Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier League05/19/2026, 01:00 PMBahir Dar StadiumUpdated ang data noong September 07, 2026

Bahardar vs Mekelakeya: mga stats ng match

1 : 1half-time 1:0

Bahardar vs Mekelakeya: form, goals at mahahalagang stats

Mahahalagang detalye ng match

Naglaro ang Bahardar laban sa Mekelakeya sa Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). Nilaro ang match noong 19 May 2026. Venue: Bahir Dar Stadium. Final score: 1:1.

Current na form

Bahardar: 2-2-1 sa last five matches at 1.60 points per match. Mekelakeya: 2-3-0 at 1.80 points per match.

Stats ng goals

Bahardar ay may 0.78 goals na na-score at 0.69 na na-concede bawat match. Ang Mekelakeya naman ay may 1.27 na na-score at 0.76 na na-concede. Average ng liga: 1.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bahardar 31%, Mekelakeya 42%. Over 2.5: Bahardar 19%, Mekelakeya 30%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots at style ng laro

Mekelakeya ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.30 vs 1.23. May average na 8.0 shots bawat match ang Bahardar, habang 8.4 naman ang Mekelakeya.

First at second half

Nangunguna ang Bahardar sa half-time sa 9% ng matches at nakaka-score ng 0.56 goals pagkatapos ng break. Para sa Mekelakeya, 36% at 0.45 ang mga value.

Goals ayon sa minuto

Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (13 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.

Context ng liga

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.80 goals per match, BTTS 41% at Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head record

Bago ang match na ito, may 1 previous head-to-head matches sa database. Ang record ay 1-0-0, average goals 3.00, at BTTS 100%.

Archived na pre-match analysis

Ginawa ang analysis na ito bago ang kick-off. Ang conclusions ay base lang sa data na available bago ang match at hindi kasama ang final result o post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Bet ko sa away win ng visitors: Mekelakeya (3rd place) may clear offensive edge — 40 goals scored this season vs 25 ng Bahardar at average na 1.63 goals away vs 0.75 goals ng hosts at home. Visitors convert chances better — shot conversion 18% vs 9% ng hosts at home at lower FTS 13% vs 56% ng Bahardar, ibig sabihin Mekelakeya less likely mag-finish goalless. Bahardar naman solid ang defense sa kanilang pitch: only 0.75 goals conceded per match at 56% ng home games without conceding, na nagpapaliwanag ng high draw rate (56% home draws at 17 draws this season). xG shows similar expected goals (Bahardar xG 1.34 at home vs Mekelakeya xG 1.31 away), pero hosts significantly underperform xG (0.75 goals vs xG 1.34), habang guests score above xG (1.63). Considering last 5 rounds (PPG 1.6 Bahardar vs 1.8 Mekelakeya) and better conversion ng visitors, I assess win probabilities as 45% away win, 40% draw and 15% home win.

Tingnan ang statistical overview

Ayon sa half

1 : 0

1st half

0 : 1

2nd half

Stats ng match

38Possession (%)62

BahardarMekelakeya

3Shots11

BahardarMekelakeya

2Shots on target7

BahardarMekelakeya

0.82xG1.79

BahardarMekelakeya

2Corners5

BahardarMekelakeya

66Dangerous attacks83

BahardarMekelakeya

23Fouls11

BahardarMekelakeya

0Cards0

BahardarMekelakeya

Pre-match na profile— ano ang sinasabi ng season numbers?

Team profile ito batay sa season data at form. Lalabas lang ang match-flow statistics kapag tapos na ang fixture.

1.38Points bawat match1.61

BahardarMekelakeya

0.78Goals na na-score / match1.27

BahardarMekelakeya

0.69Goals na na-concede / match0.76

BahardarMekelakeya

1.23xG for1.3

BahardarMekelakeya

51%Average na possession55%

BahardarMekelakeya

2.53Shots on target bawat match2.85

BahardarMekelakeya

56%Clean sheets48%

BahardarMekelakeya

31%Parehong teams naka-score42%

BahardarMekelakeya

Stats ng teams— alin ang mas efficient na team?

