Altay vs Tobol: match stats
Altay vs Tobol: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Altay vs Tobol sa Kazakhstan Premier League (Kazakhstan). Naka-schedule ang match sa 4 July 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Altay: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. Tobol: 2-1-2 at 1.40 points per match.
Goal statistics
Altay scores 0.78 at concedes 1.22 goals per match. Tobol scores 1.11 at concedes 1.44. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Altay 44%, Tobol 61%. Over 2.5: Altay 28%, Tobol 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots at playing style
Tobol ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.55 vs 1.25. Altay averages 10.7 shots per match, habang Tobol ay 13.3.
First at second half
Altay leads at half-time sa 6% ng matches at scores 0.61 goals after the break. Tobol: 22% at 0.56.
Goals by minute
Altay: 76-90+ (7 goals). Tobol: 0-15 (5 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Kazakhstan Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 52% at Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 4.00, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
I predict an away win ('2') dahil Tobol has a clearly better recent run: sa last 5 matches guests scored 7 goals at a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, habang Altay sa last 5 has 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses with 5 goals. Tobol controls the game more on the road (average possession 52% vs 43% ng Altay at home) at nagsushoot ng more (11.63 vs 10.38), translating to higher xG 1.27 vs 1.20; ito suggests guests create marginally better goal chances. Altay’s advantage is a better home defence – hosts concede 1.00 goal per home game vs Tobol conceding 1.88 away – pero real issue ng Altay is finishing: hosts score only 0.63 goals per game at home and fail to score in 63% of home matches. Altay registers more shots on target (avg 3.5 SOT per match vs 2.88 for Tobol) but has only ~6% conversion vs ~5% for the away side, showing poor finishing quality and pointing to a low-chance game. Considering average points over last 5 (Tobol 1.4 vs Altay 0.4), better scoring consistency ng guests, and the fact Altay hasn’t won at home yet, I give Tobol the edge with 52% win probability, 30% draw, and 18% for Altay.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Altay | Tobol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tobol is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Altay · 1.11 goals / match - Tobol
Altay is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Altay · 1.44 goals / match - Tobol
Altay scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Tobol keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
Tobol scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Altay keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Altay
Over / Under — Tobol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tobol is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.72 pts / match - Altay · 1.28 pts / match - Tobol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Altay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tobol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Altay
Tobol
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kazakhstan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Altay | Liga | Tobol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.31 | ▲ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 42% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 29% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 62% | • 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 70% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Altay 0 - 0 - 1 Tobol. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Altay vs Tobol?
Natapos ang Kazakhstan Premier League match sa score na Altay 1:0 Tobol. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Altay vs Tobol?
Altay scores 0.78 goals per match at Tobol 1.11. Ang Kazakhstan Premier League average ay 2.31 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 42% ng matches. BTTS: Altay 44%, Tobol 61%.
Ano ang current form ng Altay at Tobol?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Altay ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang Tobol ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Altay vs Tobol?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.