Mexico - Ascenso MXData updated noong July 22, 2026

Atlante vs Tapatío: match stats

Atlante crest
Atlante
1 : 3half-time 0:2
Tapatío crest
Tapatío
165%(1.45)
X22%(4.30)
213%(6.60)

Atlante ay may malakas na home advantage na may 56% win rate at impressive goal difference na +14. Ang hosts ay nakakascore ng average na 2.11 goals per home game, at may kaunting tinatanggap na 0.56 goals lang, na nagpapatunay ng kanilang solid defense (44% clean sheets). Ang Tapatío naman ay very poor sa away games – only 11% win rate, 56% losses, at negative goal difference na -4, at hindi sila madalas makascore (0.89 goals average). Ang difference sa quality of play ay kitang-kita din sa xG stats: Ang Atlante ay nagge-generate ng 2.25 xG sa home, samantalang ang Tapatío ay only 1.24 sa away games. Ang recent form ng visitors ay mas better (2 PPG), pero ang kanilang away weakness at ang dominance ng hosts sa kanilang home stadium ay strong indicator para sa sure win ng Atlante.

Atlante vs Tapatío: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Atlante vs Tapatío sa Ascenso MX (Mexico). Naka-schedule ang match sa 8 February 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

Atlante: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. Tapatío: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.

Goal statistics

Atlante scores 1.84 at concedes 0.97 goals per match. Tapatío scores 1.63 at concedes 1.47. League average: 2.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Atlante 50%, Tapatío 67%. Over 2.5: Atlante 47%, Tapatío 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots at playing style

Atlante ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.93 vs 1.43. Atlante averages 17.3 shots per match, habang Tapatío ay 12.3.

First at second half

Atlante leads at half-time sa 31% ng matches at scores 1.06 goals after the break. Tapatío: 37% at 0.83.

Goals by minute

Atlante: 76-90+ (15 goals). Tapatío: 76-90+ (13 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57% at Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 0-0-1. Average goals: 3.00, BTTS: 0%.

Match description

Atlante ay may malakas na home advantage na may 56% win rate at impressive goal difference na +14. Ang hosts ay nakakascore ng average na 2.11 goals per home game, at may kaunting tinatanggap na 0.56 goals lang, na nagpapatunay ng kanilang solid defense (44% clean sheets). Ang Tapatío naman ay very poor sa away games – only 11% win rate, 56% losses, at negative goal difference na -4, at hindi sila madalas makascore (0.89 goals average). Ang difference sa quality of play ay kitang-kita din sa xG stats: Ang Atlante ay nagge-generate ng 2.25 xG sa home, samantalang ang Tapatío ay only 1.24 sa away games. Ang recent form ng visitors ay mas better (2 PPG), pero ang kanilang away weakness at ang dominance ng hosts sa kanilang home stadium ay strong indicator para sa sure win ng Atlante.

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

75Possession (%)25
AtlanteTapatío
36Shots10
AtlanteTapatío
8Shots on target4
AtlanteTapatío
3.03xG1.04
AtlanteTapatío
8Corners1
AtlanteTapatío
32Dangerous attacks18
AtlanteTapatío
11Fouls12
AtlanteTapatío
1Cards1
AtlanteTapatío

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.84Goals scored / match1.63
AtlanteTapatío
0.97Goals conceded / match1.47
AtlanteTapatío
62%Average possession49%
AtlanteTapatío
6.47Shots on target / match4.2
AtlanteTapatío

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.25Shots per match12.27
AtlanteTapatío
6.47Shots on target4.2
AtlanteTapatío
10.7%Shot conversion13.3%
AtlanteTapatío
62%Possession49%
AtlanteTapatío
1.93xG for1.43
AtlanteTapatío
0.95xG against1.62
AtlanteTapatío

Shooting quality

Atlante: DominantTapatío: Efficient finishing
AtlanteTapatío
Accuracy (shots on target)38%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlante is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Atlante · 0.8 pts / match - Tapatío

Atlante
WLDWL
Season result split
47% W28% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-9-8
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-4-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 0.93BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Tapatío
WLLDL
Season result split
33% W20% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-14
1.20 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-9
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalspaano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlante is 13% better for: goals scored per match.

1.84 goals / match - Atlante · 1.63 goals / match - Tapatío

Atlante is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.97 goals / match - Atlante · 1.47 goals / match - Tapatío

Scoring profile ng Atlante: napakalakas

Atlante scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).

Scoring profile ng Tapatío: malakas

Tapatío scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Atlante keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).

59Goals scored (season)49
AtlanteTapatío
31Goals conceded (season)44
AtlanteTapatío
2.81Average goals in match3.1
AtlanteTapatío
7Goals scored (last 5)6
AtlanteTapatío
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
AtlanteTapatío

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal80%
AtlanteTapatío
44%2 goals50%
AtlanteTapatío
28%3 goals27%
AtlanteTapatío
16%4 goals7%
AtlanteTapatío

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal83%
AtlanteTapatío
19%2 goals47%
AtlanteTapatío
13%3 goals13%
AtlanteTapatío
3%4 goals3%
AtlanteTapatío

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time27%
AtlanteTapatío
0%BTTS in both halves10%
AtlanteTapatío
22%Scored in both halves47%
AtlanteTapatío

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
AtlanteTapatío
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
AtlanteTapatío
60%BTTS - last 560%
AtlanteTapatío

Goal count (Over/Under)gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
AtlanteTapatío
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
AtlanteTapatío
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
AtlanteTapatío

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
AtlanteTapatío
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
AtlanteTapatío
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
AtlanteTapatío

Match halvessaang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlante - half-time state
31% leading44% draw25% trailing
Tapatío - half-time state
37% leading30% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)1.4
AtlanteTapatío
0.78Goals scored (1st half)0.8
AtlanteTapatío
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
AtlanteTapatío
1.31Average goals (1st half)1.5
AtlanteTapatío
59%Clean sheet before half-time43%
AtlanteTapatío
53%No goal before half-time40%
AtlanteTapatío

After half-time (2nd half)

1.81Points per match (2nd half)1.37
AtlanteTapatío
1.06Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
AtlanteTapatío
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
AtlanteTapatío
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.6
AtlanteTapatío
66%Clean sheet after half-time40%
AtlanteTapatío
41%No goal after half-time33%
AtlanteTapatío

Atlante - second-half results

50% W31% R19% P
44
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
58
Second-half points
+20
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tapatío - second-half results

33% W37% R30% P
42
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding89%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlante - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Tapatío - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Atlante
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
3
7
16-30
14
6
31-45
9
7
46-60
10
3
61-75
15
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.

Tapatío
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
9
6
16-30
7
9
31-45
8
7
46-60
4
5
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicatorsano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.

Match profile

2.96
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Atlante

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.98
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-21.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Tapatío

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

AtlanteLigaTapatío
Average goals in match 2.812.85 3.10
Both teams scored 50%57% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%53% 67%
Clean sheets 38%25% 17%
Goal before half-time 66%74% 90%
Goal after half-time 78%80% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Atlante 0 - 0 - 1 Tapatío. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% mga match.

CD Tapatío
3 : 0
Club Atlante

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Atlante vs Tapatío?

Natapos ang Ascenso MX match sa score na Atlante 1:3 Tapatío. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Atlante vs Tapatío?

Atlante scores 1.84 goals per match at Tapatío 1.63. Ang Ascenso MX average ay 2.85 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 53% ng matches. BTTS: Atlante 50%, Tapatío 67%.

Ano ang current form ng Atlante at Tapatío?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Atlante ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang Tapatío ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Atlante vs Tapatío?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.