Comparison ng attack at defence ng dalawang teams sa current season.

7.97Shots bawat match8.42

BahardarMekelakeya

2.53Shots on target2.85

BahardarMekelakeya

9.8%Shot conversion15.1%

BahardarMekelakeya

51%Possession55%

BahardarMekelakeya

1.23xG for1.3

BahardarMekelakeya

1.16xG against0.98

BahardarMekelakeya

Quality ng shooting

Bahardar: Balanced ang styleMekelakeya: Efficient ang finishing

	Bahardar	Mekelakeya
Accuracy ng shots on target	32%	34%
Quality ng chances (xG bawat shot)	0.15	0.15
Finishing (goals bawat shot on target)	0.31	0.45

Kapag nasa 0.08 ang xG per shot, kadalasan long-range attempts iyon; ang 0.15+ ay karaniwang chances sa box. Galing sa possession, shot volume at conversion ang style label.

* Ipinapakita ng xG (expected goals) kung ilang goals ang inaasahang makuha ng team mula sa chances nito. Kapag mas mataas ang actual goals kaysa xG, above average ang finishing; kapag mas mababa, may missed chances.

Form ng teams— alin ang mas maganda ang current form?

Last five matches at season record, overall at may home-away split.

Mekelakeya ang 13% better sa: form sa last 5 matches.

1.6 pts / match - Bahardar · 1.8 pts / match - Mekelakeya

Bahardar

LDWDW

Result split ngayong season

28% W53% R19% P

Season record (W-D-L)

9-17-6

1.38 pts / match · goal difference +3

Last 5 (W-D-L)

2-2-1

1.60 pts / match

Record ng team sa home (W-D-L)

4-9-3

Last 5 sa home

1-3-1

DWLDD

Averages sa last 5 matches

Goals na na-score: 1.0Goals na na-concede: 0.6xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Mekelakeya

DWDDW

Unbeaten sa last 5 matches

Result split ngayong season

39% W42% R18% P

Season record (W-D-L)

13-14-6

1.61 pts / match · goal difference +17

Last 5 (W-D-L)

2-3-0

1.80 pts / match

Record ng team sa away (W-D-L)

9-6-2

Last 5 sa away

3-2-0

DWWWD

Averages sa last 5 matches

Goals na na-score: 1.2Goals na na-concede: 0.2xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 0.95BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?

Ilang goals ang sini-score at kino-concede ng dalawang teams, pati kung gaano kadalas silang mag-clean sheet o hindi maka-score.

Mekelakeya ang 63% better sa: goals scored per match.

0.78 goals / match - Bahardar · 1.27 goals / match - Mekelakeya

Bahardar ang 10% better sa: goals conceded per match.

0.69 goals / match - Bahardar · 0.76 goals / match - Mekelakeya

Scoring profile ng Bahardar: mixed

Nakaka-score ang Bahardar sa 50% ng matches (16 sa 32 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Mekelakeya sa 48% (16 sa 33 matches).

Scoring profile ng Mekelakeya: mixed

Nakaka-score ang Mekelakeya sa 70% ng matches (23 sa 33 matches), habang may clean sheet ang Bahardar sa 56% (18 sa 32 matches).

25Goals na na-score (season)42

BahardarMekelakeya

22Goals na na-concede (season)25

BahardarMekelakeya

1.47Average ng goals sa match2.03

BahardarMekelakeya

5Goals na na-score (last 5)6

BahardarMekelakeya

3Goals na na-concede (last 5)1

BahardarMekelakeya

Bahardar

56%

Clean sheets18 sa 32 matches

50%

No goal16 sa 32 matches

Mekelakeya

48%

Clean sheets16 sa 33 matches

30%

No goal10 sa 33 matches

Gaano kadalas silang maka-score ng hindi bababa sa...

