Bahardar vs Mekelakeya: match stats
Bahardar vs Mekelakeya: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Bahardar vs Mekelakeya sa Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). Naka-schedule ang match sa 19 May 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Bahir Dar Stadium. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Bahardar: 0-3-2 sa last five matches at 0.60 points per match. Mekelakeya: 1-1-3 at 0.80 points per match.
Goal statistics
Bahardar scores 0.74 at concedes 0.74 goals per match. Mekelakeya scores 1.15 at concedes 0.85. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahardar 32%, Mekelakeya 41%. Over 2.5: Bahardar 18%, Mekelakeya 31%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots at playing style
Mekelakeya ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.32 vs 1.26. Bahardar averages 8.3 shots per match, habang Mekelakeya ay 8.6.
First at second half
Bahardar leads at half-time sa 11% ng matches at scores 0.53 goals after the break. Mekelakeya: 31% at 0.46.
Goals by minute
Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (13 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40% at Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
Sa 1 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-0-0. Average goals: 3.00, BTTS: 100%.
Match description
Bet ko sa away win ng visitors: Mekelakeya (3rd place) may clear offensive edge — 40 goals scored this season vs 25 ng Bahardar at average na 1.63 goals away vs 0.75 goals ng hosts at home. Visitors convert chances better — shot conversion 18% vs 9% ng hosts at home at lower FTS 13% vs 56% ng Bahardar, ibig sabihin Mekelakeya less likely mag-finish goalless. Bahardar naman solid ang defense sa kanilang pitch: only 0.75 goals conceded per match at 56% ng home games without conceding, na nagpapaliwanag ng high draw rate (56% home draws at 17 draws this season). xG shows similar expected goals (Bahardar xG 1.34 at home vs Mekelakeya xG 1.31 away), pero hosts significantly underperform xG (0.75 goals vs xG 1.34), habang guests score above xG (1.63). Considering last 5 rounds (PPG 1.6 Bahardar vs 1.8 Mekelakeya) and better conversion ng visitors, I assess win probabilities as 45% away win, 40% draw and 15% home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahardar | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mekelakeya is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Bahardar · 0.8 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Bahardar · 1.15 goals / match - Mekelakeya
Bahardar is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Bahardar · 0.85 goals / match - Mekelakeya
Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 46% (18 of 39 matches).
Mekelakeya scores in 67% of matches (26 of 39 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bahardar
Over / Under — Mekelakeya
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Bahardar · 1.44 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Bahardar
Mekelakeya
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Bahardar | Liga | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.47 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 40% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 40% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▼ 54% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bahardar 1 - 0 - 0 Mekelakeya. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Bahardar vs Mekelakeya?
Natapos ang Ethiopia Premier League match sa score na Bahardar 1:1 Mekelakeya. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Bahardar vs Mekelakeya?
Bahardar scores 0.74 goals per match at Mekelakeya 1.15. Ang Ethiopia Premier League average ay 1.78 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 28% ng matches. BTTS: Bahardar 32%, Mekelakeya 41%.
Ano ang current form ng Bahardar at Mekelakeya?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Bahardar ay 0-3-2 (0.60 points per match), habang ang Mekelakeya ay 1-1-3 (0.80 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Bahardar vs Mekelakeya?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.