 Atalanta. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang AC Milan vs Atalanta?
AC Milan scores 1.39 goals per match at Atalanta 1.34. Ang Serie A average ay 2.43 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 46% ng matches. BTTS: AC Milan 47%, Atalanta 53%.
Ano ang current form ng AC Milan at Atalanta?
Sa last 5 matches, ang AC Milan ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Atalanta ay 1-2-2 (1.00 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng AC Milan vs Atalanta?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.