50%1 goal70%

BahardarMekelakeya

25%2 goals39%

BahardarMekelakeya

3%3 goals15%

BahardarMekelakeya

0%4 goals3%

BahardarMekelakeya

Gaano kadalas silang mag-concede ng hindi bababa sa...

44%1 goal52%

BahardarMekelakeya

19%2 goals18%

BahardarMekelakeya

6%3 goals3%

BahardarMekelakeya

0%4 goals3%

BahardarMekelakeya

* Kasama sa statistics ang home at away matches ng dalawang teams sa current season.

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?

Gaano kadalas may goals ang magkabilang panig sa matches ng teams, kumpara sa league average.

31%

Bahardar - BTTS10 sa 32 matches

42%

Mekelakeya - BTTS14 sa 33 matches

41%

Average ng liga

Mga pattern ng goal

13%BTTS sa half-time21%

BahardarMekelakeya

0%BTTS sa parehong halves0%

BahardarMekelakeya

9%Naka-score sa parehong halves18%

BahardarMekelakeya

BTTS at goal count

19%Min. 3 goals at BTTS27%

BahardarMekelakeya

0%Min. 3 goals na walang BTTS3%

BahardarMekelakeya

20%BTTS - last 520%

BahardarMekelakeya

Mga goal line (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?

Gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal thresholds ang matches ng teams, sa full match at bawat half.

Buong match - comparison ng teams (Over)

63%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)79%

BahardarMekelakeya

53%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)64%

BahardarMekelakeya

19%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)30%

BahardarMekelakeya

13%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)21%

BahardarMekelakeya

0%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)3%

BahardarMekelakeya

Over / Under - Bahardar

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 63%Under 37%

Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 53%Under 47%

Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 19%Under 81%

Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 13%Under 87%

Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 0%Under 100%

Over / Under - Mekelakeya

Linya 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 79%Under 21%

Linya 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 64%Under 36%

Linya 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 30%Under 70%

Linya 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 21%Under 79%

Linya 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 3%Under 97%

1st half

34%Min. 1 goal bago ang half-time58%

BahardarMekelakeya

19%Min. 2 goals bago ang half-time42%

BahardarMekelakeya

3%Min. 3 goals bago ang half-time9%

BahardarMekelakeya

2nd half

47%Min. 1 goal pagkatapos ng half-time52%

BahardarMekelakeya

28%Min. 2 goals pagkatapos ng half-time24%

BahardarMekelakeya

9%Min. 3 goals pagkatapos ng half-time6%

BahardarMekelakeya

Mga half ng match— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?

Paano nahahati sa first at second half ang performance: goals, points, clean sheets at state sa half-time.

Mekelakeya ang 59% better sa: form sa first half (half-time points).

1.03 pts / match - Bahardar · 1.64 pts / match - Mekelakeya

Bahardar - state sa half-time

9% nangunguna75% tabla16% nahuhuli

Mekelakeya - state sa half-time

36% nangunguna55% tabla9% nahuhuli

Bago ang half-time (1st half)

1.03Points bawat match (1st half)1.64

BahardarMekelakeya

0.22Goals na na-score (1st half)0.76

BahardarMekelakeya

0.38Goals na na-concede (1st half)0.33

BahardarMekelakeya

0.59Average ng goals (1st half)1.09

BahardarMekelakeya

75%Clean sheet bago ang half-time70%

BahardarMekelakeya

78%Walang goal bago ang half-time52%

BahardarMekelakeya

Pagkatapos ng half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points bawat match (2nd half)1.21

