AC Milan vs Lecce: match stats
Ang AC Milan ang clear favorite sa match na ito, sitting at 2nd place sa table na may impressive record na 12 wins at only 1 loss ngayong season. Excellent ang home form ng hosts with 60% wins at nag-aallow lang ng 0.9 goals per match at home. Nasa relegation zone naman ang Lecce sa 17th position, na may catastrophic away form – 56% losses, averaging only 0.67 goals scored away, at 44% ng matches ay walang goal. Ang gap sa offensive quality (xG 1.8 vs 0.98) at defensive quality (xGA 1.09 vs 1.7) ay clearly favoring the hosts. Ang recent form ng both teams (AC Milan: 2.2 pts/match vs Lecce: 0.2 pts/match sa last 5 games) ay nagko-confirm ng advantage ng Rossoneri, na dapat manalo nang komportable sa harap ng kanilang home crowd.
AC Milan vs Lecce: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
AC Milan vs Lecce sa Serie A (Italy). Naka-schedule ang match sa 18 January 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
AC Milan: 1-1-3 sa last five matches at 0.80 points per match. Lecce: 3-1-1 at 2.00 points per match.
Goal statistics
AC Milan scores 1.39 at concedes 0.92 goals per match. Lecce scores 0.74 at concedes 1.32. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AC Milan 47%, Lecce 37%. Over 2.5: AC Milan 45%, Lecce 37%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots at playing style
AC Milan ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.49 vs 1.09. AC Milan averages 13.2 shots per match, habang Lecce ay 9.8.
First at second half
AC Milan leads at half-time sa 26% ng matches at scores 0.87 goals after the break. Lecce: 24% at 0.32.
Goals by minute
AC Milan: 76-90+ (14 goals). Lecce: 0-15 (8 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45% at Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 2.00, BTTS: 0%.
Match description
Ang AC Milan ang clear favorite sa match na ito, sitting at 2nd place sa table na may impressive record na 12 wins at only 1 loss ngayong season. Excellent ang home form ng hosts with 60% wins at nag-aallow lang ng 0.9 goals per match at home. Nasa relegation zone naman ang Lecce sa 17th position, na may catastrophic away form – 56% losses, averaging only 0.67 goals scored away, at 44% ng matches ay walang goal. Ang gap sa offensive quality (xG 1.8 vs 0.98) at defensive quality (xGA 1.09 vs 1.7) ay clearly favoring the hosts. Ang recent form ng both teams (AC Milan: 2.2 pts/match vs Lecce: 0.2 pts/match sa last 5 games) ay nagko-confirm ng advantage ng Rossoneri, na dapat manalo nang komportable sa harap ng kanilang home crowd.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AC Milan | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lecce is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - AC Milan · 2 pts / match - Lecce
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AC Milan is 88% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - AC Milan · 0.74 goals / match - Lecce
AC Milan is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - AC Milan · 1.32 goals / match - Lecce
AC Milan scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
Lecce scores in 50% of matches (19 of 38 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AC Milan
Over / Under — Lecce
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AC Milan is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.34 pts / match - AC Milan · 1.18 pts / match - Lecce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AC Milan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lecce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
AC Milan
Lecce
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| AC Milan | Liga | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.43 | ▼ 2.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 46% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 32% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AC Milan 1 - 0 - 0 Lecce. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng AC Milan vs Lecce?
Natapos ang Serie A match sa score na AC Milan 1:0 Lecce. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang AC Milan vs Lecce?
AC Milan scores 1.39 goals per match at Lecce 0.74. Ang Serie A average ay 2.43 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 46% ng matches. BTTS: AC Milan 47%, Lecce 37%.
Ano ang current form ng AC Milan at Lecce?
Sa last 5 matches, ang AC Milan ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match), habang ang Lecce ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng AC Milan vs Lecce?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.