BahardarMekelakeya

0.56Goals na na-score (2nd half)0.45

BahardarMekelakeya

0.31Goals na na-concede (2nd half)0.42

BahardarMekelakeya

0.88Average ng goals (2nd half)0.88

BahardarMekelakeya

75%Clean sheet pagkatapos ng half-time70%

BahardarMekelakeya

63%Walang goal pagkatapos ng half-time64%

BahardarMekelakeya

Bahardar - mga result sa second half

28% W63% R9% P

Half-time points

Half-time goals

-5

Goal difference sa 1st half

Second-half points

Goal difference sa 2nd half

1.03

PPG bago ang half-time

Lead holding311%

Leading sa half-time sa 9% ng matches at nananalo sa 28%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

Mekelakeya - mga result sa second half

21% W58% R21% P

Half-time points

Half-time goals

+14

Goal difference sa 1st half

Second-half points

Goal difference sa 2nd half

1.64

PPG bago ang half-time

Lead holding108%

Leading sa half-time sa 36% ng matches at nananalo sa 39%. Nanalo rin sa ilang matches kahit walang half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Stable ang defence sa buong match.

Bahardar - last 5 matches per half
	1st half	2nd half
Points bawat match	1.20	1.80
Goals na na-score / match	0.4	0.6
Goals na na-concede / match	0.6	0.0
Average ng goals sa match	1.0	0.6
1 goal	60%	40%
2 goals	40%	20%
3 goals	0%	0%
Clean sheet	60%	100%
No goal	60%	60%
Goal difference	-1	+3

Half-time: 20% nangunguna - 60% tabla - 20% nahuhuli

2nd half: 40% panalo - 60% tabla - 0% talo

BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 20% - Total goals sa half-time: 2

Mekelakeya - last 5 matches per half
	1st half	2nd half
Points bawat match	1.40	1.80
Goals na na-score / match	0.6	0.6
Goals na na-concede / match	0.2	0.0
Average ng goals sa match	0.8	0.6
1 goal	40%	40%
2 goals	40%	20%
3 goals	0%	0%
Clean sheet	80%	100%
No goal	60%	60%
Goal difference	+2	+3

Half-time: 20% nangunguna - 80% tabla - 0% nahuhuli

2nd half: 40% panalo - 60% tabla - 0% talo

BTTS sa half-time (last 5): 20% - Total goals sa half-time: 3

* Ipinapakita ng colors sa tables ang event frequency: green ay common, yellow ay moderate, red ay rare. Frequency ito, hindi team rating.

Goals ayon sa minuto— kailan dumarating ang goals?

Mga phase ng match kung kailan pinakamadalas maka-score at mag-concede ang dalawang teams.

Bahardar

Na-scoreNa-concede

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 16-30 (5). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +1 - malakas sa late phases.

Mekelakeya

Na-scoreNa-concede

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Pinaka-dangerous sa minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Pinakamaraming conceded sa 46-60 (5). Balance ng late goals (76-90): +2 - malakas sa late phases.

* Kasama sa buckets na 31-45 at 76-90 ang added-time goals.

Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?

Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa completed matches ngayong season.

Profile ng match

1.75

Estimated na goals

attack laban sa opponent defence

0.8 : 1.0

Estimated na hati ng goals

home : away

97%

Pace kumpara sa liga

100% = average ng liga

37%

Parehong teams naka-score (BTTS)

average mula sa seasons ng dalawang teams

+71%

Derby effect

H2H goals kumpara sa typical matches

35%

BTTS estimate

mula sa scoring frequency ng dalawang teams

15%

0:0 risk

mga 1 sa bawat 7 matches

0-1

Pinakakaraniwang goal range

attack vs defence sa magkabilang panig

Bahardar

Net xG balance

Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.

+0.07

Results kumpara sa xG

Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.

+0.02

Points kumpara sa goal balance

Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.

-10.1 pts

Efficiency ng finishing

Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.

-0.45

Efficiency ng defence

Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.

+0.47

Attack vs league

Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.

86%

Defence vs league

Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.

78%

Trend ng form

Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.

+0.22

Mas malakas sa second half?

Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.

+0.3

Mga late goal

20% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 4% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.

20%

Mekelakeya

Net xG balance

Difference ng chance quality na nagawa at pinayagan per match.

+0.32

Results kumpara sa xG

Difference ng actual goal balance at balance na ipinapakita ng xG.

+0.19

Points kumpara sa goal balance

Comparison ng collected points at points na ipinapahiwatig ng goal balance ng team.

-20.1 pts

Efficiency ng finishing

Naiko-convert ba ng team ang chances? Positive ang value kapag mas marami ang goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng chance quality.

-0.03

Efficiency ng defence

Nasasagip ba ng defence o goalkeeper ang team? Positive ang value kapag mas kaunti ang conceded goals kaysa ipinapahiwatig ng allowed chances.

+0.22

Attack vs league

Gaano karami ang goals ng team kumpara sa league average para sa role nito. Ang 120% ay 20% above average.

143%

Defence vs league

Gaano karami ang conceded goals ng team kumpara sa league average. Ang 80% ay 20% fewer conceded goals.

84%

Trend ng form

Comparison ng points sa last 5 matches at whole-season average.

+0.19

Mas malakas sa second half?

Ilang more goals ang sini-score ng team pagkatapos ng half-time kumpara bago ang break.

-0.3

Mga late goal

17% ng goals ng team ay dumarating sa minutes 76-90. Para sa comparison, 17% ang dumarating sa first 15 minutes.

17%

* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick. Ang iba pang indicators ay naglalarawan ng completed matches sa season.

Context ng liga— mataas ba ang scoring sa league na ito?

Paano nagko-compare ang dalawang teams sa league-wide averages ng Ethiopia Premier League.

Teams kumpara sa liga

	Bahardar	Liga	Mekelakeya
Average ng goals sa match	▼ 1.47	1.80	▲ 2.03
Parehong teams naka-score	▼ 31%	41%	• 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)	▼ 19%	28%	▲ 30%
Clean sheets	▲ 56%	40%	▲ 48%
Goal bago ang half-time	▼ 34%	54%	▲ 58%
Goal pagkatapos ng half-time	▼ 47%	60%	▼ 52%

^ green = mas mataas sa league average, ˇ red = mas mababa sa league average. Direction ng gap ang ipinapakita nito, hindi team rating.

1.80

Average goals bawat match

41%

Parehong teams naka-score

28%

Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)

40%

Clean sheets

0.91

Home goals bawat match

0.89

Away goals bawat match

+2%

Advantage ng home attack

+2%

Advantage ng home defence

+0%

Kabuuang home advantage

Goals sa 1st half (buong liga)

54%

1 goal

22%

2 goals

3 goals

4 goals

Goals sa 2nd half (buong liga)

60%

1 goal

28%

2 goals

3 goals

4 goals

Lineups at player events

Verified starters, substitutes at recorded events para sa match.

Home team

Away team

Other recorded players

—Fetudin Jemal⚽ 1

Timeline ng match

Mga goal, card at substitution ayon sa pagkakasunod ng oras.

83'
MekelakeyaGoalFetudin Jemal

Head-to-head

Nakaraang meeting: Bahardar 1 - 0 - 0 Mekelakeya. Average ng goals 3.00, both teams scored sa 100% matches.

Mekelakeya

1 : 201/10/2026

Bahardar

Mga madalas itanong

Ano ang result ng Bahardar vs Mekelakeya?

Natapos ang Ethiopia Premier League match sa score na Bahardar 1:1 Mekelakeya. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.

Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Bahardar vs Mekelakeya?

Bahardar scores 0.78 goals per match at Mekelakeya 1.27. Ang Ethiopia Premier League average ay 1.80 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 28% ng matches. BTTS: Bahardar 31%, Mekelakeya 42%.

Ano ang current form ng Bahardar at Mekelakeya?

Sa last 5 matches, ang Bahardar ay 2-2-1 (1.60 points per match), habang ang Mekelakeya ay 2-3-0 (1.80 points per match).

Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Bahardar vs Mekelakeya?

Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.